bob from accounting

@NathanpmYoung You can't control AI if it's smarter than you, and there are other countries building AI at roughly our speed, so of it is possible for AI to take over the world, the only actual solution would be a multi country pause.

So what about finding the minimal legislation required to make these outcomes not happen, then leave it to run?

Everybody really wants to pick the right AI future. How about instead we took keyhole steps to avoid the very worst outcomes and then see where we get to?

@Legal_Fil This is untrue, and you don't even attempt to provide evidence for it because you can't

A very odd—although predictably dull—response given that the entire argument he put forward was predicated on the gap in post graduate education. All the other levels of education had a basically even split.

@JBMIANYC @BartronPolygon You're not from NYC, you're from miami beach I took the subway last night: it was safe and certainly without gun toting illegals

@BartronPolygon I'm from nyc, you're from Reno. You had or have an apt in long island city? Wow, big time. I'll explain this for the autist socialists. Cheap, fun and dangerous was better than expensive, homogeneous and dangerous. Safe at night? Let's ride the subway at night on camera.

NYC during the 80s-90s was a wild adventure. There were blocks of abandoned buildings. Times SQ was still sleezy. No table service at clubs, ropes parted for the beautiful and interesting, only. Rich kids had Nells and Au bar. Everything was a front, connected to organized crime. Nearly everything was segregated. If you stayed in your neighborhood, all good. Take the train to the wrong area, no bueno. Unlike most other cities, you can literally be next to anyone, at any time. Seeing the rich and famous up close makes you understand that they're just regular people, and anything is possible. I was fortunate enough to live through it. Now there's nothing but great food, after door to door SUV. Walking daytime is fine, but night is anarcho-tyranny. Illegals get to carry guns and get released. Law abiding citizens who defend themselves go to jail. Whether you like NYC or not, it's critical to America, and my fellow New Yorkers decided to import illegals and elect a gay race communist. Acceleration isn't working.

@robinhanson How likely is might? I would bet against this

I know of venture might make brain emulations [ems] in a few years for ~$0.4B. (Mouse feasibility milestone at ~$50M.) A present value [PV] calculation: 1) World product [WP] is now ~$115T/yr; in 10yr ~$180T/yr. 2) ~52% of WP is paid to human labor, that’s ~$94T in 10yr. 3) <10yrs after cheaper-than-human brain ems, they do >20% of work by value. 4) If em-IP gets ~5% of em wages, that’s >$1T/yr. At ~10%/yr discount, PV ~$4T*SuccessChance. 5) SuccessChance > 0.01% is enough, I say tis >1%. 6) New economy grows faster, but interest rates rise, PV effects cancel. My book on ems: ageofem.com

@woke8yearold I disagree mostly because the FBI director is obviously underpaid if he makes less than a Google junior. It's a 11 billion dollar agency!

Even if you think USAID was good that salary is absurd. It’s about 100k more than the head of the FBI makes and there is no way her contribution would have justified paying that instead of putting money toward the NGO’s purpose. It’s all insane grift

@cafreiman The players do what the refs reward The refs could stop flops (it's happened) but the execs don't want to The execs don't want to bcuz fans care more about scoring than pace (so I've heard) Really, we're the issue ( of refs v players refs are worse, it's their job to watch flow)

Who deserves more of the blame for flopping in the NBA?

@goodside @desmondhwong @bee_human_ Looks better! There's still a few quirks (the bg is a little less detailed than before , the sprites are 80% similar to existing FF sprites) but this is much better, and probably everything is fixable w another generation. They outdid themselves here.

@desmondhwong @bee_human_ @Justthebestguy Less different than I expected but some improvements — e.g. spell casters are now in the back with fighters in the front. Also characters are more FF-styled and they’re on the right of the boss

ChatGPT Images 2.0 generates a boss fight from a 16-bit JRPG in the style of FF6 but they’re in a Chipotle and the boss is just the board position from Byrne vs. Fischer (1956) right after Byrne captures Fischer’s queen:

@malmesburyman @devusnullus @eugyppius1 European nations are not going to praise the guy talking shit about them, it's just not that complex

@devusnullus @eugyppius1 They could say something as simple as, “President Trump is pursuing policies that advance the American interest, European nations should do the same.” Instead they parrot liberal delusions, and look where that got them.

Bardella knows very well what is going on. Trump is totally toxic in Europe. MAGA doesn't vote in France, French people do. What is even your theory of this situation?

@growing_daniel Yesterday you were laughing about rape jokes, so the holier than thou thing is a little thin here

Lecturing people on Christianity and capping it off like that

@BarneyFlames I don't think this is true

CHIPS Act was a huge scam giveaway to unions and corporate donors

@StefanFSchubert Not sure how you could be confident either way, but I put tower because ball seems more restrictive It feels like saying we can't get smarter than the smartest humans rests too much on evidence we currently have

Is intelligence more like a tower (which you can keep making taller far beyond the human level) or like a ball (which you can only make so much rounder)? (See next tweet for context.)

@phl43 I would avoid saying "baked in the cake", and instead go for simply "baked in", which is the more common version of the expression. Good essay though: maybe a bit more pessimistic than I am.

I wrote some thoughts on the Iran War, where I explain why I don't think will end soon, why it's a stupid war that will blowback spectacularly and why I nevertheless don't think Americans will learn anything from it. philippelemoine.com/p/a-few-though…

@Colin_d_m What kind of political sim? (I get this is theoretical)

Considering: - Cargo shipping company sim - Airline sim - Political sim with Redistricter data To complicated: - City-builder

In 6-12 months when I finish Subway Builder I may open an indie game studio focused on map games with the other Subway Builder devs. If/when this happens what games would you like us to build?

@mtracey General "reasonable dog" Mattis

I admit I used to ridicule the idea that Trump was nobly constrained by "Adults in the Room" in the first term -- and a lot of that narrative really was contrived BS -- but still, it should be noted that Rex Tillerson and Gen. Mattis advocated remaining in the Iran Nuclear Deal

@cenkuygur Mainstream media (Jews) won't tell you this, but Mossad has a pickleball assassin named Shalom Gherkin who is targeting Free Thinkers. Expect many more deaths by his devious racket .

Charlie Kirk's mentor just died in a freak pickleball accident. That's an incredibly strange coincidence. If you're going to say that's not weird, that there are tons of pickleball fatalities, you sound nuts. I don't know what happened but I don't think this is perfectly normal.

@BarneyFlames Costa rica at 4? Also, if the claim is that immigration is causing it, why isn't it happening more in Netherlands, Sweden etc, which also have many immigrants

I am skeptical that "happiness" stats mean anything, it feels like Scandinavian countries always top these ranking because there's a strong cultural taboo against whining there. As anglosphere culture becomes less Anglo-Saxon, public whining is increasingly more normalized.

@thinkingshivers Isn't baseball basically turn based

We forgot to invent a few of these ball sports.

@powerbottomdad1 Trump supporter identity increasingly based on denying oil prices

iea reports that likely only 8 million barrels per day lost from global output during strait closure. 400 million reserve barrels already been approved for release, with another 7800 million barrels in reserve stock globally. strait closure is a nothingburger. sorry doomheads

@phl43 A suburban mother in New Hampshire posted this 9 years ago, you have fallen behind the curve

At this rate we'll soon regard Idiocracy as a movie about a utopian society where everyone is super-smart.