HarryToe57

@YaBoyDrSal @Cubs1617 @clashreport Hes right though, it is a medevac helicopter for the embassy.

@Cubs1617 @clashreport 🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🫵🏻🫵🏻🫵🏻🫵🏻🫵🏻😂😂😂😂😂

U.S. Air Force losses in the Iran war (confirmed/claimed): 1× F-35 – damaged by Iranian air defense. 3× F-15E Strike Eagle – shot down by Kuwaiti forces (friendly fire). 1× KC-135 – destroyed in a mid-air collision. 1× KC-135 – damaged in a mid-air collision. 5× KC-135 – damaged in Iranian strikes on an airbase. 12× MQ-9 Reaper drones – shot down by Iranian air defense. 1× UH-60 helicopter – damaged by an FPV drone at an airbase. Source: @EGYOSINT

@NotWoofers Whether its intentional or not, this is pretty smart if you want to further fracture the regime. The most likely (and probably only) road for regime change was through factions breaking off and taking a deal with the US/Israel

I am confused by reports to the contrary that state the U.S. is indeed in talks with the IRGC. To me, this indicates that there are different factions currently operating in the Iranian government that are willing to talk, while others take a hardline stance.

@LTGreenwald @StupidMinotaur @ArthurBoreman Yeah its long been a joke (its not really a joke, its the truth) that the officers are the only ones holding the enlisted back. Its something that has always set the US military apart from other countries.

@StupidMinotaur @ArthurBoreman Interesting – thanks!

Every time I read something like this I think about how Nazi Germany would get frustrated because U.S. forces weren’t wedded to doctrine like the “smart” armies.

@GeoPDude @NotWoofers Lmfao take your meds schizo

@HarryToe57 @NotWoofers Patel and his honeypot gf are the insane ones you realize that right? Candace and Tucker are in fact on the right side of things or at least closer to the right side than Patel

I’d buy that. Tucker Carlson is obviously paid for. Michael Flynn is crazy and suggestible. Joe Kent is a conspiracy theorist tied to Tulsi Gabbard and would likely willingly work with the Russians. Candace Owens appears to be in the midst of psychosis and likely suggestible.

@GeoPDude @NotWoofers There are definitely bots pushing things on both sides. But strategically it makes more sense for our adversaries to push the objectively insane people and viewpoints

@HarryToe57 @NotWoofers Id love to see the studies on the bots that back people like Candace and Tucker. Besides let’s not act like there aren’t as many or more bots that back patels side of things.

@NotWoofers Surprised it took foreign governments this long to figure out you could pay the schizophrenics to spew their propaganda. Then again you dont even have to pay them half the time, just send them fake stuff and they will do the rest for you

@GeoPDude @NotWoofers I mean, the data is right there. This isnt exactly groundbreaking stuff here. People have already analyzed the posts and determined they are being amplified by foreign bots.

@NotWoofers Ofc his gf would say that lmao

@johnkonrad Its all about china. Caving now would be a signal to china that we aren't willing to sustain economic hardship to achieve our goals. Which would tell china that we wouldnt do anything if they invade taiwan.

Just got off the phone with a source tied to European intelligence. He laid out a theory on Hormuz that stopped me cold. It’s a continuation of my previous Hormuz Hypothesis. If true, it explains everything. If true, the strait isn’t reopening this year. Talked to @mercaborglanos. He couldn’t punch a hole in it. Working on how to present this. It could panic markets and unleash hell on me from every direction so I should be careful. Plus the TDS afflicted would do everything possible to discredit me and knives would be out from certain groups in my own party. 🤯​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​ What I can say is…. what if Trump really is trying to prevent a mega catastrophe? What if everyone’s worst case scenario right now is too conservative? Why has Big Oil and the other Gulf States been relatively silent while the rest of the world screams for US troops to withdraw? Why would Trump want crappy European frigates in Hormuz? Why wouldn’t he send more extremely capable destroyers? Why is he leaving US Merchant Marine ships in the Gulf unprotected? Why is Joe Kent still so supportive of Trump? Why hasn’t Trump gone on a tirade against Joe? Why can’t anyone tell us if there are mines in Hormuz or not? Why aren’t citizens of Iran overthrowing the government? Why aren’t Iran proxies like the Houthis going on the offensive? Why are we unsactioning Iranian oil tankers? Why are refineries blowing up in Russia and Texas? Why has the US asked China to step in and help? Something is seriously wrong and I’ve only heard one explanation that answers every question. What if my Hormuz Hypothesis is correct but the stakes are MUCH higher than anyone thought? 👇

@jonahkatz0618 @Daniering8 @Faytuks Is that why Pakistan, Egypt, and Turkey just said there have been messages sent through them between the US and Iran?

@Daniering8 @Faytuks Because this is all about calming the markets. We would have heard from foreign media if there were actual talks. There clearly weren’t.

Take note of who Trump is talking to following his Truth Social post: CNBC and Fox Business.

@p_olitburo @sentdefender Because sentdefender has tds and will post anything that makes trump look bad

@sentdefender Vali Nasr is a liar, a paid IRGC mouthpiece. Why are you quoting him?

According to a U.S. intelligence report, assembled prior to the anti-government protests in early January, which was shown to President Donald J. Trump a week before the start of the Iran War, Reza Pahlavi, the Exiled Crown Prince of Iran, they concluded lacked a sufficient network inside the country to lead an effective overthrow of the Islamic Republic. “They never took him that seriously,” Vali Nasr, a Professor at Johns Hopkins, said of the Trump Administration. “There’s a difference between having an organization on the ground versus just having people who like you. If you’re going to help change a regime, you have to have a ground game.” Trump and his aides began referring to Pahlavi as the “loser prince,” according to The New Yorker.

@shorttimelines @sentdefender I think the primary issue here is that the regime has basically become a guerilla terrorist group, so how do you decide proportionality? You can only conduct limited attacks for so long. Its basically the Gaza/hamas problem (obvi will never get that destructive, though)

It’s actually more complicated than that. Even if it arguably qualifies as a military objective: - Proportionality: The expected civilian harm (blackouts affecting hospitals, water treatment, etc.) must not be excessive compared to the concrete military advantage. Excessive harm = war crime (Rome Statute Art. 8(2)(b)(iv)) - Precautions: Attackers must take feasible steps to minimize civilian harm (e.g., target only specific transformers, warn civilians, choose less harmful means). Failure here can render the attack unlawful. - Objects indispensable to civilian survival (Article 54 AP I): Starving civilians or denying them essentials by attacking power (which powers water/sewage) is prohibited

For many people asking if such strikes would be considered a war crime, it depends. If strikes were carried out on power plants just because they are power plants and those plants were utilized by civilians, then yes it is a war crime, however, if there is a distinction made and strikes are only carried out on plants supporting military actions, then no it technically is not. Though President Trump does not appear to make a distinction between civilian or military power plants in this post on Truth Social.

@shorttimelines @sentdefender But thats not what constitutes a war crime

@HarryToe57 @sentdefender Pretty sure a power plant that is primarily for civilian use (e.g., supplying homes, hospitals, factories, and the general national grid with no direct or significant military function) is presumed to be a civilian object

@shorttimelines @sentdefender He didnt say they had to be strictly for military use. If they are used by the military, its a valid target. The largest plant is in Tehran, so there's a 100% chance it is used by the military.

@sentdefender I’d hazard a guess that their largest power plant is not strictly for military use

@DerekPederson3 Depends which Iranians are fleeing though. Vast majority aren't muslim and integrate well. They are some of the highest earners in the US. Regime supporting Iranian muslims? Then thats a different story.

Why I still think we need to try to topple the Islamic Republic before the situation gets out of hand. I don’t want to see a repeat of what happened in Syria:

@Guy_Incognito3 @dr_swa6 @Osinttechnical The main issue production was never increased under Biden despite a clear need, and the Biden admin tried to decrease defense spending despite a clear need to increase it.

@dr_swa6 @Osinttechnical And how is that Ukraine's fault? We've given ZERO Tomahawks to Ukraine. ZERO. We've given ZERO THAAD systems to Ukraine. Best you can argue there is Patriot interceptors.

Hegseth confirms that the Pentagon is requesting $200 billion from Congress for Iran war. "That number could move... it takes money to kill bad guys."

@NotWoofers They watched black mirror and in trying to avoid it becoming reality, they made it reality.

What is in the water in Britain which makes them constantly make these crazy judicial decisions?

@TheIntelFrog @nothanksfrankie Willing to bet things changed significantly when Iran started hitting the gulf nations. Countries that were once averse to dealing with the Iran problem now want it gone no matter the cost. And now they cant/won't back down because none want to miss out on the spoils

@nothanksfrankie We could probably walk away now, and it'll be 3-5 years before it comes back to bite us. Or, we put troops in to exert some control for the next 2+ decades. Neither are great options, but yeah, this is already bigger than they envisioned it seems.

ALL 16 should've been seized once they exited.

@AlexSmi28682308 @Centex00 @Osint613 Oh no what will we ever do without our malfunctioning hand guns

@Centex00 @Osint613 Mainly sig sauer

BREAKING 🔴 Switzerland halts arms exports to the U.S.

@xiruxi @peltolamentum @Faj1791 Its a cult, which is ironic considering thats what they call maga

@peltolamentum @Faj1791 they're puritanical about their leftist views -- it's like a religion

Why do they never fucking listen to what other people have to say?

@Benici0Toro @Faytuks I highly doubt the houthis are beating the Saudis, the US, and Israel at the same time they are facing a ground offensive from Saudi backed groups.

@HarryToe57 @Faytuks And the Saudi’s will get whooped again. The Houthis are literally itching for the Saudi’s to get involved.

"No indications yet" that the Houthis would get involved in the Middle East war, according to a US official - NBC A senior Gulf official says the Houthis are on standby nbcnews.com/world/middle-e…