Kanzler:inkandidat:innen

@levelsio oh you are up for some big awakening

Immigrants in Portugal are just the scapegoat for a dysfunctional government and corrupt system that doesn't build housing, makes it impossible for Portuguese to start or run businesses This means no jobs created so no job opportunities for them, and no houses built so no places to live for them. Which results in most young Portuguese leaving the country at age 18-25 Before the scapegoat was the digital nomads, and before that the Brazilians. Now it's the South Asian immigrants Portuguese love to blame foreigners for the problems their own government has created Every problem in Portugal is an extreme version of Europe's problems as a whole btw

@akostatus @paolo_scales 50K outreaches/month? thats 1 outreach every 51.84 secs. I cant imagine that LinkedIn would allow a bot to do this. Proof, or what you are saying is bs

This one’s gold. I know a couple people doing exactly this …building real relationships through perceived authority + value-driven convos. And you’re right… LinkedIn is wildly underestimated. One guy I know is pulling $200K/month only from LinkedIn outreach. Here’s the play: He’s got 70+ female LinkedIn profiles, all positioned as “partners” or “strategic advisors” at his firm. They’re optimized, active, and look legit. He pushes 50k connection requests monthly. The scripts aren’t pitchy…they feel personal, casual, non-salesy. Once a lead engages, it gets handed off to the “CEO” for deeper convo. Spoiler: it’s still him…just switching personas. But the system works because: •It’s low pressure •It leverages trust + curiosity •And it gives value first LinkedIn isn’t about spamming inboxes. It’s about orchestrated positioning and moving conversations offline once trust is built. Done right, this stuff prints.

I know a guy making $90k/month only through LinkedIn outreach He has 20 female LinkedIn accounts positioned at “partners at his company” Sends 10k-20k connection requests per month Converts people by pushing to a low pressure chat to give value with the “CEO” But it’s actually just him…

@kunalb11 x.com/i/grok/share/K…

@vinayp10 also, the purpose of IP and pharmaceutical is to be able to earn a return. Most of the return on a successful molecules earned in the first two years. Also, people misunderstand the chances of finding a successful molecule that can help people. It’s a one and 1 billion chance

This even goes beyond tech: consider pharmaceuticals. Drug patents extend monopolies, keeping medicines expensive. Insulin, discovered a century ago, costs Americans 8x what it costs in peer countries. All because of our IP system.

Jack Dorsey just went viral for reasons nobody expected. He's openly joined Musk in declaring war on IP laws. No patents. No copyright. No gatekeepers. What happens next decides who gets rich in the next era of the internet:🧵

@vinayp10 how is insulin still under IP in the US? I haven’t checked, but I strongly strongly doubt that it is. I am pretty sure you just blasted this out . This specifically is probably not the reason why it is so expensive in the US.

@onechancefreedm @vol_farmer @LawrenceLepard @RemindMe_OfThis in 1 month

This is now entering the late-phase volatility loop. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) can suppress yields or defend the yen but not both simultaneously. What’s coming to a head is a multi-decade unwind of a structural distortion: Japan’s low-rate regime, which has served as the global risk-funding mechanism via the yen carry trade. The moment of “losing control” likely materializes when USD/JPY crosses a level that breaks either domestic political consensus or invites coordinated foreign intervention e.g., above 152–155 with bond yields still rising and CPI surprising. Once that breaks, the unwind is reflexive. The carry trade exits will amplify volatility across EM, gold, USTs, and equities think 1998, but at systemic scale. The capital won’t flow back to Japan neatly. Much of it will evaporate in cross-asset liquidation spirals especially in leveraged EM FX, high beta credit, and tech long-duration exposures. Conviction: We are inside the terminal phase. BOJ may technically still have tools, but structural capital flight, demographic entropy, and the loss of external FX inflow buffers are now converging. Collapse risk in logic: If the U.S. breaks before Japan or G7 central banks coordinate to suppress vol across all curves (a “stealth Plaza Accord 2.0”), BOJ might extend control longer than expected. High conviction probability: Breakdown begins in Q2–Q3 2025. Carry capital will not return it will scatter.

This is one of the clearest signals yet that the Bank of Japan has lost control of the long end of the curve. Japan’s 30-year yield hitting 2.845% its highest since 2004 isn’t just a local event. This has global knock-on effects: Japan is the largest foreign holder of U.S. Treasuries and a key player in the global carry trade. Rising JGB yields force Japanese institutions to repatriate capital, unwind overseas positions, and pull back on USD asset exposure adding pressure to U.S. yields and FX volatility. This spike also signals the end of the deflationary regime that underpinned global risk assets for decades. If Japan once the global anchor of low yields can’t suppress its bond market anymore, it opens the door to a global repricing of duration risk. This isn’t a blip. It’s a sovereign-level alarm bell.

@onechancefreedm @RemindMe_OfThis in 1month

The next major religion will be an AI prophet/ AI god probably

@DefiantLs idiot thinking. shame on you

Just a reminder that this happened.

We wrote down everything we've learned building voice AI agents over the past two years. Core technology choices, minimizing latency, managing multimodal context, interruption handling, turn detection, evals, state machines, guardrails, memory, async and realtime function calling, ... Plus diagrams, charts, and code samples. The text is open source, so feel free to submit PRs.

Psychologists have posited hundreds of cognitive biases over the years. A fascinating new paper argues that they all boil down to one of a handful of fundamental beliefs coupled with confirmation bias. [Link below.]

I KNEW IT! It takes real energy to move from one “brain state” to another, which explains what I think is one of the most under-appreciated facts in all productivity: That the mere order in which you complete tasks is profoundly important A sequence like Task A => Task B => Task A => Task B might require exponentially more energy than Task A => Task A => Task B => Task B… Even though it’s the exact same set of tasks! The order really matters, because in each transition from one type of task (requiring a certain kind of thinking) to another type, your brain is having to overcome the activation energy needed to shift brain states In other words, we have to batch process our tasks to conserve energy, the same way we batch process production runs in manufacturing to conserve time (the time needed to “switch dies”) That explains why so many of the lessons and techniques of old-school manufacturing still apply to modern knowledge work: transitions still consume resources, just a different kind of resource

The problem with our western society nowadays is that it cherishes the word more than its meaning. This leads to so many ills in our society

@DelkorYT @ArgMilei @grok did milei use fractional reserve banking to finance this?

@ArgMilei This is not a great as it sounds because it is financed by fractional reserve banking, i.e. it drives up inflation and makes transitioning to the USD more difficult. If those mortgages were backed 100%, it wouldn't be a problem

ARGENTINA SEES 84% SURGE IN MORTGAGES UPTAKE AMID ECONOMIC REFORMS Argentina's mortgage market grew by 84% in 2024 compared to 2023, driven by economic recovery efforts under President Javier Milei. Mortgage interest rates dropped to 30.27% in December 2024, down from a peak of 130.6% in December 2023 when Milei took office. Milei’s pro-market reforms aim to revive a historically small mortgage sector, which is less than 1% of GDP, compared to 30% in Chile. The Ministry of Justice highlights this growth as a win for property rights, a key pillar of Milei’s agenda. @JMilei

humor might be the mist important skill humans have. have you after fought against someone with who you could laugh?

@euaccofficial preparation for introduction of cbdc?

BREAKING: Europe’s GDPR privacy law is headed for red tape bonfire within ‘weeks’ Europe's most famous technology law, the GDPR, is next on the hit list as the European Union pushes ahead with its regulatory killing spree to slash laws it reckons are weighing down its businesses. The European Commission plans to present a proposal to cut back the General Data Protection Regulation, or GDPR for short, in the next couple of weeks. Slashing regulation is a key focus for Commission President @vonderleyen, as part of an attempt to make businesses in Europe more competitive with rivals in the United States, China and elsewhere. 🇪🇺 👏

@chamath @grok whats bretton woods and what did it achieve ?

My current best view: Trump lets tariff reactions play out for a few weeks. Sees the trend of capitulations and is emboldened to keep going. He fields offers from everyone. Negotiates with no one. Then brings everyone to MaL in a month or two and puts an offer on the table: Bretton Woods 2.0. It’s simpler and more effective to have one Grand Bargain than negotiate piecemeal with 80 countries+. I am focused on figuring out what terms matter most for the MaL Accords. I have a few in mind which are obvious and would kingmake the US. I don’t buy this whole “end of US hegemony”. This is the moment to go for the jugular and establish world order around America.

@chamath @RemindMe_OfThis in 2 months

@RealPData @RemindMe_OfThis in 2 weeks

Why is this random post from March actually aging well