Vural Kaptan

@JulianWaller Russia's invasion of Georgia in 2008

Here's a question: when was the last time a great power won a war?

@JulianWaller Schedler (2013), Truex (2016), Reuter (2017), Levitsky & Way (2022)?

Magaloni (2006), Brownlee (2007), Gandhi (2008), Levitsky & Way (2010), Slater (2010), Svolik (2012), Geddes, Franz, & Wright (2018), Meng (2020). What's missing?

@LiselHintz @haarunercan Unfortunately, the tandfonline link is broken.

The unseating of an(other) elected official is important in the Turkish case. It also illustrates how autocratizing governments test out repression strategies against minorities before using them against others. My take with @haarunercan tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...

@Schizointel @John_A_Ridge Taleb

@John_A_Ridge The absence of evidence is not the evidence of absence

If I had a nickel for every time Esmail Qaani somehow miraculously survives strikes that wipe out all of his compatriots I'd have like 10 nickels which isn't a lot, but it's definitely weird that it keeps happening.

@JeanLucConnery @questmoosa You’d need to eat dozens of carrots at once to have a meaningful effect on blood sugar in a healthy person. Carrots also provide fiber, which slows absorption and mitigates glucose spikes.

@questmoosa Carrots have too much sugar and you can’t break down its form of A. Skip it unless you want diabetes.

If you want to TRANSFORM your gut and instantly change how you perceive the world, do this: - Eat 1 raw carrot - Drink 300-500ml of water (not too cold) mixed with 1-2 tbspns apple-cider vinegar You now have the energy to conquer the world

@LegacySiu Easy Roberto Carlos

Guess the player Level: Hardest 99% will fail

@UBERSOY1 vuralkaptan.wordpress.com/2025/03/23/urb…

Another Whiteness map just dropped

@WellBuiltStyle European brand recommendations?

Henley season fast approaching. 🔥🔥🔥

@FranOsrecki Genau dazu, vgl.: vuralkaptan.wordpress.com/2025/07/05/con…

Im besten Falle werden die Schüler solche Ansprachen als Ansprachen verstehen und ignorieren. Und sie genauso behandeln wie die pädagogischen Sonntagsreden von Leistung und Meritokratie. Im schlimmsten Fall werden sie noch demotivierter sein, als zuvor.

Eine der größten soziologischen Dummheiten besteht darin, seine Umwelt ungefragt soziologisch aufklären zu wollen. Etwa wenn von Bourdieu ispirierte Lehrer*innen ihren Schüler*innen erzählen, dass sie aufgrund ihres Schichtungshintergrundes chancenlos seien. Realer Fall btw.

14 yıl, 19 kupa, 1 efsane. Türk futbol tarihinin en çok kupa kazanan ismi, Nestor Fernando Muslera Micol 🦁

@BreatheLesss vuralkaptan.blog/2024/09/11/inn…

I think about this often.

@WrongsToWrite @NavalismHQ GHOST

[Ghostwriting Course Giveaway] I just launched a community showing how we built a $50K/mo ghostwriting business Want free access? 1) Like this post 2) Comment GHOST And I'll DM you the link. (500 limit)

Inspiriert durch den Beitrag von @VuralKaptan5, dem ich auch die It’s Sunday-Tweets verdanke :) vuralkaptan.wordpress.com/2025/04/13/env…

@TommiBooks @NavalismHQ ME

You can earn thousands every month selling books online. I’ve recorded a step-by-step video on how to make $6,000+/month with simple books on Amazon. (No big budget, no writing required) It usually costs $1,200, but today it’s FREE. Like & comment “ME,” and I’ll send it to you. (Must follow or I can’t DM)

Für jeden Studierenden der (politischen) Philosophie, Politikwissenschaft und politischen Ideengeschichte sollte eine – begriffsanalytisch und -dialektisch angeleitete – Lektüre des Artikels ‚Freiheit‘ in den ‚Geschichtlichen Grundbegriffen‘ verpflichtend sein. /1

This guy would have 3 million followers today

God mode

Mario Dragi, in @TheEconomist , right on 🎯:

It also reveals the level of Iranian intel vulnerability to COMINT & SIGINT. The severity of intelligence failure is worse, knowing that protecting Haniya was the IRGC's responsibility, indicating serious infiltrations inside the IRGC. /5

Fascinating how the American perception of "Europeans" is the same as the European perception of "Italians" is the same as the Italian perception of "Southern Italians" and so on, like in a fractal or something