MadAtMarkets
10.6K posts
Iran indicating via multiple channels that the durability of the ceasefire may hinge on Israel ending strikes in Lebanon.
هنر جنگ@dolfiniran
۱۴:۵۱/ ۱۹ فروردین با آغاز حمله رژیم اسراییل به لبنان احتمال لغو نشست جمعه جدی شده است. نیروی دریایی سپاه جلوگیری از تردد کشتی ها را آغاز کرده است.
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BREAKING: Iran has accepted Pakistan’s two-week ceasefire proposal following intensive diplomatic efforts and a last-minute intervention by China - NYT
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@EnergyPeddler Surely Trump wouldn't try to bounce them and then blame them when they don't do it.
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Where’s the Iran response in this?
*Walter Bloomberg@DeItaone
*TRUMP SAYS CEASEFIRE IS SUBJECT TO STRAIT OF HORMUZ REOPENING
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RT @IranAmbPak: As of now, a step forward from critical, sensitive stage ...
In the next stage, respect and comity should be replaced by r…
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@OpenSquareCap Yes, the best option is to get out ASAP, preferably with a deal. That has been the case for weeks. Anyone who isn't retarded can see that.
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If you play it out isn’t this lose/lose by end of this week? He attacks, IR attacks GCC, gulf infrastructure on fire, oil gaps up again, market starts falling. Then what? It’s not like IRGC gets obliterated, they’ll still be around. You’ve bombed them for 35 days and they’re still there. IR hand just strengthens everyday from here on out as global econ falters. Forces him to put boots on the ground to shut IR crude trade, but that’ll spike oil prices as well. Almost every road leads to IR strengthening hand as it plays out until US gains enough real leverage to pry SoH open.
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Two developments unlikely to get the attention they deserve in the fog of war:
• Paris confirms the release of two French nationals after 3.5 years in Iranian detention
• An American journalist held by Iran-aligned Kataib Hezbollah is freed days after her abduction in #Iraq
#Iran doesn’t do detainee releases by coincidence, nor swiftly. Something may be shifting behind the scenes.
Emmanuel Macron@EmmanuelMacron
Cécile Kohler et Jacques Paris sont libres et en chemin vers le territoire français, après trois ans et demi de détention en Iran. C’est un soulagement pour nous tous et évidemment pour leurs familles. Merci aux autorités omanaises pour leurs efforts de médiation, aux services de l’État et aux citoyens qui se sont mobilisés sans relâche et ont ainsi contribué à leur retour.
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Iranians gather on bridges and power generation stations across the country to prevent them from being targets of Trump's war crimes.
Follow: t.me/presstv
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To my understanding, the interlocutors(Pakistan, Turkiye and Egypt) are 'closer than ever for an agreement" to get a "framework of understanding for ceasefire" between US and Iran,
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Israeli source: The next 24 hours are the most decisive in the war. If it were up to the political leadership in Iran, there would have been a ceasefire long ago. There is doubt about their control.
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Israeli source: Today, the railway infrastructure in Iran will be attacked.
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@PolitlcsUK Then Trump will get involved and start threatening us.
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@disclosetv doing this at the easter egg roll with that music is insane
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NOW - "The Iranian people, when they don't hear bombs go off, they're upset. They want to hear bombs, because they want to be free."
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If Trump is actually narrowing the war aim down to nuclear weapons then a deal is certainly possible. x.com/Breaking911/st…
Breaking911@Breaking911
🚨 TRUMP: "Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon...They just don't want to say 'uncle.' They don't want to cry, as the expression goes, 'uncle', but they will. And if they don't, they'll have no bridges. They'll have no power plants. They'll have no anything."
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@Trexxl @adcogfx @EdConwaySky @energy_said I didn't say he wouldn't listen. It's common for countries to advocate for their own interests and for things they believe in, even though it may make little difference. They eventually did it on Gaza. It took them almost 1.5 years. gov.uk/government/new…
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@Mad_At_Markets @adcogfx @EdConwaySky @energy_said Well if you know he won't listen why should other leaders waste their time telling him to stop?
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👀 Blimey
@energy_said (one of the smartest energy analysts around) calculates that if oil continues to be disrupted as it is today it "would push prices upwards by $1/bbl per day, until prices surpassed $250/bbl, while almost zeroing global GDP growth."
Totally catastrophic.
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@BD_at_Blackrock @adcogfx @EdConwaySky @energy_said Yes, I am. I'm saying what I originally said:
"Yet almost no western leader has told the US & Israel to stop bombing."
They should do so. They should advocate for their own interests.
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@Mad_At_Markets @EdConwaySky @energy_said you think he's going to listen to "please Mr Trump, stop bombing Iran"? this is diplomacy, not a playground
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@adcogfx @EdConwaySky @energy_said That's not the same thing at all. Trump doesn't care about them saying that.
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@Mad_At_Markets @EdConwaySky @energy_said what? pretty much every western leader has said the bombings are unlawful
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