Boltzmann Account
150 posts
Boltzmann Account
@BoltzmannTweet
Probably just randomness in the void e/acc
New York Katılım Mart 2020
497 Takip Edilen59 Takipçiler
So I have been busy these last few months! Happy to present : The Little Book of Reinforcement Learning
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@feelsdesperate New building are not being made in Manhattan, your argument relies on this but there is a lot of red tape. There is a monopoly on land/houses/permits.
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Making it more expensive for rich people to store their wealth in NYC isn’t a good thing actually.
The empty towers are expensive to build and staff (so they produce jobs) and these people already pay large property tax bills relative to the services they consume. So if the wealthy just… take their wealth elsewhere how does that serve NYers?
Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani@NYCMayor
Happy Tax Day, New York. We’re taxing the rich.
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Talk is cheap, send patches.
Alex Albert@alexalbert__
We released Claude Opus 4.6 just two months ago. Today we're sharing some info on our new model, Claude Mythos Preview.
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@chicfryrice You can also sub-rent it and make money out of it
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A real sign of creeping middle age is the growing desire to just move to Switzerland and not deal with the pointless aggravating bullshit rampant in the rest of the world.
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@yasnalewin @GabrielBoric Volvimos a niveles pre boric? Como eso es progreso
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En el país de la emergencia, que se cae a pedazos, los homicidios disminuyeron un 11% en 2025, consolidando una tendencia que ha bajado la tasa de 6,8 x 100 mil habitantes en 2022 a 5,4 el años pasado.
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sf rent control is something else man
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It's probably accelerating from here. More code, more software engineers. More apps, more SaaS usage and revenue. More cloud consumption. And a whole lot of tokens through it all.
If the cost of hiring software engineers was previously a bottleneck on software deployment, then making it cheaper to ship code means the entire software ecosystem will start to grow faster.
Per Borgen@perborgen
Software development jobs grew 10% over the last year while the overall market declined 5.8%. Quite the narrative violation.
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I'm trying to work my way through this as a thought experiment without pointing out too many times 'this implies a fast takeoff scenario in the background and everyone is probably already dead by June 2028 or at least they have WAY WAY bigger problems.' Difficulty level: Hard.
Citrini@citrini
JUNE 2028. The S&P is down 38% from its highs. Unemployment just printed 10.2%. Private credit is unraveling. Prime mortgages are cracking. AI didn’t disappoint. It exceeded every expectation. What happened? citriniresearch.com/p/2028gic
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I spent 100 hours over the past week researching, writing and editing the piece we just put out.
It’s a scenario, not a prediction like most of our work. But it was rigorously constructed, dismissing it outright requires the kind of intellectual laziness that tends to get expensive.
And we’ve released it for free. Hopefully you enjoy it.
citriniresearch.com/p/2028gic
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@IterIntellectus Measurement is saturated, any measurement here is noise
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ehm, guys…
I think it’s happening
METR@METR_Evals
We estimate that Claude Opus 4.6 has a 50%-time-horizon of around 14.5 hours (95% CI of 6 hrs to 98 hrs) on software tasks. While this is the highest point estimate we’ve reported, this measurement is extremely noisy because our current task suite is nearly saturated.
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@mcuban Dude there is 100 Anthropic and OAI engineers and thousands of agents making this cheaper every day. Expect the value to be 10x cheaper soon. This is not the real discussion to have.
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This is the smartest counter I’ve seen to ai taking over jobs, in the short term.
Is the ((aggregate tokens cost to do what an employee does + plus fully encumbered developer and maintenance costs ) / (fully encumbered employee cost ) )<= productivity ?
If it takes 8 Claude agents, at $300 for tokens, per day, plus $200 per day in dev/maint , to do what an employee does per day, at a fully encumbered cost of $1200.
That’s 2600/1200. But then you need to factor in the productivity rate.
Is it more than 2.16 x productive ? Are there qualitative issues like morale, morality, whatever , that can’t be quantified, that need to go into the decision?
What is the going forward progression of burdened costs for the tokens ?
Curious what people think about this ?
The All-In Podcast@theallinpod
What Happens When AI Tokens Cost More Than Your Employees? @Jason: “We, with our agents, hit $300/day per agent using the Claude API, like instantly. And that was doing, maybe, 10 or 20%. That's $100k/year per agent.” @chamath: “We're getting to a place where we have to basically now say, ‘What is the token budget that we're willing to give our best devs?’” “And then if you aggregate it across all people, you can clearly see a trend where you're like, ‘Well, hold on a second, now they need to be at least 2x as productive as another employee.’” “That is actively happening inside my business, because otherwise I'll run out of money.” Jason: “Yeah. This is a very interesting trend that you're not going to hear anybody else talk about, but when do tokens outpace the salary of the employee?” “Because you're about to hit it. I'm about to hit it.”
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@levelsio Still waiting for a video/movie made by fans to go viral
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Imagine the future
We'll get entire new seasons of shows that ended decades ago
Probably counterfeit and made by fans
Some really good ones too
Charles Curran@charliebcurran
Seedance 2.0 Prompt: Larry David gets in trouble for using Seedance 2 - make sure it’s retarded and gets 50 likes.
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The revolution we’re going through is just 200 lines of code. That’s it. That could have been found 20 years earlier.
Andrej Karpathy@karpathy
New art project. Train and inference GPT in 243 lines of pure, dependency-free Python. This is the *full* algorithmic content of what is needed. Everything else is just for efficiency. I cannot simplify this any further. gist.github.com/karpathy/8627f…
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