The American Centrist

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The American Centrist

The American Centrist

@USCentrist

Geopolitics and FP | WW2 history obsessionado | Future member of the deep state

Katılım Eylül 2016
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The American Centrist
The American Centrist@USCentrist·
If Republicans want to show some patriotism today, they should act more like John McCain in 2008 then Donald Trump in 2019.
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Patrick Fox
Patrick Fox@RealCynicalFox·
Bingo. Realistically Germany would need to be spending 5+% on defense for multiple years (likely a decade or more) and undergo a complete cultural overhaul with respect to the military to produce the kind of military capability that should be expected from it.
Elbridge Colby@ElbridgeColby

This is the right level of seriousness. It’s not about a number. It’s about real European military capability that has almost totally atrophied. It’s not going to be cheap for Europe to bring it back but the consequences of failing to do so are worse. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

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Thomas C. Theiner
Thomas C. Theiner@noclador·
Some examples of operational equipment reductions from 1989 to 2024: Let's start with main battle tanks: 🇩🇪 3,892 -> 248 🇫🇷 1,297 -> 200 🇮🇹 1,206 -> 200 🇬🇧 855 -> 148 🇳🇱 750 -> 16 🇸🇪 660 -> 110 🇩🇰 330 -> 44 🇧🇪 296 -> 0 1/6
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Kane 謝凱堯
Kane 謝凱堯@kane·
the us navy imposed freedom of navigation disproportionately benefits poor countries if the unholy alliance of far right isolationists and far left anti-interventionists gets what it wants, only countries w advanced navies will be able to benefit from trade
Ryan Petersen@typesfast

The French Navy just posted these photos as they escort French container ships through the Red Sea. Before the American-led order that followed World War 2 this is how trade was done, with each nation protecting its own ships. Is this the future of globalization?

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Robin Brooks
Robin Brooks@robin_j_brooks·
There is NO meaningful decoupling of global trade from China. China's trade surplus with countries like Mexico (black) and Vietnam (blue) is up massively. Those goods don't stay in Mexico or Vietnam. They're trans-shipped to the rest of the world. No decoupling, only rejiggering.
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Sly Tea Jar
Sly Tea Jar@JayGSlater·
Possibly my favorite "WW2 US industrial might" story yet. Plane a little dinged up after a mission? Bulldoze it off the side of the carrier/airbase and get a shiny new one.
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Paul Fairie
Paul Fairie@paulisci·
A Brief History of America is in Decline Like The Roman Empire 🧵
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Steven Pinker
Steven Pinker@sapinker·
Positive trend summary du jour, from @gapminder by Ola Rosling & Anna Rosling-Ronnlund.
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Derek Thompson
Derek Thompson@DKThomp·
This is a really important piece by @mattyglesias. I love the framing of "Malthusian institutions"—groups and special interests worried about protecting their own proverbial nuts and berries—creating mass scarcity out of (ironically) a fear of scarcity. slowboring.com/p/malthusian-i…
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Institute for the Study of War
Institute for the Study of War@TheStudyofWar·
NEW: The US has a much higher stake in Russia's war on Ukraine than most people think. As Americans consider the costs of continuing to help Ukraine fight the Russians in the coming years, they deserve a careful consideration of the costs of allowing Russia to win. 🧵(1/19)
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Institute for the Study of War
Institute for the Study of War@TheStudyofWar·
US intelligence assessed that the war in Ukraine has devastated the pre-war Russian military, although Russia has partially offset these losses and continues to prepare for a long war in Ukraine. 🧵(1/5)
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Institute for the Study of War@TheStudyofWar

NEW: US intelligence reportedly assessed that Russian offensive operations in eastern Ukraine in fall 2023 and through the upcoming winter aim to weaken Western support for Ukraine instead of achieving any immediate operational objectives. (1/2)

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Amazing Maps
Amazing Maps@amazingmap·
How a coastline 100 million years ago influences modern election results in Alabama
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Anton La Guardia
Anton La Guardia@AntonLaGuardia·
For defence-industrial policy wonks. ASD Doug Bush on US monthly production of 155mm shells. - Feb 2022: 14k - today: 28k - Q1 2024: 36k - Q3 2024: 60k - early 2025: 70k-80k If Congress approves 155mm supplemental of $3.1bn (part of Biden’s $106bn request) - late 2025: 100k
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Thomas van Linge
Thomas van Linge@ThomasVLinge·
Israel invades Gaza. The Myanmar junta collapses across northern Shan state. The RSF goes on a rampage across Darfur and Kordofan. Eastern Syria is ready to explode. Tuareg rebels take more ground in northern Mali, and now the GNU & LNA are moving in Libya. Crazy times.
Jalel Harchaoui جلال حرشاوي@JMJalel_H

The level of coordination and mobilization displayed by Dabaiba & Turkey yesterday as they took back Gharyan was greater than warranted by the situation. Now Dabaiba forces have gotten about 75 km close the #Shwayref, where the 128th and TbZ of the LNA are fully mobilized. If Dabaiba takes Shwayref, he will go much farther south.

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