DraftAlchemy

🚨GW5 Predicted XIs:🚨 Deadline: Sat 21 Sep, 0300 (PDT) Lots of updates with midweek European fixtures. All the latest injury news is included. Leave your questions/comments below. eGoals = expected mean goals, are calculated as lambda derived from @FPLReview's model. Your likes are loved & Reposts are appreciated! #FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague

Hi All! I know times are incredibly hard for many and that it may be impossible to help which is totally understandable, but I thought I’d put this out to you all to see if you could. This is my best friends wife so want to do as much as I can ❤️ gofund.me/2b1f5fc67

Massive blow for @fbref and all of its regulars. @mixedknuts this could be an opening for Statsbomb to fill a void/keep a staple of the sports analytics community running. Might I suggest a partnership? I’m sure the PR wouldn’t be too bad either… #fuckopta

@mclachbot Great thread. Would be interesting to look at the Wolves underperformance that’s illustrated in the first plot. You watch Wolves and it’s clear that they’re the worst team in the league, but applying this same analysis would you argue they are unlucky to be where they are?

Aston Villa have 33 points from 17 games. Their underlying numbers say they should have 18. That's a +15 point gap - the largest overperformance at this point of the season in recent Premier League history. Is this sustainable? Let's look at the data 🧵

Is there a worse pundit than Stephen Warnock? Just spews shit

@h0lum @FPL_Heisenberg @OfficialFPL Fair play, you are right, I am wrong! I missed him getting a shot off!

@DraftAlchemy @FPL_Heisenberg @OfficialFPL Your final point is incorrect. If Bradley crosses a ball, the ball touches the keeper once and then goes directly to Ekitike who scores the assist will be rewarded. You’re missing the main point that Ekitike shots two times, first a save and then scores on the rebound. No assist.

No assist for Liverpool's second goal yesterday is a mistake from @OfficialFPL Conor Bradley crossed it for Ekitike who scored. 100% assist. Vid in next tweet. As nobody has Bradley it doesn't matter either way - but I'm raising it as I want consistency 👇

@ronaldobrown_98 “Well done mate he’s 13”

Radio silence when Diogo Dalot has good games.

@joaquin_roth Not a fan of Guler on WC 6?

Welcome to my #UCLFantasy GW6 Preview! GW6 is that moment in the League Phase where managers suddenly feel very confident… usually right before the game reminds them why confidence is a fragile illusion. Chips, chaos, injuries, rotation, it’s still all here. So let’s walk through this week with clarity, not panic. Here’s what this thread covers - Injury updates that reshape drafts. - What to do with no chips (2FT path). - The Mbappé vs Haaland dilemma. - WC6: structures, drafts & differentials + the importance of planning GW7 properly. - LL6: when it actually beats WC6 + when is the best time to use the chip. - Situations where a hit is viable and reasonable. Let’s get into it.

@h0lum @FPL_Heisenberg @OfficialFPL Your final point is correct, but your argument is flawed. 1. The player who’s shot is saved is in fact credited with a fantasy assist 2. This is a cross, not a shot, and no assist given is justified.

@FPL_Heisenberg @OfficialFPL It is consistent. If a player shots, keeper save and then the player scores it’s not an assist. It has never been. If you want consistency then you should be happy that they didn’t give an assist for it.

For fucks sake, play a 433. No, it’s not winning the title but it’s better than whatever this is. Mbeumo Cunha Amad Bruno Mainoo - Casemiro Shaw - Martinez - MDL - Maz

@_UTDNick @ronaldobrown_98 Where’s this been said? Searched @JacobsBen timeline and couldn’t find anything about being knocked out

@ronaldobrown_98 Apparently he got knocked out cold on the pitch while training and had to be rushed in. Thats what Ben Jacobs said.

How bad was this head injury?

@fc_mossman Am I missing Vusko?

📊 u23 CBs: Retrofitting for Predictiveness 💭 Which data matters most for predicting future success, and who might make the jump next based on the historical u21 data of now-stars? + in possession: volume of progressive runs + passes into the final 3rd + out of possession: aerial duels won + defensive ground duel win rate ⚪️: the current u23 midfielders 🟢: a few of the historical data points used to identify which metrics matter most (age in parenthesis) ➡️ Good data now does not guarantee future success, but most of the players with future success will have good data now.

@F_Edits Sorting means they are presented in the order in which they are sorted no? I’m not understanding

"i hate that it's numerically" let me present you something even worse: Lineup sorted by how common each player's surname is in the world

@robtFPL @TimbersFPL @SolioAnalytics I’ve noticed on a number of occasions that after midweek fixtures SpreadEx can sometimes get their wires crossed as they reprice players and update the site.

@TimbersFPL @SolioAnalytics They have, but I think they've got Bowen and Paq a bit off for some reason. We have Bowen just above 0.35, Paq close to 0.30.

💹 #FPL Market goal projections | GW11 A look at the top projected scorers this GW, per SpreadEx player goal markets (assumes a start; filtered for potential starters with latest @SolioAnalytics xMins)

@louorns Hey mate - how’s your shot placement % calculated?

Premier League strikers this season | open play penalty box shot placement *small sample size*

@lateriser12 These sorts of posts are what have me wish there was a 'dislike' button on this platform

Why xG solely isn't the only telling stat. Neither xG nor touchmaps cover this.

@Kayodeodeleye @Lisa_Hiley @josemorgado Thanks for proving my point!Article says “torn achilles” which is very, very different from a “ruptured achilles”, mate. Easy to confuse, though, and most who don’t have medical knowledge would not know there’s a difference. Have a good one!

@Lisa_Hiley @DraftAlchemy @josemorgado And yes it is tennis365.com/tennis-news/ho…

Sickening scenes in Stockholm. Hope it’s not the worst case scenario. Injuries suck.

@Kayodeodeleye @josemorgado You can’t walk on a ruptured achilles.

@josemorgado Looks like an Achilles rupture That’s sad 😢 Recovery is a mental slugfest Don’t ask how I know

Is Bergvall’s long throw more important to Thomas Frank than playing Xavi Simons in his preferred 10 position? #TOTWOL

@FFScout @SkontoRigga This has a bunch of bad data - Minteh only on 30 mins? That’s wrong - he played >110 minutes across two games… where’s the data from the first match?

⏱️ A club-by-club guide of minutes played for every player on international duty! ➕ Plus injuries, late returns and more. 📝 @SkontoRigga with your ESSENTIAL international break round-up 👇 fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2025/09/11/min…

@JWillDraft I did one of these last year. Please find it and grill me

No, but seriously… this is actually it.