Nate Outwater

4.3K posts

Nate Outwater

Nate Outwater

@NateFourFive

Complaining into the void.

Somewhere in NY Katılım Haziran 2010
315 Takip Edilen253 Takipçiler
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Eylon Levy
Eylon Levy@EylonALevy·
אני רוצה לשתף אתכם במאחורי הקלעים של עולם ההסברה. מאז שהתפוטרתי ממערך ההסברה (הרקע הפוליטי כבר ידוע לכולם) אני מנהל מיזם חברתי שנלחם על שמה הטוב של ישראל בתקשורת העולמית. ה״דוברות האזרחית״ נשענת על עשרות אזרחים מוכשרים שמנדבים את זמנם להתראיין בחו״ל, תורמים פרטיים, ואולי הכי חשוב - רכבת אווירית של יהודים צעירים מהתפוצות שבאים להתנדב. הם רואים את השנאה בעולם, יודעים כמה היא לא מוצדקת ומסכנת את חיינו, ובאים לנסות להציל אותנו. היום בקבוצה של העבודה, קיבלתי את ההודעה הזו מאחת המתמחות שלנו, בחורה מקסימה מארה״ב שעלתה לארץ ממש לאחרונה. תקראו ותפנימו. האזרחים הנהדרים שקמו ולקחו אחריות בשבעה באוקטובר כשהמדינה קרסה ממשיכים להילחם, בעוד גורמים בממשלת שבעה באוקטובר פוגעים ומחבלים במדינה שלנו בכוונה. אין פה מה להסביר. באנגלית אומרים שאי אפשר לשים אודם על חזיר, ובתרגום לעברית: אי אפשר להכשיר את השרץ. ופה יש חזיר שמחבל בעם ישראל. מבצע פיגוע מכוון במעמד הבינלאומי שלנו. ובנשמה שלנו. הכל למען תעמולת בחירות. מה אני צריך לענות לאותה המתמחה שנידבה מאות שעות עבור ההסברה הישראלית, ורואה ששר הבט״פ מרבה שנאה נגד ישראל ובכך מסכן את המשפחה שלה בארה״ב? ומה אני צריך לענות לה בתור עולה חדשה, שהעיניים עוד נוצצות מהחלום הציוני שעוד נבנה פה מדינה מתוקנת ומתורבתת, ארץ יפה וטובה? מה היא צריכה למסור לחברים שלה בארה״ב, היהודים והלא-יהודים כאחד, שרואים את הפוליטיקאי הישראלי הכי מפורסם (אחרי ביבי) תולה שלט ״ברוכים הבאים לישראל״ מעל הזוועה הזאת? בקרוב תהיה לנו הזדמנות לפתוח דף חדש ולגרש את החרפה הזו לפרק בהיסטוריה שעדיף שנשכח.
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איתמר בן גביר@itamarbengvir

ככה אנחנו מקבלים את תומכי הטרור Welcome to Israel 🇮🇱

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AG
AG@AGHamilton29·
This is such a revealing post. Massie had 0 substantive accomplishments in Congress to help his district. Khanna’s district similarly has countless issues and is losing people by the day, and he doesn’t care. Yet the big thing he points to is them teaming up to pass the most “consequential legislation in modern history,” which was really just a left-wing messaging bill meant to distract from real issues. The Epstein bill helped 0 people in either district, which is what voters care about. It revealed 0 criminal activity. It was simply an attempt to shift focus from real issues to a case that had been over for years and that the people involved never actually cared about in order to push various conspiracy narratives that they now use as the basis of their entire worldview. Did a bunch of rumors and conspiracies from those files help with homelessness in Khanna’s district? Did they help reduce home prices? Did they help lower the large tax burden? Did they take any pedophiles or criminals off the street? No. But they allowed him to rant about an imaginary “Epstein class” while fundraising and associating with the worst people imaginable, including defenders and promoters of various sexual deviants. In fact, Khanna and Massie were so desperate to pretend they achieved something that they ended up accusing 4 random people who were in a police lineup w/ 0 connection to Epstein of being his rich co-conspirators, including a random mechanic. It’s obvious both men never cared about helping people on their districts. They wanted to be influencers for the bigoted extremes. Massie can now focus on that goal. Hopefully, Khanna will be unemployed and joining him on the podcast circuit soon.
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Gandalv
Gandalv@Microinteracti1·
Poland Paid $50 Billion for America’s Friendship. Turns Out That Wasn’t the Deal. Poland has spent fifty billion dollars on American weapons. F-35s, Abrams tanks, Patriots, HIMARS. The full catalogue, ordered with the desperate enthusiasm of a country that shares a border with Belarus. Last week the Pentagon scrapped plans to deploy 4,200 troops to Poland. The brigade had already held a send-off ceremony, shipped its tanks, and sent advance personnel into Europe. Then came the call. Don’t bother. Poland was blindsided. Their officials found out by ringing American congressmen. JD Vance turned up at the White House briefing today and told a Polish reporter he was overreacting. It was just a delay, he said. Europe needs to stand on its own two feet. Poland spends nearly four percent of GDP on defence. It hosted American troops and paid fifteen thousand dollars per soldier per year for the privilege. It sent men to Iraq when Washington asked, even when France and Germany quietly suggested that everyone involved might regret it. Rumsfeld once called Poland the most pro-American country on earth, including America itself.  The reward for twenty years of that devotion is being told, by a man who has never heard a gunshot in anger, to look in the mirror.
Aaron Rupar@atrupar

JD Vance tells a Polish reporter he's "overreacting" to news that Trump is scrapping a planned deployment to his country and tells him to "look in the mirror"

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Sarah Longwell
Sarah Longwell@SarahLongwell25·
He’s right. The Republican Party isn’t a party of ideas. Or policy. It doesn’t stand for anything. It’s just a bunch of people being blindly loyal to corrupt madman who controls the primary voting base, but is unpopular with the rest of the country.
Aaron Rupar@atrupar

Lindsey Graham on Sen. Cassidy's defeat: "If you try to destroy President Trump, you're gonna lose, because this is the party of Donald Trump"

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Noam Blum
Noam Blum@neontaster·
Bodies donated to medical science help advance medical science, for the benefit of everyone. timesofisrael.com/un-ranks-idf-e…
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Drop Site@DropSiteNews

🎥 Israeli military doctors have been training on dead American bodies — and the donors never consented to it. A new @ajplus investigation found that USC has been selling donated bodies to the US Navy, where Israeli military surgeons use them for training in Los Angeles. The bodies, sourced largely from UC San Diego, were donated with the intention of advancing medical research. Donors and their families had no idea this could be their fate. AJ+’s Dena Takruri spoke to Drop Site’s Maysa Mustafa about the investigation, done in collaboration with USC student journalists who broke the story in October. “They see the connections that what is going on at their university is not so far removed from what is going on in Gaza.” Watch the full AJ+ Direct From documentary now on YouTube.

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China Uncensored
China Uncensored@ChinaUncensored·
I knew the narrative warfare against Taiwan would be ramping up. Expect to hear more of this. It will boil down to “the US should abandon Taiwan.” It takes years and about $20 billion dollars to make a semiconductor fab. So even if you—mistakenly—think the only value of Taiwan is semiconductors, then no, Taiwan is not 18 months away from losing strategic value. But then there are all the other increasingly important strategic reasons Taiwan is important. -If China captures it they’ll have broken the first island chain and be able to project power throughout the Pacific (they’ve already been creating undersea maps for submarine warfare as far as Hawaii and even Alaska). -China will become the dominant power in the Indo-Pacific gaining control of $5 trillion of shipping going through the South China Sea -the entire region will see that US defense guarantees are meaningless and will have to capitulate to the CCP. South Korea is already dangerously compromised. But what will happen to Japan, the Philippines, India? -the US will have abandoned one of Asia’s largest democracies to an authoritarian regime that is already talking about committing genocide on the Island That’s just a few of the reasons Taiwan is not EVER losing its strategic importance, especially not in 18 months. Stay on guard! As we get closer to a potential CCP invasion of Taiwan, we’ll be hearing more and more voices calling for the US to abandon Taiwan. Know better. Counter the psyop.
The All-In Podcast@theallinpod

Chamath: Taiwan Loses Its Strategic Importance in 18 Months @chamath: “ We're 18 months from Taiwan not being an important moment of conversation the way it is today. Why 18 months? Because we are at a point where we're probably 1-2 nanometers away from being able to do what we need Taiwan to strategically do for us. And so as we scale up our chip fabs, as we get more capacity, and interestingly, there are these orthogonal technologies being developed. I don't know if you guys saw, but Neuralink was showcasing a machine that is literally operating at the almost nanometer scale to do the brain operations for the implantation, all automatically. When you have the dexterity and the capability mechanically to make these things, the real reason then is a very different one than what it is today. Today, it's economic. And if you take that off the table, I think we'll have a very different attitude to Taiwan.”

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Daniel Goldman
Daniel Goldman@danielsgoldman·
Real story: Judge was about to throw out the case bc Trump controls both parties. Before it’s dismissed, Trump tells both parties to reach a “settlement.” Settlement shields Trump from any future audit and creates a secret slush fund that can dole out money to anyone with no transparency. Mind-boggling corruption. @SpeakerJohnson - you may not know it, but your job is to conduct oversight of the admin. You can’t run away from this one.
Katherine Faulders@KFaulders

NEWS -- President Trump is expected to drop his $10 billion lawsuit against the Internal Revenue Service in exchange for the creation of a $1.7 billion fund to compensate allies who claim they were wrongfully targeted by the Biden administration, sources tell me @PCCharalambous @alex_mallin abcnews.com/US/trump-poise…

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Max Dubler 🏳️‍🌈
Max Dubler 🏳️‍🌈@maxdubler·
Unfunded inclusionary zoning mandates are a tax on new homes that worsen the housing shortage and raise housing prices in exchange for a handful of means tested homes for lottery winners. This is bad, counterproductive policy and we should stop doing it entirely, everywhere.
M. Nolan Gray 🥑@mnolangray

I'm not aware of a single instance where IZ mandates ushered in broad improvements in housing affordability, but I'm aware of loads of instances in which they crushed housing production. Blue cities/states need to take the evidence seriously and scrap these failed programs.

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Dilan Esper
Dilan Esper@dilanesper·
An interesting historical episode from one of the Theodore Roosevelt biographies I am reading. In 1907, a movement emerged in San Francisco to expel all students of Japanese ancestry (alien and US citizen) from its schools. The biggest supporters of the movement? Unions.
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Max 📟
Max 📟@MaxNordau·
“The antisemite does not accuse the Jew of stealing because he thinks he stole something. He does it because he enjoys watching the Jew turn out his pockets to prove his innocence.” — Jean-Paul Sartre
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Jesse Singal
Jesse Singal@jessesingal·
absolutely despicable. loathsome. if you supported this administration because of your concerns about "free speech" go to a monastery for a year or someting. seriously carve out some time for self-reflection. try to figure out how you were conned so badly!
Kyle Griffin@kylegriffin1

MS NOW Exclusive: The FBI has launched a criminal leak investigation focusing on Atlantic magazine journalist Sarah Fitzpatrick, who wrote that deeply unflattering account of Kash Patel's work habits. There is deep concern about this approach among some of the FBI agents. ms.now/news/fbi-inves…

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Nate Outwater
Nate Outwater@NateFourFive·
GIVE THE CHILDREN THE BLUE BOOKS
Luiza Jarovsky, PhD@LuizaJarovsky

🚨 University professors have been saying AI is completely destroying learning and that we'll soon have an AI-powered, semi-illiterate workforce. Here's a glimpse into the educational apocalypse: "Sarah, a freshman at Wilfrid Laurier University in Ontario, said she first used ChatGPT to cheat during the spring semester of her final year of high school. (...) After getting acquainted with the chatbot, Sarah used it for all her classes: Indigenous studies, law, English, and a “hippie farming class” called Green Industries. “My grades were amazing,” she said. “It changed my life.” Sarah continued to use AI when she started college this past fall. Why wouldn’t she? Rarely did she sit in class and not see other students’ laptops open to ChatGPT. Toward the end of the semester, she began to think she might be dependent on the website. She already considered herself addicted to TikTok, Instagram, Snapchat, and Reddit, where she writes under the username maybeimnotsmart. “I spend so much time on TikTok,” she said. “Hours and hours, until my eyes start hurting, which makes it hard to plan and do my schoolwork. With ChatGPT, I can write an essay in two hours that normally takes 12.” - "By November, Williams estimated that at least half of his students were using AI to write their papers. Attempts at accountability were pointless. Williams had no faith in AI detectors, and the professor teaching the class instructed him not to fail individual papers, even the clearly AI-smoothed ones. “Every time I brought it up with the professor, I got the sense he was underestimating the power of ChatGPT, and the departmental stance was, ‘Well, it’s a slippery slope, and we can’t really prove they’re using AI,’” Williams said. “I was told to grade based on what the essay would’ve gotten if it were a ‘true attempt at a paper.’ So I was grading people on their ability to use ChatGPT.” - AI in education is a serious topic, and many schools and universities are blindly jumping into the "AI-first" wave without considering short and long-term consequences. It would be great to hear more from teachers and educators to understand potential solutions. This might be a great opportunity for rethinking the education system and how students are assessed. - 👉 Link to the full article below. 👉 To learn more about AI's legal and ethical challenges, join my newsletter's 94,700+ subscribers (link below).

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Nate Outwater
Nate Outwater@NateFourFive·
@wb_thorne @DKThomp 100% supply is the biggest issue and the largest driver of housing price increases. If you’re not familiar with the changes the 2019 HSTPA made to NYs rent stabilization, specifically no reset on vacancy I’d look into them. To use your frame I’d think of it as a backslide to gen1
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Will
Will@wb_thorne·
@NateFourFive @DKThomp To be clear, I would address 100 different supply restrictions as a first priority, but if for political reasons you need to pair 2nd gen rent control with supply-side, it is not that big a deal and we should not freak out. Supply is the fundamental issue.
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Derek Thompson
Derek Thompson@DKThomp·
I'm glad that the author of "Rent Control Is Fine, Actually" calls themself Unlearning Economics, bc it's good to just state things clearly, such as the open animosity that many left economic populists have for the field of economics and economists themselves. Economists aren't gods, and economics isn't a divine truth, but economists are good--better than most--at something critical for making public policy: They're good at identifying tradeoffs. "Rents are too high, so freeze them" is compelling politics. But in the absence of other pro-supply policies, if you make it illegal to increase rents, landlords will stop upgrading units and convert them to condos, which reduces the supply of units for rent, reduces mobility, and drives up rents for everybody else. The left econ populists have some clear, and clearly stated, policy ideas: - Rents are too high, so freeze them. - Electricity is expensive, so stop rate increases. - Homes are too expensive, so ban institutional investors. - Power prices are rising, so ban data center construction. ... All these policies feel like solutions because they're brisk, they name enemies, and they take on the most visible source of frustration. But they are much better as villain-naming exercises than they are as a complete public policy. On their own, each creates other problems: less housing built, less clean electricity built, abdicating energy policy by encouraging AI firms to build data centers abroad in unsavory countries with more emissions, etc. I can't think of a single economic populist idea that wouldn't be helped with a little dose of economics, which is why it's troubling when I see the left participating in, and even celebrating, the great unlearning of economics.
Nathan J Robinson@NathanJRobinson

an economist explains how rent control is actually fine and good currentaffairs.org/news/rent-cont…

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Nate Outwater
Nate Outwater@NateFourFive·
@wb_thorne @DKThomp Well it depends whether you believe the interest groups or not, that’s up to you. But I’ve seen 50,000 units off the market in NYC due to not being able to recoup the investment to renovate claimed. What ultimately we should all try to avoid is the South Bronx of the 70s-80s.
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Will
Will@wb_thorne·
@NateFourFive @DKThomp It sounds more difficult, but I am going on the evidence: these buildings do not just sit empty. People live in them and basically the same number as before rent control.
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Nate Outwater
Nate Outwater@NateFourFive·
@wb_thorne @DKThomp It should be if buying the building doesn’t pencil. Owner occupiers are also tough because the logistics are tough. Especially if you have a building in an already depressed area. Who’s putting up the cash? Are the new owners going to do the deferred maintenance?
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Will
Will@wb_thorne·
@NateFourFive @DKThomp A landlord goes insolvent and sells the building, which is then rented out, or lived in by owner-occupiers. Should this be a big public policy consideration?
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Nate Outwater
Nate Outwater@NateFourFive·
@wb_thorne @DKThomp It’s hard to speak on RC as a blanket policy and there are certainly implementations that are worse/better than others. That being said, from where I’m standing in NY, the changes made to rent stabilization in 2019 regarding unit changeover have certainly had negative effects.
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Will
Will@wb_thorne·
@NateFourFive @DKThomp And because it might come with a suite of other "building hostile" regulations. I am in the weird position of being ambivalent on 2nd gen RC, and quite "YIMBY" with regard to much more traditional (and IMO more harmful) regulations that do not have the same political baggage.
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Nate Outwater
Nate Outwater@NateFourFive·
@wb_thorne @DKThomp While this is true it’s one thing to look at it academically and another to sign the papers for a potentially $100M+ finance. Ultimately, and for reasons other than development, my beef with our system in NY is more the slow bleed of landlords to insolvency after 2019.
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Will
Will@wb_thorne·
@NateFourFive @DKThomp That relies on developers making such accurate assessments of regulatory outcomes that economists can hardly predict with any real degree of accuracy. I agree that developers make this sort of risk assessment, but we shouldn't presume it is accurate.
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Keşfet

@SpeakerJohnson @wb_thorne @DKThomp @elonmusk @BarackObama @taylorswift13 @cristiano @BillGates