@PercyTalledoA @Ecom_Venture2 @aleabitoreddit Is that a question or a statement?
Earnings haven't happened yet...
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JakeTheTrader
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$EWY calls are now up 300%+, over 4x return if you listened anon?
Not only did IV increase and hold their implied volatility of the South Korean market.
Underlying memory longs in SK Hynix and Samsung keep printing.
During that time, all your influencers kept bear posting “Oil + LNG” fears as well as “Kospi bubble” chants.
Serenity@aleabitoreddit
Trade idea that I published to my shower thoughts channel: Korean Index volatility arbitrage and taking advantage of Black-Scholes models. $EWY long options seem mispriced. This is Blackrock's Korea Index, which is majority memory (Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix). The stock swings 2-5+% a day, and is up 136.25% 1Y, despite priced like a normal index IV. Samsung is volatile. SK Hynix is volatile (eg. 65% - 80% est). But the combination of the two through the index is priced way less than both low beta $GOOGL (37.33%) and $AMZN (39.12%) at ~32% IV. I've been watching $EWY for a bit and it does look volatile. As for pricing my guess is MMs priced in IV based on historical averages (5-10 years), where the Korean index was completely flat. And were expecting calls 2 years out to revert to the mean. But this volatility should be the new norm as markets price in the new memory supercycle (eg. $TSM went from 30% IV to 46.2% IV). Long calls should benefit from both Samsung + Sk Hynix carrying the index. And the main benefit is vega expansion that you won't get from $KORU. You also can't get this option MM pinning like individual US stocks since this is Korea's national index and long term. TLDR: Individual components SK Hynix + Samsung are highly volatile. They're basically half of the index, but options in index are priced with low volatility, perhaps due to historical 5-10 year data. Long calls benefit from vega expansion that weren't priced in correctly as MM forward vol estimates are anchored too heavily on historical realized vol, which was low for $EWY over the past 5-10 years
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@TheWiseAdapter @gurgavin Lol you didn't understand what he was saying at all. Go read it again and try to focus on comprehension vs a knee jerk x response.
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@gurgavin One of the worse AI takes Ive seen in years.
The vast majority of the AI Infrastructure plays are significantly profitable & creating huge free cashflow.
What companies are you referring too?
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DURING THE DOT COM BUBBLE EVERYONE CALLED YAHOO THE SAFE BET
WHAT THEY MISSED YAHOO’S CLIENTS WERE THE DOT COM COMPANIES. THE ONES WITH NO PATH TO PROFITABILITY
THEY COLLAPSED, YAHOO COLLAPSED WITH THEM
SAME THING IS HAPPENING IN AI. EVERYONE RUSHING TO THE ‘SAFE’ INFRASTRUCTURE PLAYS. GPUS, CLOUD, APIS
BUT WHO’S PAYING THOSE BILLS? AI STARTUPS WITH NO REAL REVENUE, NO PROFITABILITY, AND A VC CHECK THAT WON’T LAST FOREVER.
FUNDING DRIES UP. DOMINOES FALL.
SO WHO ALL IS YAHOO THIS TIME? (YOU ALREADY KNOW)
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@SoloTv84 @60Minutes Hahahhah what an idiot...dumbest post of the day award goes to you.
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The Crash is already happening but things will accelerate
-Gas $5 plus before June
- Food prices will increase due to famine starting August
-July blackouts will be frequent due to cyber attacks
-October Food will increase even more
-November economy crashes, which will spur a crypto bull run never before seen
-AI will continue to improve, thus more layoffs
-Crime will increase
-Going on a date will be pointless but a girl will be happy if you take her to McDonald's because a $5 will cost $40
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@babiru36 @aleabitoreddit What a useless post. Who cares about your views. What's your expertise or track record? No new information provided, just regurgitating what serenity is sharing. Blocking you idiot.
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@aleabitoreddit Yes, $SIVE is currently in its early stages. In my view, it still possesses immense upside potential—it could very well be the next 50-bagger
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@Ahundre__ @aleabitoreddit Really dumb take lol...homie coming out here with his conspiracy theories 😂
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@aleabitoreddit Makes me wonder if the Swedish press pushed all that negative news on $SIVE on purpose in the last few weeks/month, so to spook retail into selling & let the big institutions load up cheap, all because they knew exactly what this company was worth.
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Did you listen anon?
$SIVE is extremely early.
And we’re about to see a ton of institutional inflow (Blackrock, Vanguard, MSCI, NASDAQ) next week for the first time.
Then, couple that with NASDAQ listing soon, with even more US institutions entering.
This is what it’s like to be in a name like $AXTI or $LITE at the very beginning.
And this is still at a point before major institutional capital hit the float or CPO supercycle has ramped.
Serenity@aleabitoreddit
$SIVE is the largest beneficiary of brand new events this weekend: 1. Sivers new NASDAQ index inclusion (OMX Stockholm): Both Vanguard and Blackrock are new passive inflows. With ~$60M+ pure buying pressure inflow, into existing float, together with MSCI next week. 2. US Gov and Sweden sign agreement for joint tech collaboration. $SIVE is one of the few CHIPS act recipients, and especially in Sweden. And if you don’t remember, they received another $6.6M CHIPS act award last week. Making $SIVE heavily supported + critical to the US government. - TLDR: New passive institutional inflow from your largest US institutions like Blackrock/Vanguard. Compounded with US government backing into $SIVE. Over the weekend. Beneficial for fundamentals (revenue/TAM from Pentagon supply chains) and inflow from Blackrock/Vanguard/MSCI/NASDAQ. Extremely bullish.
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@JimHalpert789 @A1GoldenRose @StockSavvyShay This person is retarded...don't try to find logic in their garbage posts.
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@A1GoldenRose @StockSavvyShay It has about a 40% profit margin and 16% annual growth. It’s forward PE is 23 when it has always been around 32 to 40. 2027 calendar year EPS is expected to be between 19 and $22 per share. So how is it overvalued junk? What am I missing?
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$MSFT two years ago:
• ~$420/share
• Azure growing ~30% with $235B commercial RPO
• AI revenue barely measurable
$MSFT today:
• ~$420/share
• Azure re-accelerated to 40% growth with $627B Commercial RPO (+99% YoY)
• $37B AI ARR (+123% YoY) with 20M+ Copilot seats (+250% YoY)
• Maia 200 custom silicon in production
Same stock price two years later but AI business behind it is unrecognizable.
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@Mehranahmadi_ @piersmorgan We are all ready for Shah and his idot followers to go back to being irrelevant....no one cares about you losers, a shitty leftover from history.
Iranian zios are such a joke...you idiots don't care about anyone but yourselves.
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@piersmorgan It’s a problem for 90 million hostages in Iran!
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Looks like President Trump has thankfully stopped listening to war hawks like you. That’s not a problem for anyone but you.
Mark R. Levin@marklevinshow
Houston, I think there may be a problem
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@Shaftan @ggreenwald @MatthewStover7 Show the proof. Show the proof Massie got millions from 'muslims'.
Or shut the f up you inbred chihuahua.
Your shitty parents should have put more effort into educating you and then maybe you wouldn't turn out this way...
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@ggreenwald @MatthewStover7 Doesn't care about the Muslim Millons for Massie.
Figures this Commie would be pro-Massie. They all are for obvious reasons.
You Commies lost. Get over it.
The Democratic Party is the Islamist Party, not the GOP.
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The campaign to oust Massie was financed by 3 Israel-centric billionaires. Their leader was former IDF soldier Miriam Adelson, who Trump suggested was most loyal to Israel.
Trying to suppress this by screaming "ANTI-SEMITE" is pathetic, and will only produce more backlash:
The Wall Street Journal@WSJ
From @WSJFreeEx via @WSJOpinion: After losing a primary election Tuesday night, Rep. Thomas Massie peddled the oldest antisemitic trope in the book: that conniving Jews hold secret power, writes @matthennessey on.wsj.com/4fygtbZ
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@BobbieMitchell @XPR1133 @vfxfisher @spencerpratt Your mom endured the same which is how you were born, sorry you come from an uneducated and broken home.
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Everyone is trying to claim me for their tribe. There’s no R next to my name, there’s no D next to my name. I’m not part of a political party, because I hate politicians. I’m just Spencer, husband to Heidi, father to Ryker and Gunner, and I’m a pissed off Angeleno who loves my city and is fed up with what corrupt politicians have done to her.
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@COCountryGirl24 @XPR1133 @spencerpratt Did you catch the video of Nethanyau claiming Americans are easy to control and convince to do their bidding, or the recent one of the Israel minister who said if the US doesn't do what Israel wants, it will go down? Or the multiple false flag ops done by Israel?
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I’m talking about you guys having a cow over Israel and completely ignoring our biggest problem…Islamists. Did you catch that Islamist dude in Jersey the other day bragging about dividing the right? They’re laughing about fooling you guys, bc yes, it’s been them and Antifa trolls putting out propaganda yall believe
Eyal Yakoby@EYakoby
BREAKING: A leader in the Muslim Brotherhood openly admits in New Jersey how they succeeded in dividing MAGA and the opportunity for victory to Islam in America. They’re not even hiding it anymore.
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@COCountryGirl24 @XPR1133 @spencerpratt Yup, snakehole sounds like an appropriate name.
Who owns all the media? Who has the strongest lobby? Who is taking the most money from the US? Who has laws protecting it in the US? Israel and Zionists.
" Oh the Muslims ", lol, no one is buying your zip propaganda anymore.
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@XPR1133 @spencerpratt This is why everyone looks at you guys like the room temp IQ retards that you are.
Oh no, Israel!!!!!
While ignoring our current invasion of Islam that is also working with Antifa.
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@davocorbulo @aleabitoreddit 'lmao', such a low bar for you to be entertained.
Something to consider: you're still a shitty trader, and Serenity is still better than you in every which way.
You just sit there and laugh away in the corner while you blow up another account.
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??? $RDDT is literally lower IQ than $IREN investors?
I didn't do all this research on $AXTI ...
Just for you all to make 380% on it, call it a $MU memory competitor and then a scam?
The lack of technical literacy is exactly why I got banned from there.
Serenity@aleabitoreddit
People are really out there saying, don’t doubt me off 10% returns. I present to you: $AXTI
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@frsinvesting @aleabitoreddit What an unhinged response lol.. 'Aren't those your people'.
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@aleabitoreddit Aren’t those your people
Maybe this is why $RDDT is still down YTD
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@Xenocapx @EliteOptions2 It was down almost 2% when I commented this
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TRADE PLAN for LOTTO Friday 🔥
$SPX made the red to green move today and held. SPX tried to break under 7400 a few times and couldnt do it either. Its like all time highs coming again soon. SPX to 7500+.
SPX May 22 7490C can work above 7460 tomorrow
$SNDK up 150+ points today. SNDK to 1600 inbound. If We see SNDK through 1600 it can run another 200+ points.
SNDK May 22 1600C can work above 1560
$MU winding up for a move ot 800 if it can get through 765 in the next 2 days.
MU May 22 790C is best above 765 as a lotto
$QQQ bounced 17 pts from the 700 level after testing it early this week. IF QQQ can get back through 717.. ATH at 722 comes quickly.
Good luck tmrw everyone!! 🫡
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@SayNoToTrading @rdd147 Did you short on the 18th? If yes, how's that going? If no, then why are you sharing your opinion if you can't capitalize on it yourself?
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@rdd147 Yet, people still want to pile into $DRAM, $MU, $SNDK?
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Koreans have now maxed out margin on KOSPI and are directly going to banks for loans. People that are 60 have never owned trading accounts and now it’s the fastest growing age group entering to buy leveraged semiconductors. Just one article of many describing the madness.
$soxx $dram
koreatimes.co.kr/amp/economy/20…
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@Simipandaface @aleabitoreddit Exactly my point. I had 70-80 as target on NASDAQ listing without significant ER improvements expected for 2027.
I think all the attention from Serenity and others has caused it to really run ahead. Folks expecting double/triple from here on NASDAQ listing.
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@TradeDaMarkets @aleabitoreddit Great question Jake because on my chart I marked 67 SEK as $2B valuation target a while ago and we are damn close. I thought we would get to 70-80 SEK on nasdaq listing not this high before it. I know markets are pricing listing and revenue growth early but not this early? :/
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$SIVE is literally the kingmaker for CPO:
From ~ Lightmatter, Celestial, Ayar, Lightelligence early on. Now the leaders with massive $5-10B+ valuations.
To the ASIC ecosystems like Marvell, Alchip, GUC.
With O-Net mass producing ELS with Sivers for CPO.
And Jabil mass producing pluggables with Sivers for pluggable optical transceivers.
All likely surround and are designed around Sivers lasers.
Markets are only starting to see the precipice of how important this laser company is.
Serenity@aleabitoreddit
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@GGMUFUT @aleabitoreddit 💯 agreed, on the same page as you on this.
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@TradeDaMarkets @aleabitoreddit Sive is based on future revenues and being a very big/important player. If you look at the price today and look at their revenue, you would run. But AI is looking to the future, LITE was the same thing. They got hyped up in valuation before the revenues and they delivered.
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@GGMUFUT @aleabitoreddit Something to consider: LITEs valuation is based on LITEs revenue right? And it's massive revenue. Does SiVE have that revenue today? Are we basing on future potential? How much of that future potential is priced in today? All things to consider.
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@TradeDaMarkets @aleabitoreddit 100% agree with everything except the valuation. The valuation is still very low if they execute perfect in the coming months, year. We are talking about LITE valuation here. Compare the value of these stocks right now, its a big gap that will close when sive execute perfect.
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