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#BREAKING: Trump aims to finalize deal with Iran by Sunday.
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Let me walk you through the events of the war so far:
1. The United States and Israel tried regime change; it didn’t work. Or rather, they got regime change—Iran became an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps–led military dictatorship. That was not an improvement.
2. The U.S. won an overwhelming military victory with air and naval power and scarcely a boot on the ground. But it destroyed less of Iran’s missile- and drone-launching capabilities than at first appeared.
3. Then there was a hostage crisis. Iran took both the Gulfies and the Strait of Hormuz hostage. The result was a massive economic shock for the world that required a rapid resolution.
4. The choice was between 1) military escalation (boots on the ground or strikes on Iranian infrastructure), and 2) a diplomatic deal. Trump chose 2.
5. In Islamabad, the U.S proposed big economic concessions in return for some kind of change in the status of Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile, as well as the reopening of the strait. Contrary to the president’s social media feed, the Iranians did not accept.
6. In any case, the devil of any deal will be in the details, not the Truth headline. (When the small print finally comes out, every former Obama and Biden official will be ready to tell The New York Times that it’s worse than the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action.)
7. Meanwhile, the Iranians have survived regime change and discovered that closing the strait is just as powerful a lever in economic warfare as they had always hoped. It’s not, despite the Russian quip, an “economic nuke,” because unlike a nuclear weapon you can use it.
8. Where we go from here is fairly predictable. I would be surprised if Trump now deploys ground forces. There will be more negotiation, so Islamabad, here we come. There may have to be more bombing, if the Iranians dust down the North Vietnamese playbook of stringing the U.S. negotiators along. And the final compromise will take longer to be agreed upon than Mr. Market currently believes. The consensus in prediction markets is this will be over by the end of May, but remember: It took Henry Kissinger more than four months to get the 1973–1974 oil embargo lifted.
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@disclosetv Can't clear a hostile Strait, not even for a traffic lane. We have no cards. This "war" was an enormous blunder and should get this guy impeached.
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@RepPatHarrigan @ChrisMurphyCT Why do our lives get worse? We didn't want this war.
He took an oath to defend from enemies foreign and domestic. As did you. The only enemy I see here is domestic.


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There are Americans right now whose lives get worse every time Iran gains an inch, and @ChrisMurphyCT is out here celebrating it.
He took an oath, he gets the briefings, he knows exactly what those ships are carrying and who it benefits, and he still opened his phone and typed 'awesome.'
Chris Murphy 🟧@ChrisMurphyCT
awesome
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I root for the US over Iran. Disturbing to see that Democrats don’t.
Chris Murphy 🟧@ChrisMurphyCT
awesome
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@WarMonitor3 Fuck this guy, fuck that "country." I can't wait to see them gone.
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@ShakeyMc @BritishUnityUK @WarMonitor3 Funny thing with saying "you can't do shit" is that neither can we. Straits still closed, isn't it? lmao
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What is embarrassing is you can't do shit and act like you can.
You have rely on America to protect freedom of navigation while you thumb your nose at us and embrace China .
While you buy sanctioned oil and use the dollar to stay strong
European countries are learning they don't set American foreign policy.
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💢 BREAKING | Spokesperson of the Central Headquarters of Hazrat Khatam al-Anbiya (PBUH): The Strait of Hormuz has returned to its previous state
🔺The Islamic Republic of Iran, following previous agreements in negotiations, had in good faith, agreed to the managed passage of a limited number of oil tankers and commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
🔺However, the Americans unfortunately with repeated breaches of their commitments, as is their record, continue piracy and maritime robbery under the so-called blockade.
🔺For this reason, control of the Strait of Hormuz has returned to its previous state, and this strategic strait is under the strict management and control of the armed forces.
🔺Until the United States fully restores freedom of navigation for vessels traveling to and from Iran, the situation in the Strait of Hormuz will remain tightly controlled and in its prior state..
OSINTtechnical@Osinttechnical
Ships have begun using Iran's approved route through the Strait of Hormuz this morning. At least 8 tankers have managed to pass, while numerous other ships are loitering short of the crossing or have turned back. AIS via @MarineTraffic.
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@wantICEwiththat @MaMu1025572 @NotAvgLiberal We have those bases there for us, you complete moron. Not for them.
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@MaMu1025572 @NotAvgLiberal That’s why you rely on us for defense cuck that’s all going away soon
BTW Keep begging us not to leave nato phaggot🤡
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Today we’re leaving Europe.
We visited Rome, Trastevere, Vatican City, Venice, Barcelona and Madrid.
Not a single MAGA hat.
Not a single Trump t shirt.
Not on any tourist,
Not in any shop.
Not a single cop or law enforcement officer wearing a mask,
Not a single law enforcement officer beating the shit out of anyone, for any reason.
Europeans make it perfectly clear.
They don’t like or approve of Trump.
I’m going to miss it here.
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@realtimsharp That would be a dream come true. Unfortunately though, they're allowed to do whatever they want with impunity.
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@aidifk61385 @tanpukunokami Yeah, I lied. I was back in Noge when I replied last. Hypocritical of me. It's great, but the no tourists thing is a beautiful touch, I hate to ruin that hahaha
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@M_Chase7 @tanpukunokami That's what they all say...
If every tourist just went once it would look like golden gai.
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This might be hard to believe, but
Golden Gai in Shinjuku, Tokyo has about 200 bars.
Everyone knows Golden Gai.
Every tourist queues outside Golden Gai.
Every Instagram photo is from Golden Gai.
30 minutes from Tokyo,
in Yokohama,
there's a place called Noge.
Noge has 600 bars.
Three times as many.
Almost no foreign tourists know it exists.
If you're tired of Shinjuku, take the train.



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UNICEF is outraged by the killing of two drivers of trucks contracted by UNICEF to provide clean water to families in the Gaza Strip.
The victims were killed by Israeli fire in an incident that took place early this morning at the Mansoura water filling point in northern Gaza. UNICEF extends our condolences to the families of the men killed.
Full statement: unicef.link/4cVCyP9
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🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️- Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammed Bagher Ghalibaf:
"1- The President of the United States made seven claims in one hour, all seven of which were false.
2- They did not win the war with these lies, and they will certainly not get anywhere in negotiations either.
3- With the continuation of the blockade, the Strait of Hormuz will not remain open.
4- Passage through the Strait of Hormuz will be conducted based on the "designated route" and with "Iranian authorization."
5- Whether the Strait is open or closed and the regulations governing it will be determined by the field, not by social media.
6- Media warfare and engineering public opinion are an important part of war, and the Iranian nation is not affected by these tricks. Read the real and accurate news of the negotiations in the recent interview of the Foreign Ministry spokesman."
محمدباقر قالیباف | MB Ghalibaf@mb_ghalibaf
۱- رئیس جمهور آمریکا در یک ساعت هفت ادعا مطرح کرد که هر هفت ادعا کذب است. ۲- با این دروغگوییها در جنگ پیروز نشدند و حتما در مذاکره هم راه به جایی نخواهند برد. ۳- با ادامهٔ محاصره، تنگهٔ هرمز باز نخواهد ماند.
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@M_Chase7 @tanpukunokami ah so we need to keep foreigners out but you don't count, got it
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