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@cearsun

Katılım Eylül 2022
440 Takip Edilen26 Takipçiler
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1@cearsun·
@VocabuLarry @ColeSandick i have a very different view i am wondering where this came from for you honestly
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The JNCO Jughead
The JNCO Jughead@VocabuLarry·
@ColeSandick the fundamental problem with AOC is that she’s kind of a coward? I don’t think she wants the smoke
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Cole Sandick🌹🇵🇸🇺🇦🇸🇩
This is a huge element. AOC could use her clout to quickly consolidate a historically large bloc of progressive voters while a glut of mainstream candidates fight over a historically small bloc of moderate voters. A timely attentional boost could make her the early frontrunner.
ettingermentum@ettingermentum

A counterpoint to this is that Bernie in 2016 had the benefit of being one of only two real candidates in the field while an AOC alternative in 2028 will have to compete for name rec against a historically large field of candidates, many of which will be co-opting left messaging.

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1@cearsun·
@pnwsnorlax_ @bdquinn he has done it so many times i think its possible at least one instance has broke through to them
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Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦
This is me riding my hobby horse a little, but I think part of his numbers being worse than term 1 is also his constant self-glorification (Trump accounts, Trump class ships, putting himself on a coin, etc) while people are unsettled about the economy and foreign policy.
Pradheep J. Shanker, M.D.@neoavatara

You can try to spin polls all you like...but the reality is between tariffs and the war, Trump has really driven his numbers into the ground.

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1@cearsun·
@rankingtrump @RadioFreeTom yea by this logic i don't think that trump voters would be willing to tell voting machines how they feel. for a lot of the country their political views start with trump being right and they fill everything in after
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rankingtrump.org
rankingtrump.org@rankingtrump·
@RadioFreeTom I don't know, his support could just be a true 40%. It was totally known in 2021 that he was terrible, yet he won the Republican nomination again. I'd go with "the base just doesn't care as long as he's fighting the libs".
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1@cearsun·
@Kuolema1337 @PurpyNFL its the prestige, history, pageantry, big money backing, and because of that big money it attracts the best drivers in the world. the drama is accessible because of netflix. also i think the tracks are really cool personally. i don't really watch though anyway
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Kuolema
Kuolema@Kuolema1337·
@PurpyNFL Why did a formula series become the default motorsports for many when most people's favorite cars look nothing like oversized single-seaters on rails. Do they think F1s are the fastest? On the most boring flat track if the race isn't too long, maybe, that's it.
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Gary Treeman
Gary Treeman@PurpyNFL·
Enlightenment is realizing F1 has kind of always been a mediocre entertainment product and is basically just a battle between engineers, akin to 3M Dads fighting to have the best pinewood derby car.
Nathaniel@BenBarnigoat

How many overtakes happened at the 2006 San Marino GP, take a guess, any guess... It was 2. 2 on track overtakes. And neither of them were shown on the broadcast. It wasn't about managing batteries, but it was genuinely bottom of the barrel on track racing product.

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1@cearsun·
@ConspiracyBull1 well with polling maga is a self identified group. the people upset about iran probably wouldn't check the maga republican box anymore. i would be interested to see if the portion of maga/republicans has gotten smaller after iran
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Conspiracy Bullshit
Conspiracy Bullshit@ConspiracyBull1·
I keep asking where is that MAGA divide over Iran I keep hearing about? Cause it seems to me it doesn't actually exist outside Twitter with the likes of Tucker Carlson and Candace Owens.
InteractivePolls@IAPolls2022

2026 CPAC STRAW POLL Pres. Trump 🟢 Approve: 96% 🟤 Disapprove: 4% —— Trump removing Khamenei & Iran regime to stop nukes/missiles: 🟢 Approve 89% 🟤 Disapprove 8% —— Israel as key US strategic ally: 🟢 Agree 85% 🟤 Disagree 11% —— McLaughlin | 3/28/2026

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1@cearsun·
@churrascooooo you can buy some really cool stuff for 100k bro. like a nice car or something
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CHURRASCO SAUDADE
CHURRASCO SAUDADE@churrascooooo·
Americans are "rich" and miserable because we have a non-participatory economy. You could have 100k cash, but theres nothing to spend it on that would materially benefit you, your only options are passive investments or gambling. You need massive cashflow to actually participate.
John Arnold@johnarnold

Very good op-ed: "How Can America Be So Miserable When It’s So Rich?" @DavidAFrench gives 2 reasons: (1) scarce goods like land in desirable neighborhoods and NFL game tickets and (2) positional goods - there is always someone who sits in the front of the plane and someone who gets on last. As wealth rises, demand for scarce and positional goods increases, and businesses focus more heavily on serving that demand. Seating on Southwest Airlines was originally based on when you arrived. Then they created one premium tier. Now every seat has a distinct price. This evolution went from no positioning to near perfect positioning. Most people can afford many everyday comforts, like a large TV or meal delivery, so competition for scarce and status-linked goods intensifies. That dynamic can leave people outside the top wealth tier feeling worse off, even as their material standard of living improves. "No one is the clear villain in this story, and that’s one thing that makes the problem difficult to solve. We can’t target and defeat a specific set of bad actors who are immiserating America. Everyone is acting in rational self-interest." The growing discontent, almost impossible to reverse, drives the move towards populism as voters demand solutions to problems that can't be solved.

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isk@basedfrm·
@SeekTruthNotEgo @felpix_ Good to hear, but you don’t think staring with 30mg is too strong? The ones I got were also XR. Only bought 3 capsules cause I got ripped off at 15 dollars a piece. But I honestly might have adhd lol, just havnt got diagnosed because stigma with parents
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1@cearsun·
@agraybee side note i think clavicular made him get on ozempic
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1@cearsun·
@ettingermentum right now it feels pretty logical to me. trump won't be persuaded by protests on this stuff at all. he will probably dig in more, so just protesting him until you get someone actually sensitive to protesting makes sense
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ettingermentum
ettingermentum@ettingermentum·
I think the obvious explanation for why we haven’t seen any dedicated anti-war protests is that anti-war politics, like most other left-wing causes, have been subsumed into the larger anti-Trump movement. To oppose him is to oppose the wars and vice versa, for better or worse.
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1@cearsun·
@dpinsen @LudditeHacker @Paul_Heron_ their recruiting looks very different than how a western nation would do it. the people in moscow aren't going it is the ultra poor who are being persuaded by the offer of $
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Paul Heron
Paul Heron@Paul_Heron_·
These numbers are very hard to wrap one’s head around. Where are the videos of the massive battles? Typically we only get drone footage of some poor lone sod being chased across a field. Weird air of unreality about it all.
Tymofiy Mylovanov@Mylovanov

Stubb: We are in a situation where the Ukrainians are killing over 30,000 Russians per month. Russians are not able to recruit back. We're getting closer to the moment when there might have to be a general call from the Russian part. 1/

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1@cearsun·
@JenResistedAGN i think its a catch all term for more than like actual physical demons for most people. like christians, the vaguely spiritual, even atheists describing like addiction or something all may use the same word
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one dozen rats at a keyboard
one dozen rats at a keyboard@PanasonicDX4500·
Again, familiarizing people with the concept of "If you ever need to rapidly mobilize a protest, here's the local spot to meet up; if you see a friend or a neighbor today, that's someone you'd reach out to" outweighs whatever other criticism you can have with the No Kings stuff.
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🧑🏻‍🦽erin🦕
🧑🏻‍🦽erin🦕@Berniewatson·
@cearsun @PanasonicDX4500 There is serious work to be done here. DHS is trying to build a concentration camp a mile from my house. In my work to stop that I am constantly surveilled, harassed, and endangered by those “good cops.” Collaborating with cops while being vaguely anti trump does nothing good.
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1@cearsun·
@Andrew611140 @Tender_Morsel this guy is even passed that he seemed to believe a polite attempt at conversation was some kind of spiritual warfare. being too cool for school imo is more about being indifferent and low agency until you are eventually an adult and you suddenly realize you are actually lame
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Andrew
Andrew@Andrew611140·
@Tender_Morsel These people have always existed and have ALWAYS been losers. The “I’m cooler than you” Schtick stops being cool somewhere around 15-17. It’s not only annoying but it also greatly inhibits where you can go in life.
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1@cearsun·
@Tender_Morsel im really surprised how for so many people this guy doesn't immediately come off as at least somewhat off mentally. by the end of the video it is abundantly clear
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1@cearsun·
@Berniewatson @PanasonicDX4500 yea bro they aren't the same type of communist you are they are old liberals. probably 95% of the country at least believes we should celebrate good cops. you are in a complete bubble if you think police abolishment is a popular policy that you would see at a mass protest
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🧑🏻‍🦽erin🦕@Berniewatson·
@PanasonicDX4500 The group closest to me thinks it’s very important to celebrate the “good cops” and their most commonly repeated complaint about ICE is that they wear masks. I would not ever trust them.
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1@cearsun·
@PanasonicDX4500 i also don't understand where people are getting the expectation that this protest of largely older liberals needs to be some communist revolutionary rally. a lot of the criticism is coming from people who don't leave their twitter bubble
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1@cearsun·
@snarktool666 @kenklippenstein @StopLyinOk i mean i guess? madison nice place to be any race and get a nice paycheck it just happens to have mostly white people. and milwaukee is 38% black
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ponyboy of Dune
ponyboy of Dune@snarktool666·
@kenklippenstein @StopLyinOk Check out Janesville, Beloit, or Milwaukee, Racine, Kenosha. Madison is awfully white and they pretend to be diverse, like with the infamous UW photoshop scandal. Madison is a nice place to get a nice fat paycheck and be white.
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1@cearsun·
@hecubian_devil this dude gives me the vibe of someone in like a manic state or something. your core point is correct though this guy just seems extreme
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Cassie Pritchard
Cassie Pritchard@hecubian_devil·
Tbh stuff like this is why I believe—absent an aggressive regulatory regime—LLMs will triumph We’ve been on a steady trajectory for decades of seeing all social interaction as zero-sum, laborious demands on your time/energy/mental health. More people subscribe to more extreme versions of this idea every day. No, not *you*, of course. You’re still normal, if you insist. But the trendline is obvious and has been obvious for a long time, and so the prospect of finally replacing human social interaction entirely with a simulation that gives you exactly what you want whenever you want it, and which demands nothing in return—indeed, which lacks subjectivity and ceases to exist when you aren’t looking at it—will be too compelling for most to resist. It’s the perfect culmination of where we’ve been heading for decades. There’s no reason to believe we’ll stop before we get there, unless there’s a collective democratic effort to prevent total social annihilation.
Ribz of Tik Tok@ribzoftiktok

Gen z vs a normal interaction

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1@cearsun·
@ed_dems the movement as a whole seems pretty deflated. they don't have much to be excited about
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ed@ed_dems·
One thing i’m optimistic about for the midterms: Trump has a coalition of voters that don’t even bother voting downballot when he himself is on the ballot It highly unlikely they come out to vote for a republican that they’ve never heard of before
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