Iris

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Iris

Iris

@Intotheiris_609

Senior engineer turnt analyst, covering semiconductor and space at a long only fund. Don't take it too serious..

Katılım Mayıs 2026
90 Takip Edilen4 Takipçiler
Hidden Monopolies
Hidden Monopolies@HiddenMonopoly·
Table of Contents of my book Hidden Monopolies
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TheKOOKReport
TheKOOKReport@thekookreport·
Summer fun is about to start. $ASTS Elon obviously just got the formal notice of termination from T-Mobile. What happens next will shock the world except for those listening to #Spacemob
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Reformed Tr🅰️der@Reformed_Trader

$ASTS keep in mind that it normally takes a week or so on average to form the bottom. What we're seeing today is the first rebound off an extreme low and often is followed with more choppiness before reclaiming key moving averages *NFA

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Iris
Iris@Intotheiris_609·
@crux_capital_ @RJCcapital Nope. Very small amount to Taiwan and Japan. Barely anything. Probably just to say "Hey we exported something. You can't say we are predatory"
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Entropium
Entropium@type1ayy·
@bubbleboi People have been delusional one this one, yeah. China can’t make competitive MOCVD tools ok sure. But there are no export restrictions on MOCVD tools. Solve for the equilibrium
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Jonathan Sloane — Equity Research (Sell-Side)
$VELO is complete garbage. Trading at at 9–10x sales is the most expensive name in 3D printing. Low margin, non recurring revenue business. Revenue has gone down 76% over 3 years. While shares outstanding quadrupled. One of the most overvalued companies out there.
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Iris
Iris@Intotheiris_609·
@kingtutcap Are you an aerospace engineer Tut
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Iris
Iris@Intotheiris_609·
Where are the $VELO disbelievers
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P Equity Research 📰
P Equity Research 📰@pequityresearch·
Clouldflare $NET says we will need 1B CPUs globally for agentic AI, ~20x more than the current global server CPU production (~35-45M) $INTC $ARM $NVDA $AMD
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Iris retweetledi
Irrational Analysis
Irrational Analysis@insane_analyst·
I see the ceasefire is going well.
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Yellowbrick Investing
Yellowbrick Investing@joinyellowbrick·
Whale Rock is probably down like 15% since that podcast went live 6 hours ago
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Iris
Iris@Intotheiris_609·
@bubbleboi I aint buying it bro. They tricking us
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bubble boi
bubble boi@bubbleboi·
Yes 🙌 the market is up! Let’s go !
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Watcher.Guru
Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru·
JUST IN: 🇰🇷 South Korea's KOSPI stock market halted after 8.4% crash, triggering circuit breaker.
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CK Capital
CK Capital@CKCapitalxx·
At what price does $ASTS become attractive again? Blue Origin was a big hit in the gut but thesis is still in tact.
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Iris
Iris@Intotheiris_609·
@Kaizen_Investor The finance and sales & marketing team needs to be fucking replaced ASAP $PL
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KaizenInvestor
KaizenInvestor@Kaizen_Investor·
Is there ever a good time to announce an ATM? While all analysts raise their $PL price targets, Planet just announced a $1.5B ATM (around 10% of the market cap). Painful for the current shareholder, a possible entry point for the ones who missed out. With probably the healthiest balance sheet in the space economy, this comes as a surprise to me. Planet is aggressively moving into the AI direction; currently building their own AI platform, sending Google and Nvidia chips into space and utilizing it to sharpen their pictures. With $731 million in cash and short-term investments and a positive free cash flow, there is no need to raise capital. Planet is raising the capital while they can, not when they have to. I feel there is always an overreaction to ATM's, the max dillution will be 10% divided over a couple of years, yet the stock is down 17%. The average price target is around $50, so no need to panic imo. I'm working on my Planet deep-dive at the moment. Will hopefully launch it tonight, so you can decide if you want to jump in or not. Note: Planet is by far my biggest holding, so yes I feel your pain. I'm confident it will be short-term though.
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KaizenInvestor@Kaizen_Investor

$PL down 8% at the moment after another record quarter, a double beat, a gross profit margin beat, and raised guidance. Won't be surprised if the stock is up tomorrow. This is what I learned from the earnings transcript, looking forward to the earnings call in about an hour. On top-line growth and backlog: A massive beat on revenue at $94.2M (up 42% YoY), blowing past the $90M consensus. The backlog is now over $906M (up 72% YoY), providing incredible visibility. They are clearly executing well on converting that pipeline. On the bottom line: Q1 non-GAAP EPS came in at ($0.03), right in line with expectations. Adjusted EBITDA loss was minimal at ($1.0M). Crucially, the massive ($138.9M) GAAP net loss was heavily skewed by a ($106.5M) revaluation loss on warrant liabilities due to the stock price running up—and since they redeemed those public warrants, this noise won't happen in future quarters. On margins: Q1 non-GAAP gross margin hit 56%, beating the 49-51% guidance they had previously set. On European/Sovereign momentum: The demand continues to surge. They signed an 8-figure deal with an international Defense & Intelligence customer, plus 7-figure deals with the Greek Government and the Czech Republic. The defense and intelligence floor is strong. On next-gen fleet deployment: Huge news here. They successfully launched 3 Pelican satellites, including Sweden's sovereign reconnaissance satellite, just 4 months after contract signing. Pelican-11 is also shipped and ready for the upcoming Transporter-17 mission. On cash and runway: Healthy balance sheet confirmed. They ended the quarter with $731M in cash and short-term investments (up 223% YoY, aided by the $108M from warrant exercises). Free cash flow was slightly negative at ($2.5M), but they have an immense runway to fund growth. On forward guidance: Raised significantly. Q2 revenue is guided at $102M -$107M, and full-year FY27 revenue is raised to $425M -$441M. They are still targeting positive adjusted EBITDA of $0-$10M for the full year with non-GAAP gross margins expanding to 52-54%.

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Iris
Iris@Intotheiris_609·
@Unclestocknotes You forgot to mention MP Material is a Shenghe puppet..but you're probably not ready for that convo
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Unclestocknotes
Unclestocknotes@Unclestocknotes·
MP Materials #MP 2026 Q1 財報分析 #MP 站在西方最重要的戰略地位,好事就是它們開始轉虧為盈,但是因為政府的價格保證協議。拿掉後幾乎是BREAK EVEN。因此我還是認為這家公司能走在正確道路,但以大環境來說,中國也可能用價格來箝制住MP。這條路必須走,但可能要走得起起伏伏。 open.substack.com/pub/unclestock…
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