kizzy
2.2K posts

kizzy
@KizzyInvests
24 years old - $2.5million in e-commerce sales - Investor
Katılım Temmuz 2025
98 Takip Edilen181 Takipçiler

@SMASIMHO @joinautopilot I do own 4 other names but have my highest conviction names at heavy weightings - $NBIS 40% and $AMD 30%
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All these @joinautopilot portfolios holding a “diversified basket” or constantly adjusting and readjusting positions.
Excluding accounts using leverage, up more than every single one of them just by holding a single stock YTD: $NBIS
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The way I see it is that costs increase over short/medium term but over long term the economics could be very positive due to higher electrical efficiency — Bloom fuel cells achieve ~54-60% efficiency vs. ~37-45% for typical gas engines/gensets. This is approx 15-20% less fuel consumption per kWh. So over a full 10+ year contract span, this is meaningful opex savings? Charles @CABeyney is this a fair assessment?
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$NBIS : Nebius is certainly the next AWS
Charles @CABeyney can you comment regarding this pivot from gas gensets to Bloom Fuel Cells. Would you say this change will be better not only environmentally in terms of water, emissions and noise reduction but also for long term economics for Nebius at Vineland?
CAB@CABeyney
It’s okay everyone has the right to their own opinion, and honestly, I don’t really mind. At the end of the day, our customer is most certainly the next AWS. They are miles ahead of the competition. That being said, I’m also convinced the market opportunity is so massive that, there is room for everyone to succeed.
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@BullTradeFinder Really just depends.
Sleep well at night $AMZN
Growth and still probably sleep well at night $NVDA
5 year horizon however - give me $NBIS
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@AdityaInvests90 $NBIS has been executing at a higher level. I will say $IREN is making the right acquisitions, but is not moving at the same pace.
If $IREN drops to $30 I would likely re-enter as I do believe they can succeed over time, I am just much more confident in $NBIS.
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I remember when people were saying $IREN was going to outperform $NBIS in the beginning of 2026
what happened to those people?
Since then $NBIS has returned 145% while $IREN has returned only 45%… looks like the market has chosen which is the best neo cloud
$NBIS is just better because of them not doing ATMs worth half their market cap, they have valuable subsidiaries like clickhouse which is set to scale up, and they constantly have new deals with customers like $META $MSFT more frequently.


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kizzy retweetledi

It’s okay everyone has the right to their own opinion, and honestly, I don’t really mind.
At the end of the day, our customer is most certainly the next AWS. They are miles ahead of the competition.
That being said, I’m also convinced the market opportunity is so massive that, there is room for everyone to succeed.
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@FinancePotentia @IndexAndForget If $TSM has Taiwan risks, so does $NVDA.
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@IndexAndForget $NVDA
$TSM Has Taiwan Risks
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@Bitcoin_Teddy Nobody cares what you think or feel about projections without math to back it up. Literally nothing to base crypto projections off of.
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This is a capex intensive industry, obviously financing will be needed to fund future expansion. They were able to secure 60% of their 20-25B capex guidance directly from prepayments… quite literally the best source of capital for their expansion.
Once it runs out, other sources of capital will be needed. So again I don’t understand your argument. Anyone who has looked into the company for 10 minutes understands this.
Also, I am curious as to why you believe ineferior terms will be given to $NBIS over $CRWV
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The point of the post ( if not apparent still ) is that Nebius is just pushing the inevitable ( and hence risk) where they need to finance their execution. Prepayments come at a cost and there is no free lunch. When they really have to go to the lenders for asset backed financing and corporate bonds issuance, they will get much inferior terms compared to coreweave , which is going to impact their long term valuation as does currently the excessive convertible bonds issuance
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Not sure the point of this post. When pre-payments run out, new sources of funding will be needed… that’s how it works. You are wording it like it is the fifth degree they have pre-payments at all…
They are the most financially sound in the space right now. $9.4B cash position, collected $2B deferred revenue, and have already discussed this topic in their latest earnings. Favorable funding terms are likely due to the hyperscaler commitments.
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The biggest hidden risk ( or not so hidden to the discerning eye) for Nebius ( $NBIS) is its use of customer prepayments heavily in 2026 ( from Microsoft and Meta) to avoid going to a lender and implement an asset-backed lending facility with lenders. This is just pushing risk in subsequent quarters and they are trying to delay this as much as possible by using equity dilution routes ( convertibles and eventually ATMs). When they really try to do asset back lending, the lenders will take a hard look at the financials and ask the hard questions and different with Coreweave lending terms will become apparent. Same for corporate bonds. But yes its easy to fool the average retail investor and get them excited for short term and let some wall street firms prop up stock prices to issue more convertibles. But the music will end eventually and that day will not be pleasant.
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kizzy retweetledi

Jeff Bezos: “I once asked Warren Buffett, why don’t more people copy your investment strategy? It’s not that difficult to understand in principle. And he said, ‘Oh, Jeff, that’s easy. My approach is a get-rich-slowly scheme.’ And people don’t like those.”
“If you can think in terms of seven years instead of three years, and you can defer gratification and think long term, that will give you a head start against all of your competitors, because most people can’t do that.”
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@LonestarMoney And I just looked, you have a $1.1 million NW. Literally zero need to day trade.
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@LonestarMoney There is a reason the majority will say to avoid it (myself included). You should listen and avoid the pitfalls. Taking the "quick" routes often lead you down the longest road. Stay disciplined in your investing.
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