Leadpile

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump is escalating pressure on Iran and using oil prices as leverage If no ceasefire happens, the U.S. and Israel could target Iran’s energy infrastructure, including oil wells, power plants, and Kharg Island. That’s the core of Iran’s economy. At the same time, Trump is setting a deadline linked to the Strait of Hormuz. Oil is already around $115. Higher oil prices put pressure on countries that depend on Gulf energy, not just Iran. This is being framed as a maximum-pressure move designed to force a response. Source: al jazeera

🇨🇳🇮🇱🇮🇷 China didn’t pick a side in the Iran war, it picked both. The magnets inside Israel’s Arrow interceptors are Chinese-processed rare earths, while the navigation system guiding Iran’s Fattah-2 missiles is also from China. According to the Australian Strategic Policy Institute, nearly every major U.S-aligned interceptor system, Patriot, THAAD, Arrow, David’s Sling, relies on Chinese rare earth processing for the magnets that make guidance, steering, and targeting possible. No magnets, no interception, and right now, there is no backup plan. China controls roughly 90% of the rare earth supply chain. The U.S imports 100% of its finished magnets. To match that with domestic production will take a decade, minimum. Iran’s arsenal, Fattah-2, Emad, Kheibar Shekan, even Shahed drones, leans heavily on Chinese inputs: satellite navigation via BeiDou, propellants, electronics, and components. Add Russian and Chinese satellite imagery, and you get targeting precision layered on top of supply dependence. Why this matters: Both sides are burning through their stockpiles. Israel has already expended a significant share of its Arrow and David’s Sling interceptors. Iran is launching barrages that are equally finite, especially as production sites get hit with airstrikes. And every launch, defensive or offensive, tightens their dependency on China.

僕が今まで出会ってきたアメリカ人は 🇺🇸『数字が得意ではない』と言う人が多かった。 でもふと思った。 数字苦手にしては、使ってる単位が難しすぎないか？ 摂氏100°Cで水が沸騰する。シンプル。 華氏だと212°F。なぜ212？複雑だなぁ... 1km = 1000m。実に美しい。 1マイル = 5280フィート。もはや暗号。 複雑だなぁ... 1リットル = 1000ml。完璧。1000！！って潔くて好き。 1ガロン = 128オンス。複雑だなぁ... 数字が苦手なんじゃなくて 単位が人間に優しくないのもあるんじゃないの？ 数字と自信を持って向き合える 🇺🇸ニキも増える気がする

🇺🇸 Trump pulled out six poster boards of White House renovation plans on Air Force One between questions about Iran, Cuba, and Democrats. Trump is interior decorating mid-conflict. Unmatched multitasking😂

🇺🇸🇮🇷 KHARG ISLAND: THE “QUICK WIN” THAT COULD TRAP AMERICA IN ANOTHER FOREVER WAR Suddenly, a small speck in the Persian Gulf has been rebranded as the key to victory. Take it, we’re told, and Iran folds. Take it, and the war tilts decisively in Washington’s favor. It sounds clean. Surgical. Almost easy. It isn’t. Kharg Island matters, no question. It handles the vast majority of Iran’s oil exports. Disrupt it, and you hit Tehran where it hurts most, revenue. But turning economic pressure into political collapse is not a straight line. The assumption driving this plan is dangerously simple: shock the regime, and it breaks. We’ve heard that before. Iraq was supposed to be a shock-and-awe victory. Afghanistan was supposed to be a swift dismantling of the Taliban. In both cases, the opening act was spectacular. The ending dragged on for decades. Now the same logic is creeping back in, just updated for a new map, a new island, a new war. Even some of the most hawkish voices in Washington are pumping the brakes. The Foundation for Defense of Democracies, not exactly known for restraint, is warning that seizing Kharg Island could be “a trap of America’s own making.” That should set off alarms. Put U.S. troops on that island, and you solve one problem while creating five more. Iran suddenly gains access to a wider arsenal: short-range missiles, drones, rocket systems, weapons it hasn’t fully deployed yet because American forces have stayed just out of reach. Kharg changes that geometry instantly. What is now a distant conflict becomes a close-range fight. And casualties change everything. The moment American troops start taking losses, the mission shifts. What began as a limited strike becomes a question of credibility. You don’t just leave. You escalate to protect forces. You widen the battlefield. You double down. That’s how mission creep works, not as a plan, but as a reaction. And once you’re in, getting out becomes its own kind of defeat.

🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱 New AI video published by Iran’s Mehr News We have to admit… every new one is getting better

🚨🇶🇦🇺🇦 Qatar and Ukraine just signed an agreement on intercepting missiles and drones. Ukraine is turning 3 years of battlefield experience into a goldmine.