ray cryptosmith

2K posts

ray cryptosmith

ray cryptosmith

@cryptosmith_ray

Se unió Aralık 2024
232 Siguiendo37 Seguidores
ray cryptosmith
ray cryptosmith@cryptosmith_ray·
@Alex_Oloyede2 I see, why the huge disparity in numbers ? Russian casualties are on the Russian side ?
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Spetsnaℤ 007 🇷🇺
Spetsnaℤ 007 🇷🇺@Alex_Oloyede2·
@cryptosmith_ray Russia advances, yes that affects the numbers but we aren't advancing in a Blitz. The KIA ratio would be around 1 Russian for every 8-10 Ukrainians.
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Spetsnaℤ 007 🇷🇺
Spetsnaℤ 007 🇷🇺@Alex_Oloyede2·
Exchange of KIA since June 2025; June — 78 🇷🇺 : 7200 🇺🇦 July — 19 🇷🇺 : 1000 🇺🇦 Aug. — 19 🇷🇺 : 1000 🇺🇦 Sept. — 24 🇷🇺 : 1000 🇺🇦 Oct. — 31 🇷🇺 : 1000 🇺🇦 Nov. — 30 🇷🇺 : 1000 🇺🇦 Dec. 26 🇷🇺 : 1000 🇺🇦 Jan. — 38 🇷🇺 : 1000 🇺🇦 Feb. — 35 🇷🇺 : 1000 🇺🇦 April — 41 🇷🇺 : 1000 🇺🇦
Spetsnaℤ 007 🇷🇺@Alex_Oloyede2

‼️🇷🇺🇺🇦 The Russian Federation and Ukraine have agreed to the exchange of fallen soldiers. 41 Russians – 1000 Ukrainians The 1000 was made up of members of the Azov battalion which Kiev specifically requested over regular conscripts.

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Telegram Sam Noble Piece Prize Winner.
@theafroaussie Here I am in Western Australia and not much news . Neighbouring New Zealand tends to get more than its fair share of quakes.Its along with some of the Pacific Islands to be on the same fault line as California. Most Pacific Islands are a result of volcanic activity.
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Najat
Najat@theafroaussie·
There was a 5.5 magnitude earthquake in South Australia, four days ago Wow.
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JonnyUtd
JonnyUtd@Fx1Jonny·
What is your honest solution to the israel problem???
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ray cryptosmith
ray cryptosmith@cryptosmith_ray·
@Xulficus @Pataramesh @user10081994 That might be true, but diplomatic relations, and especially post-war negotiations don’t rely on he-said, she-said tit for rats, its a formal opportunity to discuss and negotiate an outcome. This ceasefire also gives Iran time to ready its forces
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Patarames
Patarames@Pataramesh·
So what is actually happening with the ceasefire? - Pakistan, assisted by Turkey brokered a ceasefire - Iran aware of the Pakistani Defense-Pact with Saudi and how unpopular for the Pakistani people it would be to side with 🇮🇱-🇺🇸 ➡️ promised to not break it by going kinetic - Israel exploited its leverage on Trump for face-saving action against Lebanon - Iran went for a 'soft-kill' by keeping the Strait of Hormuz closed, with time ticking for world economy Neighbourly relations means that Iran has to play chess here instead using the hammer ➡️ The brotherhood with Hezbollah certainly means that Iran would go full counter-value against 🇮🇱 if Hezbollah requested it. But I'm sure Hezbollah being chess players themselves knows exactly what it is doing, fully aware of the Strait of Hormuz time/market dynamics ➡️ The bare minimum for AoR folks is to realize that Iran is risking re-engaging with a superpower for Lebanon. Amazing some don't even realize that...
محمدباقر قالیباف | MB Ghalibaf@mb_ghalibaf

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ray cryptosmith
ray cryptosmith@cryptosmith_ray·
@andy_cov93 Oil futures isn’t the physical price of oil… yes they are price gouging, but theres still no oil in the system. 10-15 boats per day ( if we’re lucky), compared to ~120. It will still get worse over the next 2-4 weeks
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Andrew
Andrew@andy_cov93·
For every $5 a barrel that oil went up, petrol went up what 3p a litre INSTANTLY on every single forecourt. Oil price went - down - SIXTEEN PERCENT in the last 24 hours. Did you see a single petrol station lower their price today? Did you fuck. Money grabbing bastards
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ray cryptosmith
ray cryptosmith@cryptosmith_ray·
@HormuzLetter The US is loading up on supplies and hanging around ? Doesn’t this signal re-arming ? Or is it just me ?
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The Hormuz Letter
The Hormuz Letter@HormuzLetter·
BREAKING: Trump on Truth Social says the US will "help with the traffic buildup" in the Strait of Hormuz, with "lots of positive action" and "big money" to be made. Iran can begin reconstruction. Trump adds the US will be "loading up with supplies" and "hangin' around" in the Strait to ensure the new transit system works. He calls the deal a potential "Golden Age of the Middle East."
The Hormuz Letter tweet media
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ray cryptosmith
ray cryptosmith@cryptosmith_ray·
@tournadey @ripplebrain I agree, any renewed attack would be with far less forward based defence architecture, and less ability to defend the gulf states ( maybe US doesn’t care). It’s too early to tell but if Iran can secure most of the 10 points then it’s a big win
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MonsieurV
MonsieurV@tournadey·
@cryptosmith_ray @ripplebrain You won't manufacture new radars in 2 weeks. The stockpile of interceptors is not that important when you don't have the radars. Even if they put new ones from other regions (dangerous), why would their fate be any different? Most people can't conprehend the defeat is real.
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Amerikanets 📉
Amerikanets 📉@ripplebrain·
One minor point here I haven't seen anyone else raise: I'm not sure that a short ceasefire before a resumption of hostilities is to Iran's disadvantage. The US/Israeli side made the opening move, and did so at time of their choosing. The Iranians will have plenty of recovering and regeneration to do, from digging out missile bases to moving assets around without the threat of air attack. More air defense interceptors aren't going to magically materialize in Israel within two weeks, either. Another angle is the economic one. Further supply shocks are inevitable and will happen even if the war ends entirely today. Dragging out the conflict by another two weeks will allow some of them to land while costing the Iranians nothing. Markets are likely to react very negatively to the collapse of the ceasefire too.
Amerikanets 📉@ripplebrain

Here's what the Iranian side is saying Trump has accepted in principle: • Security guarantees against future attacks on Iran • Iranian military control over the Strait of Hormuz • Lifting of all sanctions • Ending all Security Council resolutions against Iran • Acceptance of Iranian uranium enrichment • A withdrawal of all US forces from the region • A total discontinuation of attacks against both Iran and Lebanon • "Full compensation" to Iran for the costs of the war • The release of all frozen Iranian financial assets abroad • The codification of all of the above in a UN Security Council resolution They say these conditions must be ratified in negotiations in Islamabad "with complete distrust of the American side" starting Friday, with a two-week deadline to conclude the negotiations, and that the war will only end when all the conditions are met.

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ray cryptosmith
ray cryptosmith@cryptosmith_ray·
@AdameMedia Yes $100 billion a year- I saw an analysis saying that the will forgive the fee for poorer nations which assumes that it will reduce it to $50 billion/year. And then they will split the toll with Oman, so $25/yr a piece
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ADAM
ADAM@AdameMedia·
Sanctions lifted And tolls being charged on the strait of Hormuz. That’s billions per week.
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ADAM
ADAM@AdameMedia·
Trump has made Iran rich.
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ray cryptosmith
ray cryptosmith@cryptosmith_ray·
@ripplebrain They also can’t repair their bases. But is it enough time to replenish AD in Israel ? Maybe they give up on the bases and focus on defending Israel going forward and rely on bomber runs
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Amerikanets 📉
Amerikanets 📉@ripplebrain·
In light of this it's plausible that this is a genuine capitulation by the US/Israeli side. What could they hope to get out of a fake two week ceasefire? It's not enough time to manufacture thousands of new JASSMs. The economic picture won't improve in two weeks.
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ray cryptosmith retuiteado
Seyed Mohammad Marandi
Seyed Mohammad Marandi@s_m_marandi·
Trump is negotiating with Trump.
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ray cryptosmith
ray cryptosmith@cryptosmith_ray·
@JavierBlas Civilians aren’t “deployed” to civilian infrastructure, they’re simply using it
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ray cryptosmith
ray cryptosmith@cryptosmith_ray·
@JonHawk33 @DD_Geopolitics The satellites and imaging data is essentially processing light that reflects from objects on the surface of the planet. Bright red pixels correlate to very high temperatures that are perceived as red light, even though it may be more complex in colour than that
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Jonathan Hawk
Jonathan Hawk@JonHawk33·
@DD_Geopolitics I don't understand that app, i was checking on oil refineries from Europe too and they appear with the red squares. Seems like all refineries will appear like that or the world just went to hell? 😆
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DD Geopolitics
DD Geopolitics@DD_Geopolitics·
🇸🇦🇦🇪 NASA FIRMS data for the Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC) at Al Jubail Industrial City, Saudi Arabia, and the ADNOC (Abu Dhabi National Oil Company) facility in Habshan, UAE. 🇸🇦 SABIC’s facility at Al‑Jubail Industrial City is one of the world’s largest integrated petrochemical complexes, using abundant local feedstock to produce a wide range of chemicals, polymers, and fertilizers for global markets. 🇦🇪 ADNOC’s facility in Habshan, UAE, is one of the Middle East’s largest integrated gas processing complexes, treating sour gas from Abu Dhabi’s onshore and offshore fields to produce large volumes of sales gas, natural gas liquids, sulfur, and other refined products for domestic and export markets.
DD Geopolitics tweet mediaDD Geopolitics tweet media
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ray cryptosmith
ray cryptosmith@cryptosmith_ray·
@Pataramesh I’m surprised more don’t know that Iran international is just the Jerusalem post but with a different name
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Patarames
Patarames@Pataramesh·
He deleted it, but for the records:
Patarames tweet media
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Patarames
Patarames@Pataramesh·
Some folks here like to quote "Iran International" as credible source for OSINT Below you see the kind of people working at that propaganda outlet... one of their most senior ones... ➡️ Highly depraved imbeciles
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