Van Stretch

@Strien9 présentation incomplète qui oublie totalement la progression des russes au sud/ouest de Siversk. IL sont maintenant à une quinzaine de Km de Sloviansk.

Das war die Lage in Donetzk Ende Apr - trotz massiver Angriffe va bei Pokrowsk waren die RU seit Jahresbeginn kaum vorangekommen bei dem Versuch, den Rest der Oblast einzunehmen, insbesondere der Zangenangriff von Pokrowsk nach NW, bei Liman nach SW war kaum vorangekommen Seither hat sich die Lage für RU eher noch verschlechtert, besonders deutlich im N 1/4

@DelwinStrategy D'un autre côté, Deep State n'a absolument pas "surévalué" les gains ukrainiens dans l'oblast de Dniepro en début d'année, contrairement à l'ISW notamment. Comment l'expliquez-vous ?

My latest article « The trap of rational ruin » published in La Vigie. Many thanks to @egea_blog. In depth analysis of Ukraine’s economic prospects post-war and why can the continuation of war remain rational without offering any real strategic outcome? #Strategy #UkraineRussiaWar #Economy #Ukraine : Le piège du choix rationnel (Delwin) lettrevigie.com/ukraine-le-pie…

@Karimagicien @MaximeFago89056 Si vous croyez Rybar, alors la situation globale est pas terrible pour les Ukrainiens.

@MaximeFago89056 Le temps ?quoi 48h? 2 semaines ? 4 ans ? 8 ans ? 12 ans ? Guerre de cent ans ? 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

Запорожская область, район Степногорска. Наши бойцы потихоньку продвигаются севернее Степового и Малых Щербаков.

@MaximeFago89056 @Turnervariable La prise de la ville, c'est une question de semaines ou de mois ?

@Turnervariable On pourrait parler, aujourd'hui, de plus de 50%, et ça va beaucoup plus vite.

La situation ukrainienne à Konstantinivka se dégrade de nouveau, cette fois par l’ouest.

@Virginie2R Et la bataille de Verdun, elle se déroule sur quelle superficie ?

Cette promenade touristique dure environ 4 heures si l'on s'arrête pour prendre des photos en chemin. Il a fallu 3 ans à l'armée 🇷🇺, « la 2ème armée la + puissante au monde », pour parcourir une distance qui prend 4h à pied. 4/4

‼️L'offensive de Bakhmout, c'est comme une balade à Paris Il y a 3 ans, la🇷🇺 s'est emparée de Bakhmout et a mené une campagne de propagande massive autour de ses efforts pour prendre cette ville, faisant de Bakhmout l'un des noms de ville les + connus au monde.1/4

@Alexandree1507 Si Rybar est votre référence, alors la situation d'ensemble est vraiment pas terrible pour les ukrainiens.

🇺🇦🇷🇺🔥 La logistique russe serait en plein chaos sur le front sud, sous l’effet de la campagne ukrainienne continue de frappes par drones. Après la libération de Stepnohirsk, les forces ukrainiennes auraient percé en direction de Kamyanske, profitant d’un arrière russe de plus en plus désorganisé.

@KingdomBlack7 @AMK_Mapping_ Not everywhere.

@AMK_Mapping_ Contested areas can be considered as taken by the offensive group.

The number of settlements in Zaporizhzhia Oblast falsely claimed to be under Russian control by the Russian Ministry of Defence has reached 29. Yellow icons represent settlements that are contested, while blue icons represent settlements that are under full Ukrainian control. 15 of these settlements are contested, while the other 14 are under Ukrainian control. Notably, the area shown in red has zero false claims made. This is the area where Russian forces are achieving the most advances. Nevertheless, the entire eastern part of Zaporizhzhia Oblast remains one of the most difficult parts of the frontline.

@leonidragozin DS may operate under an agreement with Ukraine’s defence ministry, but in the beginning of the year, they clearly undervalued the ukrainian push in Dniepro Oblast.

Deep State war mappers haven’t announced any updates since May 13, but they have quietly designated all of Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad as territories under the Russian control. There are many questions regarding the DS map at the moment, like Kryva Luka near Sloviansk, for example, and even Stipnohirsk where Ukrainian forces were allegedly advancing. DS operates under an agreement with Ukraine’s defence ministry. If this is a result of political pressure, then something serious must be at stake. t.me/stranaua/236174

@prestonstew_ If you trust Rybar, the global picture is gloomy for Ukraine.

Russian media Rybar confirms Ukrainian progress in Stepnohirsk: "new reports arrive of deteriorating situation in Stepnogorsk and surrounding areas, as well as neighboring Primorsk. According to objective control footage, the enemy already moves into the settlement relatively freely, which indicates Russian Armed Forces positions have been lost west of the city."

@AMK_Mapping_ @Deepstate_UA @Fugaku0886 So explain me why they show almost each day russian progress (even at a slow rate) ?

@StretchVan @Deepstate_UA @Fugaku0886 right...

In the Komyshuvakha direction, Ukrainian forces intensified their localised counteroffensive operations, making significant progress over the last two weeks. In the west, following the withdrawal from Russian airborne assault elements to the rear due to high losses, Ukrainian forces managed to clear the grey-zone in Prymorske and broke through to the southern dachas, clearing most of the rest of the village. At the same time, elite GUR forces cleared pockets of Russian resistance east of the settlement, and advanced down the highway to the southeastern dachas where they entrenched on the northern bank of the Sukhyy River, thereby cutting the Russian bridgehead in two. To the east, Ukrainian special forces continued their clearing operations in Stepnohirsk after repelling Russian attacks towards the town centre. They managed to recapture the eastern streets and fields to the east and are now engaged in fighting for the remaining western streets. Additionally, newly brought in reinforcements managed to establish control over the solar farm and adjacent dachas. Further east, the Ukrainians cleared the remaining part of the salient following a Russian withdrawal, and began advancing southwest towards Kamyanske. As a result of these attacks, they were able to advance along the tactical heights, recapturing treeline positions northeast of the village along the northern bank of the Kalnachak River. Simultaneously, other assault groups advanced south of the Kalnachak River, recapturing treeline positions there and infiltrating to the eastern outskirts of Kamyanske. To the southeast, Russian forces resumed assault operations north of Stepove, where they recaptured treeline positions north of the village up to the gulley. On the other hand, Ukrainian forces recaptured positions northeast of Stepove and are attempting to reach the highway. In the east, Ukrainian forces cleared most of the treeline positions north of Mali Shcherbaky and are attempting to advance northwest of Shcherbaky. On the other hand, Russian forces restarted attacks in Shcherbaky, recapturing the central part of the village and infiltrating up the treelines north of the settlement. + ~65.07 km² in favour of Ukraine. + ~1.37 km² in favour of Russia.

@AMK_Mapping_ @Deepstate_UA @Fugaku0886 not consistent.

@StretchVan @Deepstate_UA @Fugaku0886 They have literally admitted to it...

@AMK_Mapping_ @Deepstate_UA @Fugaku0886 If Deepstate was under SBU pressure, he would have show more ukrainian gains, especially in Dniepro Oblast.

@Deepstate_UA @Fugaku0886 You have admitted to being under SBU pressure multiple times in the past. No one can trust your updates to be reliable. It's more than just protecting Ukrainian soldiers now. It's about maintaining the narrative claiming you hold positions that you actually don't.

@georgewbarros @clement_molin The truth is that a large part of the recent ukrainian gains (especially Dniepro oblast) covered zones which were not controlled by russians, and were never considered as red.

Hi Clement. I’d like to offer a clarification that as a matter of fact that it is not true that ISW maps infiltrations as Russian control. ISW does not map infiltrations as Russian control. In November 2025 we introduced a separate polygon for Russian infiltrations specifically separate from the polygon for Russian control in order to not overestimate Russian progress on the battlefield. We’ve also specifically noted that the our current methodology that Russian forces exercise significantly less control in infiltration zones, and that simple comparisons looking at geographic territory can overestimate Russian progress. We have been very clear about what the infiltration areas represent, that Ukrainian positions exist within infiltration areas, and that analysts should not consider infiltration zones as Russian-controlled. All of this is documented in our public methodology statement: understandingwar.org/analysis/russi…

These circulating figures do not reflect reality. The ISW is creating a very "progressive" map that favors Russia (infiltrations are counted as Russian control). This is how imaginary counter-offensives are invented, portraying Ukrainian advances into territory that has never been under Russian control.

@LCI source : ISW. Peu fiable. Croisez avec d'autres sources. le B.a-ba du métier.

"Kiev semble désormais avoir l'avantage : l'Ukraine serait-elle en train d'inverser la tendance après avoir récupéré 120 km² de son territoire ? ➡️ l.tf1info.fr/5lv

@Le_Parisi1 @MaximeFago89056 @clement_molin Le front semble se déplacer à l'ouest d'huliyapole

@MaximeFago89056 @clement_molin Le même discours en boucle...j'attends toujours les percées annoncées depuis le mois de mars.

On Ukraine's 🇺🇦 southern front, Russian 🇷🇺 forces are pushing near Orikhiv, while ukrainian forces continue to launch cleaning operations. The Russian army has intensified its attempts to push the front, while the ukrainians reinforced their fortifications. 🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️

@AnnMagayante Il faut vraiment une bonne dose de mauvaise foi pour ne pas reconnaître que le couple Macron est atypique, pour dire très pudiquement les choses.

Cette femme née en 43 a ete la maîtresse d’un homme marié très connu qui avait 20 ans de + qu’elle. Elle trouvait ça normal.Elle a même dû encaisser pas mal de médisances pour ça. C’était sa vie.Elle n’a rien appris de tout ça et se comporte comme une vieille femme rétrograde.😡

@GrafKorina les ukrainiens sont capables de contre-attaques locales mais ce sont bien les russes qui sont à l'offensive sur les zones principales du front

Gressel gehört normalerweise nicht zu den Analysten, die leichtfertig von ukrainischen Chancen sprechen. Umso bemerkenswerter ist dieser Satz: „Nächsten Winter könnte das schon so weit sein — wenn der Trend der Abnutzung der russischen Kräfte weitergeht.“ Der entscheidende Punkt: Die Ukraine versucht derzeit keine klassische Grossoffensive. Sie zwingt Russland vielmehr zu permanenter Reaktion: ▫️lokale Gegenstösse ▫️Druck auf Logistik ▫️Bindung von Reserven ▫️Abnutzung entlang einer überdehnten Front Und genau darin könnte langfristig die eigentliche strategische Verschiebung liegen

@DianeDelahaye13 @NayCatherine désolé, mais la situation de Catherine Nay est plus commune que celle de Emmanuel macron.

20 ans la maîtresse en titre d'Albin Chalandon toujours marié avant qu'il ne l'epouse, Albin qui avait 23 ans de plus qu'elle...A sa place j'éviterais les commentaires sur le sujet..@NayCatherine

@JulesSimoni @MaximeFago89056 @clement_molin @UkraineDailyUpd Donc il faut voir une IA pour savoir si clement Molin est objectif (spoiler : non mais personne ne l'est). Pauvre époque.

@MaximeFago89056 @clement_molin @UkraineDailyUpd Je t’invite même à interroger ChatGPT sur ce qu’il pense de lui: clement Molin est il un objectif ou est il un bon analyste stratégique.

I made a quick map of visually confirmed destroyed ukrainian 🇺🇦 supply vehicles (civilian vehicles, UGVs, armoured vehicles) on the roads to Kostiantynivka. We can easily see that the two roads leading to the city are constantly targeted. (data from @UkraineDailyUpd map)

@M0nstas you trust Rybar ?

Pryshyb updates - deep gray zone and Kupiansk scenario. Gap in surveillance is concerning.