Denver Rayburn

426 posts

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Denver Rayburn

Denver Rayburn

@DenverRayburn

† | Building fully automated textile manufacturing at Framework. American (re)Industrialist. Previously Interweave, Norwest, Lazard.

Los Angeles, CA Katılım Şubat 2010
630 Takip Edilen2.9K Takipçiler
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Denver Rayburn
Denver Rayburn@DenverRayburn·
1/ American manufacturers pay 3x more to finance equipment than their global competitors. It has nothing to do with pricing or tariffs, it's a regulatory accident from 2008 that no one has bothered to fix until now:
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
JUST IN: New York City reportedly now spending more per homeless person than the median income of the city.
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Denver Rayburn
Denver Rayburn@DenverRayburn·
1/ American manufacturers pay 3x more to finance equipment than their global competitors. It has nothing to do with pricing or tariffs, it's a regulatory accident from 2008 that no one has bothered to fix until now:
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Denver Rayburn
Denver Rayburn@DenverRayburn·
It’s remarkable where just posting things can get you
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Denver Rayburn
Denver Rayburn@DenverRayburn·
Version control problem - it’s $2,013 over 8 years rather than 12. EquipmentWatch and ELFA show industrial machinery consistently ranking among the lowest-loss collateral classes in commercial lending meaning banks are successfully recovering value on these assets when they do repossess. the 100% regulatory risk weight doesn't reflect the actual loss experience.
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Misagh
Misagh@misaqh_·
The problem might be simpler than Basel III: specialized equipment is just hard to repossess and resell. A CNC machine bolted to a factory floor in rural Ohio isn’t like taking back a car. Banks know this. If that’s the real reason they avoid it, a government guarantee doesn’t fix the market. it just means taxpayers eat the loss instead. Also $2,013 × 144 months is not $193,000.
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Denver Rayburn
Denver Rayburn@DenverRayburn·
@nisten Lmao open excel and tell me which has a bigger impact: 15% purchase price difference or 2 vs 10 year amortization.
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nisten🇨🇦e/acc
nisten🇨🇦e/acc@nisten·
@DenverRayburn It definitely has something to do with tariffs too but you're too pussy to be call things as they are
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Denver Rayburn
Denver Rayburn@DenverRayburn·
It’s a good question - typically large banks have a lower cost of capital and therefore lower rates / longer durations. Leasing vs owning usually comes down to lower monthly payments being preferred by the lessee because they’re only paying for the depreciation + interest of an asset with some residual value
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David Foster
David Foster@DavidF1344·
Very interesting piece. One question: instead of leasing, why would the manufacturer get a secured loan from a BDC and use that to *purchase* the equipment?...in that case, I believe that the residual-value-vs-time calculation would be up to the BDC's commercial judgment, not to regulators.
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Jonathon Friedl
Jonathon Friedl@friedl_jon43446·
@DenverRayburn This is not accurate. As someone who has financed millions in machinery, typical terms are 5-6 years.
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Denver Rayburn
Denver Rayburn@DenverRayburn·
@broblas Exactly. They’d love to finance this equipment but their hands are effectively tied.
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Nick
Nick@broblas·
@DenverRayburn So is it that the regulation makes it a bad business for banks or they literally cant offer the same terms?
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Denver Rayburn
Denver Rayburn@DenverRayburn·
@rexsalisbury Well it doesn’t seem to be working does it. Equip America would make money for treasury.
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Rex Salisbury
Rex Salisbury@rexsalisbury·
@DenverRayburn you're forgetting we spent $300+ billion subsidizing the purchase of heavy machinery in the OBBB. we don't need more subsidies through our various regulatory apparatus whether that's the tax code or banking regs.
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Denver Rayburn
Denver Rayburn@DenverRayburn·
@Manufacture_IT Yes it’s 100% about cash flow and matching payments for machinery to the machinery’s revenue generation
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