Derek Thorn

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Derek Thorn

Derek Thorn

@DerekThorn

Overcomplicating everything

Washington DC Katılım Nisan 2009
329 Takip Edilen147 Takipçiler
Josh Dawsey
Josh Dawsey@jdawsey1·
Lindsey Graham once told me that Trump would praise anyone who praised him, and would attack anyone who attacked him, “even if it’s the pope.” Tonight, Trump went after the pope.
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Jen
Jen@JenTusch·
@jdawsey1 I wonder how his Catholic supporters will feel about that.
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Derek Thorn
Derek Thorn@DerekThorn·
@jasonconsorti @sciam What could be the difference between the laws of physics revealing a lie and a design choice by an enemy being exploited?
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Scientific American
Ghost Murmur was described as a futuristic CIA tool that could detect a heartbeat from vast distances. Physicists say the public story clashes with the basic limits of magnetic sensing spklr.io/6015EJP6J
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Tree House Brewing Co.🍺
Tree House Brewing Co.🍺@TreeHouseBrewCo·
All hail the mighty Big Blue! 💙😮‍💨💙😮‍💨💙😮‍💨 This massively dry-hopped Double IPA returns after a long hiatus, featuring a mostly pale grist with a kiss of honey malt and an onslaught of Mosaic. We taste and smell ripe clementine, dank blueberry, juicy apricot, and pineapple cream!
Tree House Brewing Co.🍺 tweet mediaTree House Brewing Co.🍺 tweet media
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Dave Itzkoff
Dave Itzkoff@ditzkoff·
The quality of photos we’re already getting from the moon is incredible
Dave Itzkoff tweet media
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Brian Gaar
Brian Gaar@briangaar·
Serial had one good season now it’s just someone’s fuckup cousin
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Derek Thorn
Derek Thorn@DerekThorn·
@CurtisHouck What part do you think is unrealistic? Did you expect the doctors to start clapping in solidarity with ICE?
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Curtis Houck
Curtis Houck@CurtisHouck·
Wtf is this woke fan fiction
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Derek Thorn
Derek Thorn@DerekThorn·
@daveweigel Can’t believe the snub for 28 Years Later, maybe for The Bone Temple?
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David Weigel
David Weigel@daveweigel·
Unlike Peter O’Toole, the patron saint of actors who missed their window, Fiennes lives clean and keeps getting cast in Oscar-tier stuff. Weird luck though. Not even nominated for The Grand Budapest Hotel (lost out to Steve Carrell’s fake nose in Foxcatcher)
Pope Crave@ClubConcrave

After hosting the 2025 Academy Awards, Conan O’Brien says Ralph Fiennes should have won an Oscar but probably never will: “It was like his fifth time being nominated, and he’s clearly the best actor in the room.”

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Derek Thorn
Derek Thorn@DerekThorn·
@DKThomp The AI doesn’t have any understanding because it doesn’t think, it’s just getting better at presenting the most common answer. It seems obvious that the law of diminishing returns will apply, and that overestimations of its capacity were/are based on straight-line extrapolation
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Derek Thorn
Derek Thorn@DerekThorn·
@DKThomp It’s still a flawed analogy because the AI isn’t like an actor in that it can’t learn; your analogy holds on being better director, but it’s more like becoming a better cinematographer: you’re learning what lenses to choose and how to position the lights and what f-stop to choose
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Derek Thompson
Derek Thompson@DKThomp·
One summary of this finding might be that METR’s famously aggressive AI evals are wildly over-optimistic about how good AI is, even in software engineering. Maybe that’s right. I think the interpretation I like better is that AI is v good at doing plausible work in jobs that involve understanding, producing, manipulating, or summarizing information—but in many cases it’s best at producing *candidate solutions* that require the human worker to constantly check, debug, reframe, or reject … and that checking/debugging/reframing task effectively becomes its own job. Sometimes when I’m using Claude Code to do little projects like govt data analysis, I feel like a casting director for a film or play, working w a promising but flawed younger actor who cheerily takes direction but often doesn’t nail it in the first or fifth try. That experience is already teaching me about the promise and limitations of agents … AND the degree to which I need to become a better director whose instructions provide the right shape and context. I think getting this right is going to take a long time to diffuse thru the economy, which is one reason why I don’t think predictions of imminent mass job replacement are v likely.
Joel Becker@joel_bkr

new @METR_Evals research note from @whitfill_parker, @cherylwoooo, nate rush, and me. (chiefly parker!) we find that *half* of SWE-bench Verified solutions from Sonnet 3.5-to-4.5 generation AIs *which are graded as passing* are rejected by project maintainers.

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Derek Thorn
Derek Thorn@DerekThorn·
@KevinOConnor @thecyberfam Definitely want someone who shouldn’t be driving driving a massive truck around. What could possibly go wrong
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Kevin O'Connor
Kevin O'Connor@KevinOConnor·
@thecyberfam Awesome. Makes me wish my grandparents and my dad were still around to show them this tech.
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CybertruckFamily
CybertruckFamily@thecyberfam·
My 87 year old Mother-in-law decided she wanted to "drive" the Cybertruck today so we went for a quick spin on FSD 14.2.2.5 She hasn't driven a car for 5 years so she was stoked. "It's amazing!" 😁
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Derek Thorn
Derek Thorn@DerekThorn·
@DKThomp 4. You should take Marc Andreessen’s word for exactly 0% of it. My god man, do you possess the capacity for incredulity in the slightest?
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Derek Thompson
Derek Thompson@DKThomp·
Three things that can be true at the same time 1. That this WH has a commendable talent for turning public opinion against its actions. 2. That govt regulation of AI was always going to be a very tricky multi-stage muddle no matter who the president was in 2026. 3. That Pete Hegseth really sucks at many aspects of his job
Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸@pmarca

Overheard in Silicon Valley: "Every single person who was in favor of government control of AI, is now opposed to government control of AI."

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Guillermo Mena 🏳️‍🌈🇺🇦🇵🇷🇺🇸
@brianbeutler All the seats she got are middle seats. How does that happen? When I buy a ticket, all the seats in the class (or subclass) are usually available to pick from. I’ve never paid extra for a window seat or aisle seat. What airline does that?
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Brian Beutler
Brian Beutler@brianbeutler·
If you weren’t such a resentful person, you could’ve helped solve this problem, but instead you supported the greedy, bigoted people who canceled the exact policy you claim to want as soon as they took power. reuters.com/business/aeros…
Bethany S. Mandel@bethanyshondark

I’m traveling with two of my kids. And on the way here and now on the way back, we were seated apart. Two different airlines. If we want to make it easier for families to travel, we need to require airlines to seat families w/ kids together without an extra charge. @SecDuffy

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Derek Thorn
Derek Thorn@DerekThorn·
@Chris_arnade I don’t really have to concern myself with the issues of buses or city streets or subways or even downtown if I live primarily in suburbia and strip malls and my occasional visit to those other places is to go to one place and then drive home
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Derek Thorn
Derek Thorn@DerekThorn·
@Chris_arnade I agree, but also: it seems obvious to me that part of that respect and trust comes from being in close proximity, and the political will to do something about those people who need help comes at least in part from being forced to be in regular close proximity
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Chris Arnade 🐢🐱🚌
Chris Arnade 🐢🐱🚌@Chris_arnade·
You can't have dense walkable cities if people don't respect, trust, and want to be around other random citizens. As I wrote years ago, the reason why Japanese/European style urbanism (density, fantastic public transport, mixed-use zoning, that so many American tourist admire) can't happen here is because there is a fine line (public trust) between vibrant alive streets, and squalid, fetid, and lurid ones, and US is on the wrong side of that line. This isn't just a dense big city issue though -- the acceptance of disorder has made most downtowns, various neighborhoods, and public transit, of every US city (mid-sized and small), a scene that would shock Europeans/Asian visitors and should shock Americans. Simply put, nobody wants to be accosted by a stranger -- no matter how infrequent -- and policy makers simply shouldn't tolerate it.
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion

When Americans go to other countries, they notice that the cities there feel much nicer. Why? The reason is simple: America has a lot of crime and public disorder, and those other countries don't. noahpinion.blog/p/why-does-ame…

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Graham Platner for Senate
Graham Platner for Senate@grahamformaine·
NEW POLL from the University of New Hampshire's Pine Tree Poll. It's... Democratic Primary: 🔵 Platner: 64% 🔵 Mills: 26% General Election: 🔵 Platner: 49% 🔴 Collins: 38% 🔵 Mills: 41% 🔴 Collins: 40%
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Derek Thorn
Derek Thorn@DerekThorn·
@as_per_ushe @Chris_arnade I’m not getting mad at them, and it’s harm increase, not harm reduction. I do appreciate that they see it differently and are trying with good intentions. And I realize my wishing they would put that desperately needed effort into something helpful isn’t helpful itself.
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Space Pirate
Space Pirate@as_per_ushe·
@DerekThorn @Chris_arnade Change is possible, it's that I think changes require real resources and effort that we are not using right now, and that is the main problem. Getting mad at powerless lefties who are desperately trying to do harm reduction in the face of that fact is ridiculous.
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Chris Arnade 🐢🐱🚌
Chris Arnade 🐢🐱🚌@Chris_arnade·
This peeing on subway debate is absurd, but also depressing and frustrating. Public disorder and homelessness are huge problems in the U.S. that are especially striking when you spend any time overseas and see what an aberration it is. We are the world's richest country, and yet we have public spaces that rank in the bottom half—dirty, chaotic, and threatening. Disorder in subways should be nonexistent, not rare, and certainly not periodic. It really doesn't have to be that way. It's a choice we've made that isn't about money, but policy. NYC spends $4 billion on homeless services, and the very few people who are causing the majority of problems (they are a small percent of those who qualify for help) have options that they refuse because of mental problems, addiction, and/or both. Someone peeing on the subway is not in a right frame of mind, and isn't normal behavior, even for this population. It's a sign of distress that should cause an intervention—by police, social workers, whoever—that mandates them into an institution for a period of time, until they regain sanity. Hospital, mental ward, detox, prison, you choose, but they should not be allowed to do whatever they want. They are not sound enough to have the freedom. Someone shouting at strangers, someone shitting themselves, someone punching at the air, is also not in their right frame of mind and shouldn't—for their own safety and others—be out roaming the streets. It isn't fair to the public, especially the working people who have to deal with them on a daily basis. It isn't fair to the person themselves. The idea that it is empathetic to allow someone to roam the streets tortured by their inner demons, covered in filth, high as a kite, is so backwards and immoral that I cannot believe the activists who support it have spent any time around these people.
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Boyuan (Nemo) Chen
Boyuan (Nemo) Chen@boyuan_chen·
i run an AI agent with access to my email, browser, calendar, and social accounts daily. calling it "extremely insecure" is like calling car keys insecure because someone could drive your car. the real question is whether permissioning is granular enough, and honestly it's getting there
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Matt Stoller
Matt Stoller@matthewstoller·
For those of you who don’t know, Clawdbot is an AI agent tool that is extremely insecure. It’s basically like the ability to tell OpenAI ‘hey go do a bunch of stuff’ and it can use any account you give it, from email to banking to development environment, and act independently. Techies are obsessed because it’s very cool, but it will often do things like delete your entire gmail or publish confidential information, even if you tell it not to do that. And people in very important security and safety positions in technology firms are more likely to be careless with Clawdbot because they love tinkering and are reckless rich idiots.
ben (is hiring engineers)@benhylak

this should terrify you. the Director of Safety and Alignment at meta gave clawdbot full-access to her computer. what is meta doing???

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Derek Thorn
Derek Thorn@DerekThorn·
@as_per_ushe @Chris_arnade I’m just not sure what the “nothing can change” perspective brings to a conversation, it’s obviously false, things are changing all the time, and the world you think is changing for the worse is being changed for the better from the perspective of others. Give up the helplessness
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Derek Thorn
Derek Thorn@DerekThorn·
@as_per_ushe @Chris_arnade To return to Chris’s point, and yours: I agree that’s the calculus ppl are making, I think its a dumb one because it embeds hopeless cynicism as foundation for its logic, and asks everyone involved (the homeless person themself an all who encounter) to suffer.
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