Sub Doc Sully

82 posts

Sub Doc Sully

Sub Doc Sully

@ALLOCATOOR

super return soldier (sucker) documenting my interactions with world-class GPs

Katılım Şubat 2024
192 Takip Edilen46 Takipçiler
Sub Doc Sully
Sub Doc Sully@ALLOCATOOR·
@LeylaKuni @NycMsk @DerAltView Even then, something looks off. What portfolio are you possibly buying at a 94% discount that contains quality names like Resolute?
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Leyla
Leyla@LeylaKuni·
@NycMsk @DerAltView it very likely was a package deal the fund bought - there are several fund stakes acquired on the same day.
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Leyla
Leyla@LeylaKuni·
Ladies and gentlemen, I present to you the granddaddy of all granddaddies of NAV squeezing (an apt term coined by @DerAltView) Secondaries fund buys a stake in another fund for $3.93M Marks it at $60.10M That's +1,429% "return" on this position in the same quarter. Manager compensation? 12.5% on total gains (including unrealized). They earned $7M on an accounting entry.
Leyla tweet media
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Tedpool
Tedpool@quads_man·
Either way, I’m definitely not staying where I am. I don’t expect anyone has read, but if you have, I’m curious to hear your thoughts
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Tedpool
Tedpool@quads_man·
… and at the same time I feel I lack the level of enthusiasm and intrinsic motivation to compete in an industry where there are plenty who absolutely love the game…
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Sub Doc Sully
Sub Doc Sully@ALLOCATOOR·
@bassamus @NicoGladia 100%. No one failed to understand anything. Putting red gates down is a small price to pay for gathering huge amounts of incremental AUM. Press firestorm impacting their PE valuation multiple is probably the surprise to the downside.
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Illiquid Nico 🇨🇭🇹🇭
This article demonstrates a few things. 1. Apollo, BX & friends failed to understand that wrapping long term assets into short term oriented vehicles to be distributed to short term oriented investors was going to end this way. 2. The same pundits are throwing the distributors under the bus. All those vehicles are sold through distribution agreements. Managers are throwing the responsibility of a potential mis-sell on key mechanisms back to the distributor 3. Managing drawdown vehicles and open ended do not require the same skillset and being succesfull in one does not imply success in the other model. HF industry went through it pre GFC with a few long only bros moving L/S and blowing up on rookie mistakes. The same is happening here (one real life example: one manager did not consider hedging 50% FX exposure in a PE open end vehicle..) 4. Blame game begins. Early innings.
Illiquid Nico 🇨🇭🇹🇭 tweet media
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High Yield Harry
High Yield Harry@HighyieldHarry·
This isn't a good move @thomabravo Unless, you want to add a 3-day headsup re: any attempts to coordinate with a deal-away lender
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Boring_Business
Boring_Business@BoringBiz_·
Youtube is probably a Mag 7 on its own Few realize this yet
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Sub Doc Sully
Sub Doc Sully@ALLOCATOOR·
Bain shooting straight on how being public shifts your motivations
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Sub Doc Sully retweetledi
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🕊️@lichthauch·
The father of seven has not finished a thought in four years. he is just moving. feeding. driving. wiping. his brain is soup and his back is finished and he has no opinions about civilization he is too tired for opinions. and meanwhile civilization is growing out of him like he is dirt and he doesnt even notice because there is milk on the floor again. the childfree man has read eleven books this year about the decline of the west and he is the decline and the books are the evidence and he will understand this at fifty eight in a room that is very clean and very quiet
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Sub Doc Sully
Sub Doc Sully@ALLOCATOOR·
Does Marc know he is on this Peace Board?
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Duck
Duck@MsZeli·
@CricketCatMeow @Maattthheew But is that actually the Secret Traitor shown? Could just be a crew member robed up for filming the in-between bits??
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Matthew
Matthew@Maattthheew·
TRAITORS EPISODE 3 SPREADSHEET - Wow, wow, wow...what an episode!!! Lots to take away from it, and you can see the full breakdown in my spreadsheet. Final guesses for secret traitor? 😶 #TheTraitors #TheTraitorsUK #TraitorsUKSpreadsheet
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Leyla
Leyla@LeylaKuni·
Retail investors, the battle for your money is heating up. Capital Group is partnering with KKR to bring private market access to its vast distribution network of financial advisors (and ~20 million households) KKR brings nearly five decades of private markets experience to the table. From Bloomberg: "The two new funds, Capital Group KKR Core Plus+ and Capital Group KKR Multi-Sector+, have targets of 60% publicly traded debt and 40% private credit, including direct loans and debt backed by tangible assets. Two more planned funds will include private equity and real assets" Fees, you ask? 0.84% and 0.89% (and no incentive fee)
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Sub Doc Sully
Sub Doc Sully@ALLOCATOOR·
@LeylaKuni “Since 2001” is meaningless and only really relevant for PG
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Leyla
Leyla@LeylaKuni·
Drivers of performance in evergreen vehicles - that highlighted column is unrealized gains as % of total gains. For those new to our show, *unrealized* = paper marks
Leyla tweet media
Leyla@LeylaKuni

Evergreen🌲 funds promise to solve it all at once: - offer periodic liquidity - abolish J-curve - accept lower investment minimums - and offer access to illiquid alts On the flip side, the fund manager is incentivized to grow AUM, not necessarily the quality of assets ⤵️

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Sub Doc Sully
Sub Doc Sully@ALLOCATOOR·
How do evergreen products go to accounting for 20% of private market AUM over the next 10Y? US HNWs only need to allocate 6% of their private market exposures to evergreens (from 1% today) for this target to be hit.
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Sub Doc Sully
Sub Doc Sully@ALLOCATOOR·
Has anyone given serious thought to whether you can sell just the unfunded portion of an LP commitment? Assuming it is called, how would you treat the NAV and subsequent performance?
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Sub Doc Sully
Sub Doc Sully@ALLOCATOOR·
@pvtcreditguy Looks like a CFO, but in a corporate shell / issuing bonds, to avoid issues with re-securitising some of the underlying ABS etc. BX have done similar, just not at scale. I wonder whether any Apollo funds with 3P capital will have exposure to the equity.
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