JoHnL

22 posts

JoHnL

JoHnL

@JohnL_im

Microcap investor, amateur writer, Skills status: Loading... Just trying to beat the indexes without blowing up my account

Katılım Mart 2023
109 Takip Edilen10 Takipçiler
JoHnL
JoHnL@JohnL_im·
Write up on $RPID, I like it just not enough to buy yet, quite a simple businss is execution now.
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JoHnL
JoHnL@JohnL_im·
End/ Overall, happy shareholder since 2024, management’s execution is top notch, valuation is high and priced to perfection
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JoHnL
JoHnL@JohnL_im·
5/ Good acquisition of Crown 1 at 0.3/0.4x sales, profitable and comes with extra chicken shredders, more acquisitions to come for the correct price and customer profile
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JoHnL
JoHnL@JohnL_im·
1/ $MAMA continue to execute, revenue +39%, excluding Crown 1 organic revenue +20%, gross margin 25%, benefitted from lower chicken prices
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JoHnL
JoHnL@JohnL_im·
@thewatsonview liquidity begets liquidity, oil contracts is exciting, can't wait
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JoHnL
JoHnL@JohnL_im·
$CCDS.V there is no NCIB, management is the NCIB
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JoHnL
JoHnL@JohnL_im·
@Reignots @PythiaR they still have undrawn debt facility maybe no dilution needed
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AuxReignots
AuxReignots@Reignots·
@PythiaR All good valid points. I think OM translation (meant more EBITDA than EBIT margin) depends a lot on consumables and multi-system which are less sales intensive. To me there’s a path where no more than $10-15MM of dilution is left before positive CF, but it’s a question mark now.
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AuxReignots
AuxReignots@Reignots·
$RPID updated presentation shows first-time out-year guide of 50%+ GM on 2028 exit and 20%+ top-line CAGR implying $75-80MM 2030 revenues. At 30% OM we get to $22-24MM EBITDA. Today's EV is <$90MM. Pretty ridiculous - and clearly M&A candidate too.
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JoHnL retweetledi
Anp🅰️nman
Anp🅰️nman@spacanpanman·
$BAER: 8 out of 17 Bridger air assets are now deployed Catalyst Watch: Bridger expects to contract out its 2x new Spanish Super Scoopers for Europe operations by the end of April
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JoHnL
JoHnL@JohnL_im·
@everyonehatesp1 Revenues likely to fall in 27 becuz Part B price reset in 26 unless they can break into hospitals. Yes they have lots of cash but that would probably go into acquisition to grow rather than shareholders, so the bet at this price would be management make good deal, thought?
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JoHnL
JoHnL@JohnL_im·
@hippo_finance At this point LNG seems like the side show, volume for gold contract could go a lot higher not to mention potential of silver and copper contracts, these prob the value drivers long term
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Luca
Luca@hippo_finance·
$abxx let's go back over the first 3 months of 2026 looking forward to hearing your comments.
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JoHnL
JoHnL@JohnL_im·
Some thoughts $BAER, open for some thoughts from other investors, great info from @BDeveran and @spacanpanman on bull case @diminishingrreturns/note/p-191468659?utm_source=notes-share-action&r=392em0" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">substack.com/@diminishingrr
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JoHnL
JoHnL@JohnL_im·
@Lotterystonks any thoughts on the dilution in 2Q and will likely continue given current cash position
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The Bull Whisperer
The Bull Whisperer@Thebullwhisper·
$NUAI $MSFT if you followed my DD on this.. Things are getting crazier.. Msft planning to connect their datacenters to form a huge AI wan.🤯 "-This is a fundamental shift in how we think about AI supercomputers. Instead of being limited by the walls of a single facility, we’re building a distributed system where compute, storage and networking resources are seamlessly pooled and orchestrated across datacenter regions. This means greater resiliency, scalability and flexibility for customers." Imo, from Odessa and NUAIs powered land will be the first rollout of this AI wan running through MSFT core hub cities. They will do it with their Hollow Core Fiber that just now made a big breakthrough in performance. You ain't bullish enough. blogs.microsoft.com/blog/2025/09/1…
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JoHnL
JoHnL@JohnL_im·
@Michigan_Value Do you think OPUVIZ alone could reach $300M, seems like a big market for them to capture from EYLEA
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Michigan Value Investor
Michigan Value Investor@Michigan_Value·
Next, let's consider the 3 new drugs acquired for almost nothing up front. $HROW's M&A terms: ~10% royalties and zilch up front. Small drug companies take the deal bc HROW can sell those drugs way better than the original owners can. Those 3 drugs, likely another $300M, include
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Michigan Value Investor
Michigan Value Investor@Michigan_Value·
$HROW $500 2030 price target long post. We get something like $500, give or take, if they get to $2B revenue. The portfolio before recent M&A is likely to get pretty close: Vevye $1B Iheezo $300M Triesence $200M Immy and small legacy drugs $150M = $1.65B
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