Bitcoin Cowboy

Crypto participants try to make it too fast. They overestimate what they could REASONABLY and PROBABLY do in a year, and underestimate what they could do in 5 (or even 10) years. Move slowly as you try to grow your capital. Fast sounds good until you realize how low percentage it is and how likely it is that you actually just blow up. There are SO MANY OPPORTUNITIES IN THE FUTURE but you're trading and forcing yourself to catch every move as if your livelihood depends on your trades within the next week. As someone whose been here for what feels like an eternity (7 years), I'll tell you that every time I felt FOMO, I really never missed anything in the grand scheme of things. Still made a lot of money, and still lots of money left to be made. - @LomahCrypto - THE GOAT #bitcoin

@CryptoMikli Sounds gay AF

Steven Bartlett says a few glasses of wine ruined the next 3 days of his life “It's one of those areas where you don't understand the hidden cost until you really give it up for a while. I stopped drinking at 30 years old. I'm now 33. When I was 31, I thought, I'll have a drink again because now I could really A/B test it. I had a year of not drinking, decided to have a drink again” “It ruined three days of my life. I had a couple of glasses of wine, didn't get drunk. It ruined three days of my life because of the domino effect it caused” “I got worse sleep that night, and then because I got worse sleep that night, I ate more poorly the next day because my dopamine system or whatever, the cortisol system was all messed up. I podcasted worse. I didn't go to the gym that day or the day after because I felt really bad. I then slept worse, and I could track all of this on my Whoop”

Or we just learn the definition of AGI before writing a novel about it on X. AGI is General Intelligence. Artificial General Intelligence means being a machine that has thoughts, reason, logic and is able to apply that across any intellectual domain. Currently, AI is no closer to AGI then it was 20 years ago. This is because AI is a parasite. It needs a host to survive and it has no ability think on its own. Everything it knows, says, and does has been prompted in one capacity or another. The progress has been remarkable, but let’s not confuse AGI with really good LLMs.

The “it’s not AGI because machine intelligence is jagged” is dumb cope. It’s obviously AGI. If you had a friend who had a 130 IQ, could write production code flawlessly, could write academic papers of a high research caliber, pass any exam in any field with flying colors, create a sophisticate LBO model, draw technical diagrams perfectly, compose poetry in any language, and could find solutions to significant unsolved mathematical problems, you would call that person a world historical genius. Certainly, no single human has ever had intelligence that “general” before. Now you think it’s “not AGI” because it sometimes slips up and makes mistakes - so does any human that you would consider “extraordinarily intelligent.” The professor might forget a colleagues name that he has known for a decade. He is still considered intelligent. The math genius might be a little autistic and shy, unable to maintain polite conversation. Still intelligent. You might stare at the fridge for 30 seconds unable to find the butter, despite 5 million years of evolution perfecting your visual intelligence. We give intelligent humans a pass when they have jagged intelligence. So why the double standard? The qualities people list as “necessary for AGI” are important traits to have, but no longer pertain to intelligence. People will say things like “true AGI requires agency, long term goal setting, embodiment, self-direct action”. But none of those things are intelligence. Those are “things that humans have that AI lacks”. Raw intelligence, AI has it in spades. That other stuff - important yet, but broader than and different from intelligence. The unwillingness of people to acknowledge that AGI obviously exists and has existed for a while is due to a kind of anthropic chauvinism - a psychological need to believe that humans are superior in every respect, that we possess soft skills that no machine could replicate. Yes humans are different from machines, but if we are limiting the discussion solely to general intelligence, AI has it already. That battle is over. If you want to reframe the discussion to matters of human dignity and personhood, fine, but that’s not an AGI question. That’s something else. Just take the loss on AGI already. It’s over.

@Innerdevcrypto Ehh . You’re taking the same stance just with less conviction.

Bizarre to see so many people claim that their god, their belief, their religion, their saint, is the only one Meanwhile for thousands of years there have been thousands of sages/wise-men/enlightened teachers/recluses over many spiritual/inner traditions out of which the vast majority is not even known since they simply went to nature/cave/monastery and did their practice quietly Have studies many inner traditions for 20+ years, met many masters from different faiths/traditions, and can say with certainty that their are many paths that can lead to the same ultimate realisation You want to be a radical and believe that only your god, or your sage, or your faith, or your savior is the right one and that nothing else is valid, ok, but the simple fact is that is a very narrow view born out of fear and ignorance

@edgaralandough Seek God. Know Him.

I’m 32 now please give me advice if you’re older than me. I don’t care where you are from. Life advice, just one.

@EggrolI wut

this is so sick

@IcyVert Baseball is a funny game.

I continue to ask. How has firing the manager made everyone better at hitting baseballs I don’t quite understand it

@MirraLawren @MurrayHillGuy1 Correct

@MurrayHillGuy1 Friend, gen z is 31 this year. Most millennials are past the "panic baby with wife you hate at 35 phase". You're now speaking to elder gen z who still genuinely believe their college aged and ARE aimlessly floating around as if they're 21

If you're a millennial it's time to pick your midlife crisis: 1. Quitting alcohol 2. Running 10 miles before work 3. Divorce 4. Panic baby at 35 with wife you hate 5. Pickleball 6. ADHD diagnosis 7. Dressing like you did in 2004 8. Blacking out every weekend like you’re 21 9. Weekly hinge dates 10. Ice baths and saunas 11. Board games and craft beer in the suburbs 12. Getting into tattoos 13. Quitting your job to explore your “passions” 14. Plants and the environment 15. Traveling

@MurrayHillGuy1 10, 11, 14 - and 4, but no panic and love my wife. We did the panic baby at 24, this one is the we are mature and responsible baby.

@LargeFamDad great list to reverse engineer and frame in the positive for our daughters as well

I've been talking to my 15 yo son about discerning "bad fruit" in teenage girls. So far we've talked about: - gossiping - foul mouth - overly flirty - self-centered - bad music choices - prideful / boasting - immodest clothing - posing seductively - can't take correction - looking down on others - history of many boyfriends - dissing marriage/having kids What else are we missing?

@LargeFamDad great list. i would add. liberal or woke ideologies thinks God and Church are overrated not having good or consistent friends not involved in school or after school activities

@PeterMcCormack what did you build?

I now understand why AI will eat the software industry. I used to have a web agency. With Claude over the last 3 days I have built and deployed a system that would have: - Taken 6 months - Cost £150-200k - Required 8 different skill sets I can't design. I can't code. I don't understand SQL, APIs, Cloud Storage - yet Claude has walked me through Github, Supabase, Vercel and it is deployed and working. A 100% custom software system - 3 days, 1 idiot. BLOWN AWAY!

@PeterMcCormack truth

@redhairshanks86 Facts. Guy is a clown

the archetype of paul is my least favorite type of person. i didn’t even need to do due diligence on him, one look at his face and website is enough to know that we wouldn’t get along: - refers to himself in 3rd person on his own website named after himself - regularly deletes all his tweets in fear of judgement. he only has 1k posts despite tweeting and responding daily for years, i had an interaction with him once and he deleted his tweet - he is the literal definition of a turbo normie - worked as a consultant at mckinsey - names his shrimp company after himself - calls himself founder on both his linkedin and twitter after creating a simple company to invoice people for his consulting services - abides like a good doggy by the boomer ideal of professionalism, the way he dresses reveals that - writes emails and tweets using chatgpt - published a books on how to write emails, sells if for 99c and sold 11 copies since launch it annoyed me that he criticised this girl for a harmless selfie. only a person with no personality would think it’s bad to post about your personal life he is the definition of a linkedin turbo normie

@irishpatriot91 No keep him in there. He is doing great work.

He deserves a pardon.

For everything we’ve seen about agents so far, it’s clear that they will make it far easier for people to get into previously extremely complicated fields. That will most certainly mean far more people will build software, explore creative work, research spaces they couldn’t do before, and so on. Yet, equally, we’ve seen that people with experience in every one of those fields have a huge edge with the right judgment and historical context to leverage these tools in ways that exceed the output of the novices (if they choose to). They know when the agents are making catastrophic mistakes, can give the agents the right context to do the job better than they otherwise would have, and so on. The combination of these two facts essentially means that we will continue to get the same lift as we’ve seen in any other technological revolution. More democratization, but similarly greater output from the experts. This then makes the experts continue to be in higher demand because over time our expectation for what we can get out of any field will just go up. This is going to be true in essentially every important field. You’ll trust a lawyer using an agent for legal advice over someone who’s never had to experience how well a contract holds up. You’ll trust an engineer developing and running software over someone who’s never seen a production system. You’ll rely on the important instincts of a designer using agents over the average prompter. The quality and volume of output we expect from these functions will certainly go up meaningfully, but the person with experience will always have a leg up, which is why the jobs don’t go away.

@toddsaunders 💯

A friend gave me a good analogy for this last week. Every prior tech revolution ran this exact pattern. The printing press didn't kill scribes by turning everyone into one... it produced authors, publishers and an entire civilization that read. Power tools didn't end carpentry... they ended bad carpentry. Spreadsheets didn't replace accountants... they turned accountants into CFOs. Agents are the same pattern. The floor rises and the ceiling rises faster. Demand for judgment, taste, and context goes parabolic, because the cost of producing the thing collapses while the cost of producing the right thing stays human.

@toothsleuth33 @HHorsley Facts

@HHorsley It's the hardest and best thing you will ever experience.

Was chatting with a friend who’s expecting his first kid. He asked, what’s it like? I gave it a shot. But felt didn’t do it justice. How do you answer that question in 1-2 sentences?

@the1banks @HHorsley Control the music and the vibes? How you plan on doing that? This is the kind of dumb shit drugs will make you say with no idea of what you are actually talking about.

Best comparison I saw was that your kid is on a psychedelic trip and your job is to be a good guide: control the setting as much as you can in order to raise the probability your kid has a good trip.  Your job as a parent is to control the music (noise) and the lights and the people vibes so that your kid has a good experience on their first journey and emerges with a background sense of trust that the universe is a friendly place. @GrahamDuncanNYC made this analogy in a guide to new fathers he once shared with me. It was the without a doubt the most insightful resource I read on parenthood.

What’s it like is the wrong question. You want to ask, “how does this change me forever.” And the answer is, in every way imaginable. You no longer put yourself first. Things that seemed important no longer even make the top 10. Time, and how you spend it, is never the same. Your love which may have seemed finite, becomes infinite. There is nothing like it and nothing I am saying actually matters until you experience it.

@benjamincowen Absolutely. God Bless my brother.

My wife gave birth to our 5th child. Truly, this is wealth