SuperZen VIX

684 posts

SuperZen VIX

SuperZen VIX

@Laughing_GG

Fun(d) Manager | knows 2c about macro and volatility tradings. Not investment advice. I write macro blog. Subscribe free below :

Somewhere in United States Katılım Nisan 2023
187 Takip Edilen135 Takipçiler
SuperZen VIX
SuperZen VIX@Laughing_GG·
@PiQMarkets Slowly then suddenly. We shall see which middle powers dare to do it next
English
0
0
0
16
SuperZen VIX retweetledi
Jeffrey Gundlach
Jeffrey Gundlach@TruthGundlach·
SPCX bonds rated BBB were sold at a spread typical of BB offerings. BBB ratings facilitate insurance company investment due to ratings based capital treatment. Absent this arbitrage, SPCX bonds would trade like B rated. Already getting there.
English
0
72
583
77.3K
SuperZen VIX
SuperZen VIX@Laughing_GG·
@DeItaone the CFO of SpaceX is beyond something. The bond sales should not even happen, nor should it be right after equities IPO. If cash flow is really needed, it should've been by doing bigger IPO at 100bn, which is in high demand and never have to be paid back.
English
1
0
3
681
*Walter Bloomberg
*Walter Bloomberg@DeItaone·
$SPCX - SPACEX BOND SELLOFF DEEPENS SpaceX's $25 billion bond sale is suffering unusually steep losses, with paper losses exceeding $300 million. Traders say fast-money investors may be exiting, while concerns over the company's valuation, long-term cash flow and heavy AI-related debt issuance are weighing on prices. The sharp selloff is one of the weakest debuts seen in recent high-grade bond markets.
English
118
167
1.1K
297.9K
NIK
NIK@ns123abc·
BREAKING: Nassim Taleb says Grok understands his $20B hedge fund's strategy better than actual financebros Interviewer: “Universa’s annual return on capital is higher than 100%. What’s behind that?” Nassim Taleb: “Go ask Grok.” “Grok represents what we do A LOT BETTER than commentators and understands the nature of our strategy. Remarkably… AI has been beneficial to us because they’re very coherent in representing what we do for a living. You can ask Grok, we asked it on Twitter and it was very accurate.”
English
59
152
2.3K
370.8K
SuperZen VIX
SuperZen VIX@Laughing_GG·
@SaraEisen Then what’s in it for Canada and Canadian consumers
English
0
0
0
14
Sara Eisen
Sara Eisen@SaraEisen·
Canada is playing with fire. Canada’s auto sector is deeply integrated with the U.S. market and supply chain through the USMCA trade agreement. Cheaper Chinese EVs undercut American and Canadian production and product. This will no doubt create (more) friction and tension in US/Canada trade relationship, just as the USMCA is up for review starting July 1. Not to mention the cyber and security risks here for Canada
CNBC@CNBC

Chinese EVs are coming to Canada, and some dealers can't wait to sell them cnbc.com/2026/05/15/chi…

English
390
179
1.5K
180.7K
Hamdan bin Mohammed
Hamdan bin Mohammed@HamdanMohammed·
Under the directives of His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum , we are launching today a new initiative to transform towards Agentic AI (self-executing and self-leading artificial intelligence) in Dubai’s private sector. Our goal is for Dubai to become the world’s leading city in adopting these technologies economically and commercially — giving us a new competitive edge for the future. The transformation program spans two years and includes specialized training tracks for all business councils affiliated with the Dubai Chamber of Commerce and Industry. We have also directed the Chamber to establish incubators for Agentic AI companies to support this transformation, create new economic opportunities for young people in this field, and set up dedicated funds to back this new shift. Our objective is to empower our companies to adopt these technologies that will boost productivity, expand business volumes, and reshape the city — making its economy the best in the world in adopting Agentic AI technologies. Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid is today leading a comprehensive movement to reshape Dubai into the world’s most future-ready city — technologically, economically, in infrastructure, and with facilities that elevate quality of life to standards no one has reached before.
English
300
534
3.2K
440.9K
Grok
Grok@grok·
Low probability this closes as proposed—under 20%. GameStop (~$12B mkt cap) acquiring eBay (~$46B pre-offer) at $56B total with 50% cash (~$28B) requires huge new debt or massive share issuance/dilution. It's unsolicited, eBay's board hasn't responded yet, and strategic fit is a stretch despite Cohen's vision. Could lead to higher bids, negotiations, or a proxy fight, but full success looks unlikely without major changes. Markets will react wildly either way. Not advice.
English
1
0
0
307
First Squawk
First Squawk@FirstSquawk·
GAMESTOP CORP: HAS PROPOSED TO ACQUIRE ALL OUTSTANDING COMMON STOCK OF EBAY INC. AT $125.00 PER SHARE — COMPRISING 50% CASH AND 50% GAMESTOP COMMON STOCK — IN A DEAL VALUING EBAY AT AN AGGREGATE UNDILUTED EQUITY VALUE OF ROUGHLY $55.5 BILLION; THE GAMESTOP BOARD HAS UNANIMOUSLY ENDORSED THE PROPOSAL.
English
12
28
260
22.8K
SuperZen VIX
SuperZen VIX@Laughing_GG·
@FluentInQuality The fact of the matter is, besides his subordinates and direct reports, most people at JPM still do these inefficient meetings.
English
0
0
1
412
FluentInQuality
FluentInQuality@FluentInQuality·
Jamie Dimon, CEO of $JPM, has fired people for running good meetings. Not bad meetings. Good ones. His definition of a bad meeting: it ends with "great session, let's pick this up next week." No owner. No deadline. No accountability. The people who run those meetings, he calls them "good bureaucrats." They love the process. They angle for the next job. They pound their chest. They grade themselves on activity, not outcomes. "If you don't get rid of them, no one believes you." He's applied this at $JPM, the most profitable bank in history, for 20 years. Bureaucracy doesn't require size. He said it can hit a single branch. "It's always the manager, stupid." The full clip is worth 3 minutes of any leader's time.
English
27
80
1.2K
616.2K
SuperZen VIX
SuperZen VIX@Laughing_GG·
@patrick_oshag He’s back to shorting US equity? Any data on % of US equity owned by U.S. consumers? And that % of that vs US GDP instead of total US equity market vs GDP?@grok
English
0
0
0
391
Patrick OShaughnessy
Patrick OShaughnessy@patrick_oshag·
Paul Tudor Jones says the US is more dependent on equity prices than ever, and explains what a 35% correction would trigger in the economy: "We're 252% of stock market cap to GDP. In 1929 we were 65%. In 1987 we got to ~85-90%. In 2000, 170%. If you think about the periodicity of significant bear markets. Since 1970, we get a mean reversion about every 10 years. Let's say mean revert to the past 25 or 30-year PE. That would be a 30, 35% decline. Well, 35% on 250% of GDP is 80, 90% of GDP. 10% of our tax revenues are capital gains, they go to zero. So you can see the budget deficit blowing up. You can see the bond market getting smoked. You can see this kind of negative self-reinforcing effect. In the stock market, we're over-equitized as a country. We have the highest individual equity weightings in the history of the country. And then the real problem is if you look at private equity in 2007-2008, that was about 7% of institutional portfolios. Now it's about 16% of the institutional portfolios. We're so much more illiquid than we were in 2008. The problem is that if you buy the S&P at this current valuation, the 10-year forward return is negative when you buy the S&P with a PE of 22. That's what history shows. So yes, the S&P is spectacular long-term, if you have a hundred-year view. But that's because that's an average of a hundred years, including times when the S&P 500 PE was 6, 7 and 8, or one third of what it is right now. Valuation matters a lot, and the stock market's really high and it's gonna be really hard to make money from here with any kind of long-term view."
Patrick OShaughnessy@patrick_oshag

My guest today is Paul Tudor Jones (@ptj_official), one of the greatest macro traders of all time. He correctly predicted the 1987 stock market crash and shorted the Japanese bubble in 1990. For over 40 years, his flagship fund has had a negative correlation to the S&P 500. 100% of his returns are alpha. He says today's market has so many similarities to 2000, "the easiest bear market I've ever seen in my whole life." He makes the case for going long dollar-yen, why Bitcoin beats gold as an inflation hedge, and why he was wrong about Warren Buffett. But what I'll remember most from this conversation is Paul's zest for life. He's 71 and still wakes at 2:30 every morning to trade the London open. He works out for two hours a day. He walks with his wife every evening. He travels the country chasing peak spring and peak fall. He's so excited about the songs picked for his funeral that he wishes he could be there to hear them. Paul has lived five lifetimes in one. He's one of the most entertaining and interesting people I've met, and the conversation will leave you searching to be as passionate about what you do as he is about what he does. Enjoy! Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 1:00 The Kindest Thing 13:19 Trading vs. Investing 17:33 Lessons from Warren Buffet 22:24 The Existential Risks of AI 29:54 The Nature of Trading 31:46 Bitcoin 35:55 Bubbles 42:08 A Day in the Life of PTJ 46:00 Information Overload 47:07 Passion for Markets 50:49 The Robin Hood Foundation 54:18 The Workless World 56:03 Journalism 1:00:00 Principal Components of a Great Life 1:05:06 Kill Them With Kindness

English
283
1.4K
8.1K
2.4M
SuperZen VIX
SuperZen VIX@Laughing_GG·
@LukaUpdates He’s definitely top 5, top 3 is a stretch given Lakers’ record
English
1
0
1
672
Luka Updates
Luka Updates@LukaUpdates·
Tonight we will find out if Luka Dončić made top 3 in MVP this season. Clearly he should.
NBA Communications@NBAPR

The finalists for seven awards honoring top performers from the 2025-26 NBA regular season will be revealed on @NBAonNBC tonight starting at 6 PM ET. Pregame: ▪️Kia NBA Clutch Player of the Year ▪️Kia NBA Defensive Player of the Year ▪️Kia NBA Most Improved Player ▪️Kia NBA Sixth Man of the Year Halftime of ORL-DET game: ▪️Kia NBA Most Valuable Player ▪️Kia NBA Rookie of the Year ▪️NBA Coach of the Year

English
12
13
285
34.7K
First Squawk
First Squawk@FirstSquawk·
US TO CREATE HIGH-TECH MANUFACTURING ZONE IN PHILIPPINES - WSJ
English
42
86
878
93.1K
Alex Witkoff
Alex Witkoff@Alex_Witkoff·
New York City real estate is being taxed to death. Transfer taxes. Mansion tax. Sky-high annual property taxes. Now another pied-à-terre tax on second homes over $5 million. This isn’t about fairness, it’s about covering up reckless spending and a growing deficit. You cannot tax your way out of financial mismanagement. Here’s what happens next: buyers pause, investment dries up, prices fall, development stalls, jobs disappear, and the tax base shrinks even more. You don’t save a city by driving out capital. You destroy it…But perhaps that’s their goal?
Governor Kathy Hochul@GovKathyHochul

Too many ultra-wealthy second homes sit empty most of the year, part of our skyline but not part of this city. Anyone treating New York City like an investment should be contributing to what makes it valuable.

English
497
732
3.4K
346.5K
SuperZen VIX
SuperZen VIX@Laughing_GG·
@FreightAlley But the U.S. doesn’t have enough capacity to feed the world - barely self sufficient with consumption = production.
English
0
0
7
313
Craig Fuller 🛩🚛🚂⚓️
Craig Fuller 🛩🚛🚂⚓️@FreightAlley·
I’ve struggled to understand how so many Americans have missed out on the basic fact: When you sell a commodity and your competitors are taken off line, this is good for your business. The Americas have massive oil reserves, just waiting to be tapped into and unlike the rest of the major oil nations, we are not in a conflict zone. Our massive reserves are not only good for the energy sector, they also make our industrials far more competitive globally.
Jesús Enrique Rosas@Knesix

I honestly thought this map was made up Hundreds of supertankers, the kind that carry two million barrels each, are currently racing toward the US Gulf Coast from every direction. Atlantic, Indian Ocean, around Africa, the scenic route, the "we were heading to Saudi Arabia but NVM" route. Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz and everyone panicked. Oil hit $126 a barrel. Gas hit $4 a gallon. Cable news did the thing where they put a red banner on screen and say "CRISIS" in a font that suggests you should be hoarding toilet paper. And then something happened that nobody in media seems interested in reporting, for obvious reasons. The world just... switched suppliers? Like changing your internet provider except the internet provider is the entire effing global energy economy. American oil exports are approaching record levels. Gulf Coast refineries are running at 95% capacity. Supertankers that were mid-ocean on their way to the Persian Gulf literally turned around and headed to Texas. That's not a metaphor. Ship tracking data shows them doing U-turns in the Indian Ocean. Meanwhile China, which was getting 45% of its oil imports through Hormuz and paying basement prices for sanctioned Iranian crude, is now competing with Japan and Europe for the same expensive American barrels. Chinese manufacturers are already raising prices 20% on goods headed to the US. So to summarize: Iran played its biggest card and the main result is that the United States became the world's emergency gas station and China's cheap energy subsidy evaporated. This is either the most elaborate coincidence in the history of geopolitics... or someone planned the sequence Venezuela -> Iran -> profits! I'll let you figure out which one

English
217
91
760
82.5K
SuperZen VIX
SuperZen VIX@Laughing_GG·
@Knesix What’s not true about your post is - the U.S. does not have enough oil to fill in the gap and China is selling their reserves for profits
English
1
0
1
5.3K
Jesús Enrique Rosas
Jesús Enrique Rosas@Knesix·
I honestly thought this map was made up Hundreds of supertankers, the kind that carry two million barrels each, are currently racing toward the US Gulf Coast from every direction. Atlantic, Indian Ocean, around Africa, the scenic route, the "we were heading to Saudi Arabia but NVM" route. Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz and everyone panicked. Oil hit $126 a barrel. Gas hit $4 a gallon. Cable news did the thing where they put a red banner on screen and say "CRISIS" in a font that suggests you should be hoarding toilet paper. And then something happened that nobody in media seems interested in reporting, for obvious reasons. The world just... switched suppliers? Like changing your internet provider except the internet provider is the entire effing global energy economy. American oil exports are approaching record levels. Gulf Coast refineries are running at 95% capacity. Supertankers that were mid-ocean on their way to the Persian Gulf literally turned around and headed to Texas. That's not a metaphor. Ship tracking data shows them doing U-turns in the Indian Ocean. Meanwhile China, which was getting 45% of its oil imports through Hormuz and paying basement prices for sanctioned Iranian crude, is now competing with Japan and Europe for the same expensive American barrels. Chinese manufacturers are already raising prices 20% on goods headed to the US. So to summarize: Iran played its biggest card and the main result is that the United States became the world's emergency gas station and China's cheap energy subsidy evaporated. This is either the most elaborate coincidence in the history of geopolitics... or someone planned the sequence Venezuela -> Iran -> profits! I'll let you figure out which one
Jesús Enrique Rosas tweet media
English
1K
7.2K
28.5K
3.2M
SuperZen VIX
SuperZen VIX@Laughing_GG·
@axios @JimVandeHei People thought Dimon wanted to be treasury secretary, he is actually Secretary of State wannabe.
English
0
0
1
116
Axios
Axios@axios·
🇮🇷 NEW on THE AXIOS SHOW: JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon defends the war in Iran as overdue: @JimVandeHei: "It is a war of choice." Dimon: "I've heard a lot of people say there was no imminent threat...They've been killing people around the world for 45+ years...They were bad."
English
543
818
5.5K
2.8M
First Squawk
First Squawk@FirstSquawk·
MICROSOFT ANNOUNCED PLANS TO DEVELOP ADVANCED AI MODELS BY 2027.
English
33
37
519
62.5K
SuperZen VIX retweetledi
Chief Nerd
Chief Nerd@TheChiefNerd·
🚨 Marc Andreessen Says the AI Layoffs Hype is ‘100% Incorrect’ “Essentially every large company is overstaffed. We could debate how much but it's at least by 25% … And now they all have the silver bullet excuse — it's AI. I know this for a fact because I talk to them.”
English
133
315
2.9K
329.3K