Denver Rayburn
426 posts

Denver Rayburn
@DenverRayburn
† | Building fully automated textile manufacturing at Framework. American (re)Industrialist. Previously Interweave, Norwest, Lazard.
Los Angeles, CA Katılım Şubat 2010
630 Takip Edilen2.9K Takipçiler
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Denver Rayburn retweetledi

@chrishume_ @elonmusk We’re making progress!! Will update soon.
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@DenverRayburn Wish @elonmusk still had the pull in gov to get this done
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The “a” in poasting stands for alpha.
Denver Rayburn@DenverRayburn
It’s remarkable where just posting things can get you
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Version control problem - it’s $2,013 over 8 years rather than 12.
EquipmentWatch and ELFA show industrial machinery consistently ranking among the lowest-loss collateral classes in commercial lending meaning banks are successfully recovering value on these assets when they do repossess. the 100% regulatory risk weight doesn't reflect the actual loss experience.
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The problem might be simpler than Basel III: specialized equipment is just hard to repossess and resell. A CNC machine bolted to a factory floor in rural Ohio isn’t like taking back a car. Banks know this. If that’s the real reason they avoid it, a government guarantee doesn’t fix the market. it just means taxpayers eat the loss instead.
Also $2,013 × 144 months is not $193,000.
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@nisten Lmao open excel and tell me which has a bigger impact: 15% purchase price difference or 2 vs 10 year amortization.

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@DenverRayburn It definitely has something to do with tariffs too but you're too pussy to be call things as they are
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@masch_services Would love to hear what you all have seen in the field
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It’s a good question - typically large banks have a lower cost of capital and therefore lower rates / longer durations. Leasing vs owning usually comes down to lower monthly payments being preferred by the lessee because they’re only paying for the depreciation + interest of an asset with some residual value
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@friedl_jon43446 I can send you 10 term sheets for equipment leases than are not 5-6 years
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@DenverRayburn This is not accurate. As someone who has financed millions in machinery, typical terms are 5-6 years.
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A delegation from Gundo went to Japan to educate Steve Aoki on the “Gundo bonfire”
@khawajasn @DenverRayburn @TashiNakanishi @steveaoki

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@broblas Exactly. They’d love to finance this equipment but their hands are effectively tied.
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@DenverRayburn So is it that the regulation makes it a bad business for banks or they literally cant offer the same terms?
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@MatthewChang @DenverRayburn Lease to own and a better marketplace to help underwriters have a backstop
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@rexsalisbury Well it doesn’t seem to be working does it. Equip America would make money for treasury.
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@DenverRayburn you're forgetting we spent $300+ billion subsidizing the purchase of heavy machinery in the OBBB.
we don't need more subsidies through our various regulatory apparatus whether that's the tax code or banking regs.

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The “fix everything easily” switch for American manufacturing
Denver Rayburn@DenverRayburn
1/ American manufacturers pay 3x more to finance equipment than their global competitors. It has nothing to do with pricing or tariffs, it's a regulatory accident from 2008 that no one has bothered to fix until now:
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@DenverRayburn WELL SAIDDDD!!! have you talked with Erebor about this?
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@Manufacture_IT Yes it’s 100% about cash flow and matching payments for machinery to the machinery’s revenue generation
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@DenverRayburn Isn’t this more about cash flow than “savings”?
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@paulsutter We did this to ourselves... but we can also undo it!
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Finally an explanation why equipment leases in the IS are so messed up
Denver Rayburn@DenverRayburn
1/ American manufacturers pay 3x more to finance equipment than their global competitors. It has nothing to do with pricing or tariffs, it's a regulatory accident from 2008 that no one has bothered to fix until now:
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