Druvicious 🟠
2K posts
Druvicious 🟠
@Drew_Vish
$BTC I AI "If you only knew the magnificence of the 3, 6, and 9, then you would have a key to the universe." ~ Nikola Tesla
Multiverse Katılım Mayıs 2010
231 Takip Edilen259 Takipçiler
@PeterSchiff @Drew_Vish MSTR is inverse LTCM Peter
Deal with it
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Druvicious 🟠 retweetledi
TARP was the Trouble Asset Relief Program commonly known as the bank bailout or the subprime mortgage rescue. The original idea was to buy toxic mortgage-backed securities clogging bank balance sheets, but Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson quickly pivoted. Instead of purchasing bad assets, they injected capital directly into banks by buying preferred stock and warrants through the Capital Purchase Program. This gave banks quick cash to shore up regulatory capital without the messy process of the government valuing and buying complex securities. The funding cap was approved by Congress at just under $500 Billion, 40% of it made its way into the banks this way.
What if the troubled asset this time around is a US Treasury bond, simply because there's a failure of bids submitted sufficient to buy the amount of that bond being offered at auction at any price? Such an event would be something so severe that the actual bad news would not be disclosed, at least until they managed to find a bid, if at all.
Patriot Wife@PatriotWife72
@JoshMandell6 @mcchiperson77 @SimplyBitcoin What is Tarp Josh? I saw this post early about bond market crash. So many seem to think it’ll do the opposite of that.
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@hillery_dan I don't think you are. I'm watching the MOVE index...👀
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@JoshMandell6 I went through the $15B debt buyback on 4/16 with AI today. Long story short, I think we are getting dangerously close to a re-valuation. This is much worse than I envisioned when you first started talking about it. We’re taking the elevator 😕.
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@TedPillows The cycle could have 6-18 months left in my opinion. This is the first leg of wave C of V imo. This aligns withthe Whaley Bread Thrust, the MTE quant too.
x.com/Brikka_trading…
BTR forecast@Brikka_trading
$SPX just made a bullish reversal above the key level.📈 The price action strongly suggests the recent local low was an ending diagonal Wave (C) of a flat pattern. The completion of the pattern is not yet confirmed, and the bearish momentum could return if the market breaches the key support level at 6300. On the HTF, the market still has plenty of time to finish this major diagonal structure — and this pattern shares the path with the impulsive interpretation. 🎯Minimum target for Wave [C] of V: 7500–7900 zone. This aligns with the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci extensions. (The ideal 100% extension for the zigzag inside the diagonal points to 9000) Timing perspective: Previous motive waves within this diagonal took over 900 days to unfold. That suggests the big HTF diagonal is likely to complete until October 2027. ⚠️Wave [A] of V played out in just 203 days. If Wave [C] of V takes similar time, we still have ~6 months of bullish momentum ahead. What’s your take on this count? Bullish continuation or are you seeing something different? Drop your thoughts below.👇 #SPX #ElliottWave #WaveAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #MarketUpdate
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$MSTR: Many are wondering when @Strategy | @saylor buying pressure will eventually prop up $BTC price & how "low" price would be if they hadn't been buying this whole time. Not to be a party pooper but the answer is never & prob not much lower. Same dynamic with ETFs noted below:
Adrian Morris@_Adrian
$MSTR | $STRK | $STRF | $STRD | $STRC | $STRE: Very Happy Monday and Good Morning everyone, it's Cornday. SWEET BABY JESUS @Strategy has acquired 34,164 $BTC and they HODL 815,061 $BTC. This $BTC purchase was made via the $MSTR | $STRC ATM Equity Offerings.
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@JoshMandell6 This, in-effect, further industrializes the capital raise. This has 2 big impacts on BTC buys:
1. Increases buy velocity as more days "pinned" at $100
2. Further opens up a multi-trillion dollar pool that sat out due to volatility.
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For STRC, the most recent dividend period had a Record Date of April 15, 2026 for a Dividend Payment Date of April 30, 2026. What that means is that you had to own STRC shares as of April 14th or 15th in order to be entitled to the dividend paid on April 30th. The dividend arbitrage firms, therefore, time their purchases so that the transaction settles just before the Record Date. and then, all too often, they sell immediately after that date. This is why STRC briefly traded below $99 on April 16th.
What’s interesting about the proposal to switch to semi-monthly payments is that the payment date for one dividend payment would line up with the record date that determines who’s entitled to the one after that.
To be specific, June 30th could become the record date for the July 15th dividend payment and July 15th would be the record date for the July 31st dividend payment and so on. If I assumed that we reach a simple 12% dividend, the current dividend frequency of one month would lend itself to a one point drop on ex-dividend dates whereas the proposed semi-monthly frequency would imply a "fair" drop of only one half point and existing investors would have the opportunity to receive their dividend and plow it back into STRC at any discount which might be available in the market. Theoretically this could be automated by subscribing to a DRIP, otherwise known as a dividend reinvestment plan.
As I stated before, I endorse the proposal.
@Strategy @Z06Z07 @phongle @jameslavish
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@Brikka_trading @MerlijnTrader My targets are the same. $52k-$236k.
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@MerlijnTrader I agree with you.
x.com/brikka_trading…
BTR forecast@Brikka_trading
I think there is a good chance that the ATH in BTC was the peak of wave B within a flat correction pattern. If the price remains above $53k on the monthly chart, this flat pattern is the most likely scenario in my view, and the start of a new impulse wave higher should begin after we find a bottom. I expect a similar bottoming pattern to the April 2025 lows. Below 53k this context is becoming less likely. #BTC
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THE BITCOIN PATTERN THAT TOOK 90 DAYS IS REPEATING.
August to November: accumulate, manipulate, distribute to $126K.
February to now: same three phases. Accumulation complete.
Manipulation is next. $52K target.
Distribution after: $145K.
$80K is where phase 2 begins.
They did this once already this cycle.
You're watching the replay.
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@MerlijnTrader I’ve got a $52k target as well. 100% fib extension from Sept 2024.
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I’m pretty sure I now have a very accurate idea who Satoshi Nakamoto is, aka the founder of Bitcoin $BTC.
Thank you Tucker Tooley for allowing me to see the private screening before your release.
Absolutely amazing work, research, documentation and investigation.
I love Bitcoin even more now. The story is incredible.
#FindingSatoshi
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@KillaXBT You act like bitcoin actively predicts what M2 will do 🤣🥱.
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Everyone abandoned the M2 chart because they never truly understood what it was showing in the first place.
$BTC has consistently topped before M2 peaks.
However, once M2 does top out, it has historically led to extended downside for BTC. That pattern has repeated since 2012.
The sequence has generally been:
BTC tops > M2 keeps rising > BTC ranges until M2 peaks > M2 peaks = prolonged BTC downside.
This cycle has played out again and again.
M2 still hasn’t topped yet, and when it finally does, do you really think it’s suddenly going to decouple from the way markets have always moved?
No.
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@StockmoneyL Prudent. I think there’s a decent chance dip to $52’s, but I will be DCA’ing well before that.
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Stocks are back at all time highs, Bitcoin touched 78k and while last week people were still calling 50% corrections on the S&P 500, this week feels unreal.
Let's take an objective look at the charts:
Bitcoin is now repeating a move it has done multiple times before during bear markets.
I believe a rejection at the daily EMA200 / 0.5 FR is a possible scenario.
HOWEVER: WE WILL NOT DIVE TO 40k AS SOME PREDICT. I believe in 2 scenarios: A) Pullback to somewhere between 65k - 70k or - should stocks correct further down now - into the green "Max pain" box.
Either way. Downside is limited. I am cautious and not buying here. My buying zone is 53 - 60k, in case we touch that again.
Next 6 months are bullish.
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@kingcobratrader BTW, $7,217 to $28,000 is roughly 10% yearly gains. Seems fairly normal to me.
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@kingcobratrader How do you explain the fact that 90% of the time between 1971-1999 the S&P stayed ABOVE the red line?
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Welcome to the WORLD’S LARGEST Pitchfork.
This Pitchfork goes all the way back to 1974.
Ever since the 2009 financial crisis, the algorithms have been pumping the stock market nonstop, turning it into one giant fake-ass Ponzi scheme. Nothing breaks this machine until the median line gets hit.
I’ve tracked this Pitchfork for YEARS. Every single time price gets close, the market corrects. But now? We are getting extremely close.
I believe we are only months away from completing the final 5th wave that started in 2009. This entire run since then has been one massive blow-off move, and it ends when the algos dump their bags right at the top.
Believe whatever the f you want. I don’t care.
But I know things that you don’t. And when that median line gets tagged (whenever it happens) I’ll be shorting the fuck out of the $SPY.
The crash that follows will be bigger than most people can comprehend.
I’m staking my entire reputation on this call. I know how rigged this market is. I don’t care what headlines they use to explain the collapse: they’ll invent some narrative like they always do.
But the truth will be simple: the algorithms start dumping like there’s no tomorrow.
Save this post. Hold me accountable.
If I’m wrong about a major crash once the median line is hit, I’ll delete my entire X account.
See you at the top.
~KingCobra
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@ColinTCrypto @Drew_Vish 30k -37 k is a high propabilites
Cheap money soon became ezpensive money
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For those doing technical analysis along with running probability analysis through AI, you already know $50k is a low probability target. 100% fib extension to $52k from 9/2024. Bitcoin power law bottom for 2026 also $52k.
𝙲𝚘𝚕𝚒𝚗 𝚃𝚊𝚕𝚔𝚜 𝙲𝚛𝚢𝚙𝚝𝚘 🪙@ColinTCrypto
When re-entering the market in 3-6 months from now, I'm going to be super conservative and not try to catch the bottom at all. This is because I am swing trading BTC and not entering the market for the first time. As it stands, my plan is to mostly re-enter the market around $51k. I feel that nearly guarantees an entry (which for me results in more BTC than I started with, which I will be happy with). I don't need to stress of missing out and feeling like I need to chase the market higher later on if I were to miss the bottom. But if I had fresh capital to inject in the market, then I'd start DCAing at $50k and keep buying as it drops down ($45k... $40k... etc). BTC could realistically go as low as $35k this cycle, imo. However, the odds of it reaching lower and lower levels decreases in probability as the price goes lower. Originally I had my main buy target set lower, but I had a talk with myself and weighed the pros and cons of lower targets and it just didn't justify the risk of missing an entry. Again, that's because I'm swing trading and not entering my position for the first time. Also, time is a factor. It depends on what BTC price action does in the coming months. If BTC goes sideways for 6 months then I would raise my buy target to $61k or wherever makes sense at that time, which is still below my sell prices.
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