TANSTAAFL

351 posts

TANSTAAFL

TANSTAAFL

@__tanstaafl

Earth Katılım Şubat 2024
450 Takip Edilen62 Takipçiler
TANSTAAFL
TANSTAAFL@__tanstaafl·
@ausstockchick There will be one major change. Peehaps another minor change. All the rest circulating about will not come to fruition. We will feel relieved. This is a deliberate strategy called the Door-In-The-Face technique and it works well.
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that stock chick
that stock chick@ausstockchick·
Thoughts on what Albo will do with negative gearing? Stop it all together? Grandfather it and stop it from a certain date? Can you imagine what will happen to the housing market if Albo goes after it completely?
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TANSTAAFL
TANSTAAFL@__tanstaafl·
@Ausbobsmit If the majority of your income is from the government, including wages, you should be disqualified from voting local, state or federal. Not because you dont deserve to vote, but to disincentivise the gov of the day from such reckless growth in welfare and the state apparatus.
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that stock chick
that stock chick@ausstockchick·
This government is hell bent on taking wealth and re-distributing it to grifters. So assets will be taxed so organisations supposedly helping homeless people can have $1000 each employee because fuel is expensive? Socialism is destroying us. #auspol
that stock chick tweet media
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yhousegone
yhousegone@yhousegone·
@rationalaussie >government sends men to your house with guns >give us your bitcoin >yes, sir
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Rational Aussie
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie·
Everyone is acting like investing in stonks or property to 'get ahead' matters at all when the State can, and will, simply seize all profits from you when the inevitable sovereign debt crisis hits. There is only one asset they cannot seize. If you don't own it your entire bloodline will fester in the permanent underclass for all of eternity. The End Game is near.
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Rational Aussie
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie·
The seeds of the next revolution were sewn when the boomers decided everyone else should socialise their entire lives yet get nothing in return. I really do not think people are prepared for what a future where 'no one cares' anymore looks like. It's not just the poor people that won't care either - it's the smartest, most highly educated people - who correctly conclude there is no winning path in the current system and so would rather tear it to the ground. If people have nothing left to lose, the results really are quite predictable. You really can't claim to be a civilisation that cares for the future when you have a gerontocracy running the place and every single social metric year after year gets worse, but stonks only go up and tech bros only get richer - their reward for automating everyone out of existence? Like has the penny dropped for people yet where this inevitably leads? It's insane how stupid this all is. Everyone is corrupted by a system that is itself deeply corrupted.
infinitebid.exe@nequalonetrader

The thing is we will just keep having more crashouts like this when people who did the “right things” are underemployed/unemployed.

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Invisible Gorilla
Invisible Gorilla@InvisibleGoril1·
@GodPlaysCards "When voting costs you nothing, it means nothing." but there are consequences to result of the election. those consequences can have costs (opportunity costs if nothing else). that's you 'skin in the came'. iirc H's notion is that voting is violence and that only some /1
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Cards of History
Cards of History@GodPlaysCards·
There were Pancakes at our local polls. Parties trying to bribe young voters into showing up. I wish I were joking. When voting costs you nothing, it means nothing. Heinlein knew it. The price of citizenship is skin in the game. Would you like to know more?
Cards of History@GodPlaysCards

My father took us to see Starship Troopers when I was 10. Back then, Dutch cinemas left it to parents to decide whether their kids were ready, my father decided we were. Verhoeven intended it as satire. I didn't get that memo and it changed the course of my life. Here's how. For the uninitiated: the film is based on Robert Heinlein's 1959 novel. It's set in a future where humanity is locked in a savage interstellar war against a race of giant alien bugs, and where the only path to citizenship is military service. I've only finished reading it recently and it is one of the first time in my life that I say, the movie is actually better than the book. It could be because I saw the movie first, and the child's mind is highly influential, especially at age 10 when you slowly become a teenager. The heroes were beautiful and brave, (Denise Richards was my first crush). The villains were literal monsters. The society rewarded sacrifice and punished weakness. Everyone knew their role, everyone pulled their weight, and citizenship was something you earned. You served, you sacrificed, you belonged. It was that simple. As the meme goes, it activated an ancient blood memory. It looked like exactly the kind of world history had always promised but never delivered. A meritocracy with teeth and honor made into law. Years later, in high school, someone made a presentation on its dangerous ideologies and why Verhoeven decided to make a satire linking it to the tyrannical regimes of the 20th century. She got a A+ for the talk. I understood the rational behind it, but instinctively it didn't make sense for me. Luckily I can give voice to that instinct now. The movie significantly changed my trajectory in life. I wanted to become part of something bigger, get the girl, be all I can be. Did I fall for its propaganda? Yes, hook line and sinker, and in hindsight, that was a great thing to happened to me. Sure we can break down why some (but not all) of the political ideologies the books are flawed (yawn), but that is not the point. The point is that the underlying archetypes and societal models can be tremendously inspiring. Because at 10 years old, I didn't need a political science lecture. I needed a picture of what a man could be. Someone who showed up to the call of duty, who didn't quit, who earned his place instead of inheriting it. The noble visions of sacrifice and comradery were literally awe inspiring. So yes, the propaganda worked on me, but what it produced wasn't blind obedience. It produced ambition. A hunger to be worth something. Johnny Rico was the perfect role model. The movie was a perfect key in to the lock of a 10 year old mind. Not every child gets handed that image. I got mine from a fellow Dutchman (Verhoeven) making fun of fascism. I can still feel that evening. The cold air outside the cinema, the three of us spilling onto the pavement, me, my younger brother, my older one, heads still full of bugs and battle and beautiful soldiers dying for each other. Something had shifted. I didn't have the words for it then. I just knew I wanted more of whatever that was. My father gave us that. I don't think he knew what he was handing us.

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the government man
the government man@me_irl·
please read it. its not that long agovtman.substack.com/p/the-bracket The system will always reconstitute the bracket No individual moment of clarity is durable enough to forestall the system from reconstituting the bracket
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the government man
the government man@me_irl·
I wrote a short story about institutional memory, that which grows in the places where it used to be, and a part on your car that has been there since 1957 and does nothing.
the government man tweet media
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Joshua Haughton
Joshua Haughton@joshhaughto·
@SaladBarFan No one would need to store their money in a house if the money wasn’t losing its purchasing power. Smart money is converted to scarce assets like houses, not to use for its intended purpose, but to play the role of money as a store of value. Fix the money, fix housing.
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RE-OPEN THE SIZZLERS
RE-OPEN THE SIZZLERS@SaladBarFan·
Australia's housing market is absolutely insane
RE-OPEN THE SIZZLERS tweet media
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Rational Aussie
Rational Aussie@rationalaussie·
Bitcoin to $1m by 2028.
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TriegaardtAU79
TriegaardtAU79@Triegaardtau79·
Prices rising is not inflation I have $20 last week I spent $10 on petrol and $10 on chocolate bars This week I have $20 fuel is $15 and so I only spend $5 on chocolate bars The price of thing going up causes the price and demand of something else to fall, if the money supply is equal…. So overall prices won’t change
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rəˈvīv
rəˈvīv@SpecificRisk·
The hit to inflation is going to be a lot bigger than Aussies can fathom, I've had 5 supplier letters this week advising that they are adding a fuel surcharge to every invoice of 10-15%, we have no option than to pass this on to secure our margins...CPI is going to get fugly 🇦🇺
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Patrick
Patrick@patrickssons·
@ShanuMathew93 Are you testing via API or the consumer product? I've noticed the API stays consistent while the web app quality swings wildly depending on traffic. Two completely different experiences.
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Shanu Mathew
Shanu Mathew@ShanuMathew93·
Opus is so unbelievably nerfed today, it's like talking to a model from 2-3 years ago. What is going on
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TANSTAAFL
TANSTAAFL@__tanstaafl·
@baoshaoshan Is this not possibly strategic deception? Why announce this otherwise?
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arenwald
arenwald@4renwald·
@trq212 I clicked the "claim your credit" link multiple times from my phone and my balance was never refreshing. At some point it did and I know have $180 more credits (im on a Pro subscription). Not sure if it's a UI glitch because it's now showing that same ammount on all my devices?
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TANSTAAFL
TANSTAAFL@__tanstaafl·
@MrChidds @baoshaoshan PBS is a single-buyer, so it maximises leverage with big pharma. Trump is trying to make it unaffordable for Aus to continue with PBS, essentially he’s trying to improve negotiating conditions for his own side.
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Chiddley Chidds.
Chiddley Chidds.@MrChidds·
@baoshaoshan Pretty un-chill behaviour from the Cheeto-Bonito. I don't really see why US import tax's should destroy any part of our healthcare system. Presumably we would receive less USD from exports & be less able to buy stuff sold in USD. Which is still bad but what am I missing?
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Warwick Powell | 鲍韶山
Warwick Powell | 鲍韶山@baoshaoshan·
For all of Australia’s obsequious vassalage in support of Washington’s illegal war over the past month, Trump slaps tariffs on Australian pharmaceuticals in a bid to destroy the centrepiece of Australia’s public health system.
Warwick Powell | 鲍韶山 tweet media
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TANSTAAFL
TANSTAAFL@__tanstaafl·
@Larryjamieson_ @jamesbozwell I’m with you on this, I don’t think resi propadee should be available to buy by non-residents, but maybe Gov allows it to increase foreign demand for an otherwise worthless Aussie Peso?
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Buyback Capital
Buyback Capital@Larryjamieson_·
@__tanstaafl @jamesbozwell 1). Why are Australian citizens competing with random foreigners for housing in a country in which they live and pay taxes, and the foreigner does not, 2). Why are we allowing property to be a money laundering venue?
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Buyback Capital
Buyback Capital@Larryjamieson_·
So much of the bad hoom discourse is just people stressing one causal factor. Hooms in Australia are special because they have EVERY causal factor acting in concert: > APRA lending standards > widespread mortgage fraud > daisy chaining equity from other hooms > non economic bid from Asian expats (no KYC) > structurally increasing replacement cost inflation (labour absorbed by infrastructure projects) > structurally increasing taxes as a percentage of new build cost (more than 50%) > unfettered immigration (except if you’re a skilled labourer) > FHB grants and 2% down government guaranteed mortgages > owner occupied tax exemptions > hooms are sold at AUCTION (hot house bidding environment) > nimby planning authorities (less of a problem now) > govt demand side stimmy to any perceived down turn > govt willing to erode purchasing power of the currency measured in usd by teens percentage per year to defend hoom prices > psycho social imperative to own hoom (no action from your partner without hoom) > I could go on
Buyback Capital@Larryjamieson_

My new favourite midwit twitter take is that Australian propadee is going to "collapse" You guys have no clue

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Buyback Capital
Buyback Capital@Larryjamieson_·
@jamesbozwell Malaysian billionaires son shows up to a property auction on a normal suburban hoom, pays cash, and no one is required to verify the source of funds
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TANSTAAFL
TANSTAAFL@__tanstaafl·
@unclebobmartin I commend the animated series Pantheon to you. Season 2 specifically. Dyson Spheres, Matryoshka Shells… it has it all
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Uncle Bob Martin
Uncle Bob Martin@unclebobmartin·
Who knew that the primary commercial use of space would be computation? Of all the science fiction I have read, I never encountered that particular theme. Now we have multiple serious companies planning to launch tens of thousands of satellites into sun-synchronous orbital shells as computational data centers. And, of course, Musk wants to build a mass driver on the moon launching millions of satellites to gather power and do computation.
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TANSTAAFL
TANSTAAFL@__tanstaafl·
@simonw We’re going to get AGI at 20W eventually…
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Simon Willison
Simon Willison@simonw·
Turns out you can run enormous Mixture-of-Experts on Mac hardware without fitting the whole model in RAM by streaming a subset of expert weights from SSD for each generated token - and people keep finding ways to run bigger models Kimi 2.5 is 1T, but only 32B active so fits 96GB
seikixtc@seikixtc

I got a 1T-parameter model running locally on my MacBook Pro. LLM: Kimi K2.5 1,026,408,232,448 params (~1.026T) Hardware: M2 Max MacBook Pro (2023) w/ 96GB unified memory Running on MLX with a flash-style SSD streaming path + local patching. This is an experimental setup and I haven’t optimized speed yet, but it’s stable enough that I’ve started testing it in an autoresearch-style loop. #LocalAI #MLX #MoE

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Axel🦇
Axel🦇@AxelTalksFilm·
everyone is watching project hail mary right now holy shit 😭 it's gonna shatter my prediction
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Michel
Michel@micmat02·
@karpathy Ok for a 6 and 8 year old to watch with daddy? Official ratings say no but kids want to join me…
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Andrej Karpathy
Andrej Karpathy@karpathy·
Had to go see Project Hail Mary right away (it's based on the book of Andy Weir, of also The Martian fame). Both very pleased and relieved to say that 1) the movie sticks very close to the book in both content and tone and 2) is really well executed. The book is one of my favorites when it comes to alien portrayals because a lot of thought was clearly given to the scientific details of an alternate biochemistry, evolutionary history, sensorium, psychology, language, tech tree, etc. It's different enough that it is highly creative and plausible, but also similar enough that you get a compelling story and one of the best bromances in fiction. Not to mention the other (single-cellular) aliens. I can count fictional portrayals of aliens of this depth on one hand. A lot of these aspects are briefly featured - if you read the book you'll spot them but if you haven't, the movie can't spend the time to do them justice. I'll say that the movie inches a little too much into the superhero movie tropes with the pacing, the quips, the Bathos and such for my taste, and we get a little bit less the grand of Interstellar and a little bit less of the science of The Martian, but I think it's ok considering the tone of the original content. And it does really well where it counts - on Rocky and the bromance. Thank you to the film crew for the gem!
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