
Phil Rosen
13.4K posts

Phil Rosen
@philrosenn
Chief Market Strategist, ProCap Financial • Co-founder & CEO, Opening Bell Media (207K+ subs) • Host of Full Signal • Get my newsletter every AM👇





The Macro X-Ray: Stripping the Noise From the S&P 🧵 To understand the true health of global capital, and where it is headed next, we must strip away the distorting veil of fiat currency. The chart below visualizes a five-year rolling Z-score of the S&P 500 to Gold ratio. Statistically, a rolling Z-score measures how many standard deviations a data point sits away from its historical moving average. When this indicator hits the upper green bands, equities are unsustainably expensive relative to hard money and historical norms. When it plunges into the deep red troughs, as it has done only a handful of times in modern history, it signals a severe structural distortion.



I sat down with Dan Ives (@DivesTech) to discuss the SpaceX IPO, the AI trade across chips, software, and infrastructure, the US vs. China tech race, and what bitcoin's performance means as capital rotates into AI. YouTube: youtu.be/ScBFACE6OOU?si… Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/is-… Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/2xIzGA… TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Intro 1:00 - SpaceX IPO & the birth of a new sector 3:23 - SpaceX + Tesla merger thesis 5:51 - The AI backlash & Big Tech's PR problem 11:53 - US vs. China: who's actually winning in AI? 15:03 - Robotics, self-driving cars & physical AI 19:55 - How to invest in AI: chips, software & infrastructure 28:34 - New Fed chair, rates & macro risks 32:45 - Bitcoin vs. AI: capital rotation 37:55 - On-the-ground intel from Asia & Taiwan 40:06 - Any concerns with AI? 44:18 - Apple's AI strategy & Tim Cook stepping down 46:52 - The Ives AI ETF & portfolio construction








The CEO of Lyft says the stock is down 30% because the market doesn't realize Lyft is best-positioned for autonomous vehicles. I sat down with @davidrisher to understand whether the stock is mispriced, the rivalry with Uber and whether AI shrinks Lyft's moat. I also asked him whether he would entertain an acquisition from Google or Tesla. His answers will surprise you. This conversation has unique views. David speaks to issues he has never shared on air before. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - $LYFT -32% 1:01 - Wall Street misprices the stock 2:07 - Self-driving cars 3:37 - Fleet management 7:23 - Tesla breaking Lyft's moat? 8:51 - 50 million riders and distribution 11:58 - Partnerships playbook 14:29 - Owning a car vs. @lyft 16:18 - Taking Lyft private 17:42 - Acquisition by Tesla or Google? 21:30 - Will AI replace all drivers? 25:42 - Why CEO still drives Lyft rides 27:52 - Strategic regrets as CEO 34:13 - Leaving a legacy at Lyft




