Sam

@pablofindsout @PabloTorre @ChrisMurphyCT It’s way cleaner for leagues to partner with prediction markets over sportsbooks

"Of course I'd like them to testify, because I think it's pretty clear upon questioning you'd learn that they're just in this for the cash grab." —@ChrisMurphyCT wants sports commissioners to testify before Congress on their prediction-market partnerships

@Pure_lmao @adamscochran Like I said losers can become winners

@Samk1719 @adamscochran Losers are losers everywhere.

Interesting how none of them want to ban sports betting in betting apps that can front run customers and set their own odds though. But the gambling lobby that donates millions to Congress shows up, and now Congress cares about the more strictly regulated CFTC approved industry? Pretty brazen. Even if you don’t understand the structural nuance of why gambling and prediction markets are two different products - you’ve got to be raising an eyebrow at why our politicians only seem to care about one of them? How many members of Congress are getting that DraftKings money right now?

@Pure_lmao @adamscochran The difference is the losers can become winners on PMs not on sportsbooks

@adamscochran Kalshi needs losing players too. Betfair is a look 20 years into the - has dealt with this. "Freezing" markets is also good for market structure - courtsiding is bad. The fees on Kalshi make it just the same level of vig as sportsbooks for most user. The difference just technical

@NotBliqqq @KalshiSports They r saying 1s vs the field is favored

@KalshiSports A one seed has the highest chance to win it all

A #1 seed is a the strong favorite to win the National Championship, via Kalshi: 68% — #1 Seed 17% — #2 Seed 7% — #3 Seed 5% — #4 Seed 3% — #5 Through #8 Seed 1% — #9 Seed or Higher Who’s winning it all?

@Knibbs Has anyone in Nevada actually been banned yet?

BREAKING: Kalshi temporarily banned in Nevada wired.com/story/nevada-b…

@B_lynch15 @ParishStoner @gogo__dino Very much doubt they r letting anyone bet that though

@Samk1719 @ParishStoner @gogo__dino

My nephew is 14 years old. Couldn’t be more proud of his friend circle

@ParishStoner @gogo__dino What platform is letting u bet 2k on early payout?

@gogo__dino For those saying he lost 2k if it was any platform with early payout he won lol

@oaktoebark @mansourtarek_ Think this percent could be way higher this year cause favorites r becoming higher favorites and technology getting better but could change fast with a bunch of upsets

@oaktoebark @mansourtarek_ The perfect bracket number is not that high cause you don’t just pick 50-50 but ur right it’s definitely more likely a astroid hits. I was reading it as odds of someone hitting a bracket where in a pool of 20 mil it’s like +600,000 (.0167%) someone hits a perfect bracket

90 minutes left to attempt generational wealth. The odds are not zero. And it's free. You owe it to your grandchildren.

@oaktoebark @mansourtarek_ What would u price both?

@mansourtarek_ the odds are effectively zero. there is a better chance of the world exploding that hitting this bracket.

@ChalkboardHQ They’d go from .2% to 2% chance at winning it

Would Miami Ohio win the Natty if they had Wemby on their team? 👀

@ChrisMurphyCT @RepCasar Do you have any proof there r insiders in the White House insider trading?

The day before the Iran War, a flurry of big prediction market bets were placed - likely from Trump staff - that the war would start the next day. That's outrageous, and today @RepCasar and I introduced legislation to ban these corrupt prediction markets.

@yallslow4me @DK__DFS Same idiots that pay for dudes pics. It’s almost all a scam and not hard to fall into. Dub club should be prosecuted

@DK__DFS What idiot would pay a women to tell them about sports betting?

I love this app

@calebbets3 Dub club in bio

The worst part about this is that even in the absolute longshot timeline where someone wins this, Kalshi is likely to pull out right before Championship game.

@SKithiyon56925 @nypost It’s free bro 😂😂😂

Offering a billion dollars for a perfect bracket is the ultimate marketing scam because the odds of actually picking every single game correctly are about one in nine quintillion. It is a brilliant way for a betting platform to harvest the personal data of millions of hopeful fans who do not realize they have a better chance of being struck by lightning while winning the powerball than they do of surviving the first round of upsets. They are basically dangling a life changing fortune that they know with absolute mathematical certainty they will never actually have to pay out.

Kalshi is offering $1 billion prize for a perfect March Madness bracket trib.al/0Lunf1S

@Baheet_ Well Kalshi having a working app and Polymarket taking their time maybe has something to do with it

how is kalshi making so much revenue like the gap between them and polymarket is not even close

@chucktodd If they scheduled 13 easy games in non conference they’d probably be close to 20-7 and in

Actually, they were rewarded for it: It’s quite the accomplishment for a 17-16 team to get THISCLOSE to getting a bid. Being 1 game over .500 should not get you an at-large birth into this tourney, period. And yet they got close. So they WERE rewarded!

@Bauertology So is committee saying they use predictive metrics for seeding and not selecting?

Worth noting from committee chair Keith Gill—Miami (OH) was the last team in on the seed list, but they were not the last team selected! They were chosen ahead of each of NC State, Texas, and SMU (Mustangs were the final team chosen), but were scrubbed down based on metrics/individual quality of wins. So last at-large team on the seed list doesn't necessarily mean last team chosen!

@ehannan73 @CBSSportsCBB @MattNorlander If they lost to umass during the year and then won Mac tourney they’d be a 12 not an 11 which shows how unserious the committee is

@CBSSportsCBB @MattNorlander I've said it for two weeks ... if the one loss came midseason, they wouldn't be in the tournament. SMU will show everyone why.

"I am surprised that the RedHawks are going to Dayton, not shocked." @MattNorlander on Miami (OH) playing SMU in Dayton in First Four.

@oaktoebark @verrissimus @kevinolearytv @nikitabier Looking forward to it

@Samk1719 @verrissimus @kevinolearytv @nikitabier we’ve got a DCM/DCO now. the fees will suck less soon. don’t give up on us yet. we’re building the NASDAQ of sports. also feel free to complain to me anytime and will do my best to get you on a path of healing. 😉

Hey! I just made a prediction on Kalshi. Think you'd call it differently? Try it here: kalshi.com/markets/kxosca…