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Jerald
16.6K posts
Jerald
@JeraldV
Not a political tribalist.
British Columbia, Canada Katılım Eylül 2008
985 Takip Edilen1.1K Takipçiler
Becoming a question of who’s training who 😆
The Enforcer@ItsTheEnforcer
Oh, that’s gotta burn 😬 Ukraine basically said that the west is so far behind on battlefield tactics, that joint training operations are pointless. YIKES.
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Jerald retweetledi
A Ukrainian defense tech company just broke into Wall Street — in the middle of Russia’s war.
Drone AI startup Swarmer went public on NASDAQ at $5 and closed at $31 on day one — a 520% surge, turning a $67M company into a $670M valuation — Kyiv Independent. 1/
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@paulrubens @MarioNawfal I did the same months ago. He brings nothing to the conversation.
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I muted @MarioNawfal. I have my own Chat GPT account. I don’t need to see his any more.
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Mark Rutte, the Secretary General of NATO, supports the United States bombing of Iran while many NATO countries condemn the bombing. Whose interests is Rutte representing.
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@krassenstein There are two options, and it's been clear for a while.
- Surrender on Iran's terms
- Send in ground forces for a long, bloody battle with no guarantee of success, all while the Hormuz Strait remains blocked.
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I have a really bad feeling about this week after talking to some people.
I hope I'm wrong.
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The UK Government says the Israeli Government is lying when it suggests Iranian missiles could strike the UK.
Which Government would you trust?
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@DrNeilStone How about mass famine and huge spikes in food costs for those that can avoid starvation? It's all about to happen. Iran holds the cards and they want reparations and guarantees that America won't come back for another visit.
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A temporary rise in oil prices is a small price to pay for freeing Iran and the rest of the world from the regime
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@TehranWatcher @RichardHaass Nothing but terrible options left on the table. Negotiation is by far the least terrible, and even that won't be enough. Iran wants reparations and guarantees.
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@RichardHaass No, the US should not negotiate with a regime that is hated by its people. It should focus on removing this regime. That is the longterm solution. Freedom for the Iranian people.
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Pres Trump's threat to hit Iran power stations should not happen. In addition to likely being a war crime & leading to Iranian retaliation across the region, it would hurt the Iranian people, who have suffered enough. Incomparably better to back off & start a serious dialogue.
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Jerald retweetledi
Another statement that, beyond reflecting frustration, reveals a fundamental misunderstanding of Iran (and no — it’s not Venezuela).
A. Iran will not reopen the Strait of Hormuz. That’s not going to happen. In the coming days, we can expect Tehran to threaten to “set the Gulf on fire,” especially if the U.S. strikes critical infrastructure.
B. At the same time, such a strike would likely accelerate the Houthis’ entry into the conflict — a player that will find it difficult to remain on the sidelines.
C. It’s hard to reconcile how a president who emphasizes concern for the Iranian people can simultaneously threaten Iran’s destruction. He may believe deterrence through threats is sufficient — it isn’t. Such rhetoric will not shift Iran’s position; instead, it forces the president to choose: escalate and follow through, risking broader war, or back down and further erode U.S. deterrence.
D. Above all, this kind of messaging highlights how inadequate the strategic preparation for this scenario has been — particularly the failure to fully account for Iran’s leverage over the Strait of Hormuz.
E. It is also plausible that Iran’s leadership will “send a message” during any ultimatum period by striking infrastructure in one of the Gulf states, signaling both capability and intent. At the same time, Gulf countries would likely accelerate efforts to de-escalate the conflict, as they would be the primary targets and bear the immediate costs of any escalation.
F. If the U.S. wants the strait reopened, it will have to either use force or pursue regime change. There is no third option.
#IranWar
Nicholas Kristof@NickKristof
1.) President Trump appears to be threatening a war crime; 2.) This will go over badly with other Gulf countries, for Iran will then attack their power plants and perhaps desalination; 3.) Iran won't reopen the Strait, because closure is what gives it leverage.
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@FareedZakaria @citrinowicz This is why there was a nuclear deal. They got the carrot because the stick will be doomed to fail.
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“For the US – unfortunately – we don’t have good options. Only bad options.”
That’s what @citrinowicz, who served as head of the Iran branch of Israel’s military intelligence, told me as we discussed Donald Trump’s threats to step up US attacks on Iran. Part 1 of our conversation:
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@PrairieVeteran Everybody confuses adding export markets with switching export markets. America will continue to buy what we sell.
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Everyone is dropping to their knees over Carnage cozying up to the UK and members of the EU.
But answer me this, "How is it cheaper for the consumer to ship product halfway around the world than it is to simply truck it across our border to the US?" 🤭
GIF
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@DA_Stockman TACO may be the world's only hope at this point. Very serious cascading effects are otherwise inevitable.
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Trump's insane ultimatum expires at 7:44 p.m. EST on Monday---giving a whole session for the cash market to give its advice. So what are the odds of a TACO man appearing on TV before 4:00PM, wearing a fresh pair of underpants. We'd say 78%.
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@BarbaraBalCPC Nobody dodges global oil price spikes, that's just how oil markets work.
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😩 $100 to put gas in my tank and it’s not even full.
Canada holds the world's third-largest oil reserves and is the world’s fourth largest oil producer yet somehow we’re not ‘energy independent’ enough to dodge these global spikes. 🤷♀️
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Jerald retweetledi
BYD just unveiled an electric car that can charge from 10 to 70 percent in five minutes, and all the way in nine
More proof that EVs are going to dominate the future, just a question of how long it takes — and who will build them
Via @WIRED wired.com/story/how-byds…
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@maddenifico This is also literally the current Russian military doctrine. Putin has used the phrase several times.
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"Sometimes, you have to escalate to deescalate."
— Walther Funk, German Reich Minister of Economics, 1941
"Sometimes, you have to escalate to deescalate."
— Scott Bessent, U.S. Treasury Secretary, 2026
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Jerald retweetledi
Let me explain the sinister nature of what Trump actually does to people.
He asks: are you loyal to me?
Yes.
Good. No forever wars. Are you with me?
Yes. No forever wars.
Then he starts the wars. And now he needs you to be with him on the wars too.
And then the Epstein files come out. Allegations involving children. And he needs you to look the other way on that too.
That’s the mechanism. That’s how it works.
He moves the goalposts incrementally. Each ask is slightly more compromising than the last.
And by the time you realize how far you’ve traveled from your own principles you are so deep in that you can’t find your way back.
Loyalty to Trump doesn’t mean loyalty to an idea or a policy or a vision for the country.
It means asymmetric, unconditional, no-questions-asked loyalty to whatever he decides is true today.
You have to understand the sinister nature of that to understand what is really happening in Washington right now.
This isn’t politics. This is a loyalty trap.
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@AJEnglish Nobody claimed they were ICBMs and terminology is important. At most they were intermediate range (IRBM) and there's good reason to believe that they were actually just stripped down short range missiles with no warheads to increase their range.
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NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte says the alliance “cannot confirm” Israel’s claim that missiles targeting Diego Garcia were Iranian intercontinental ballistic missiles.
🔴 LIVE updates: aje.news/chlkxg
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In terms of a high trust society, Canada is doing very well. Indonesia and India are also very high on the list, probably due to their religious homogeneity. USA is rock bottom at 47%, and i'm going to bet that's due largely to partisan politics and the 'other side' being judged as immoral.
World of Statistics@stats_feed
How moral do people think their fellow citizens are? Share of people who say “most people in my country are moral”: 🇨🇦 Canada - 92% 🇮🇩 Indonesia - 92% 🇮🇳 India - 88% 🇸🇪 Sweden - 88% 🇦🇺 Australia - 85% 🇯🇵 Japan - 83% 🇲🇽 Mexico - 83% 🇬🇧 UK - 82% 🇳🇱 Netherlands - 80% 🇰🇷 South Korea - 78% 🇩🇪 Germany - 72% 🇰🇪 Kenya - 72% 🇪🇸 Spain - 71% 🇳🇬 Nigeria - 71% 🇵🇱 Poland - 70% 🇦🇷 Argentina - 70% 🇮🇱 Israel - 68% 🇭🇺 Hungary - 68% 🇿🇦 South Africa - 63% 🇮🇹 Italy - 59% 🇫🇷 France - 55% 🇬🇷 Greece - 55% 🇧🇷 Brazil - 51% 🇹🇷 Türkiye - 51% 🇺🇸 U.S. - 47% Only one country surveyed where a majority think others are NOT moral: 🇺🇸 United States Source: Pew Research Center, spring 2025
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