
Emma Waldon
48 posts








LUMPY IS BUMPY The government is looking to race its new tax changes through parliament. I think that's a mistake. Two reasons stand out: (1) As I noted on budget night, capital gains are typically earned over a number of years, yet they're taxed in a lump as if they've all been earned at once. So a one-off capital gain can be taxed at a rather higher rate than if its profits were correctly spread out over the time they were earned. The old Keating system handled that lumpiness by letting the gain be averaged over five years - a reasonable compromise. (2) The second problem is that it appears the intent is to tax winners (real gains) but not allow offsets for losers (real losses). I say 'appears' because we don't know full details yet, and because - if that is true - then the Treasury revenue forecasts look too low. But there have been plenty of opportunities to clarify this, and as yet I haven't seen the government say that isn't so. If that is indeed the intent then it unreasonably weighs against risk-taking. I see these two (lumpiness across time and lumpiness across investments) as bigger issues than the start up stuff. If we want to help start ups then the best moment to do that is early (when they are taking the biggest risks and they are the most cash poor) rather than late (through a CGT discount for the winning survivors). Yes, I remain a fan of fixing our CGT discount. And I'm wary of whinging too much - these two problems may yet be resolved, and a bunch of the critics of the government's proposals should try switching to decaf. But it'd be good to better understand what is and isn't being proposed before parliament has to vote on it.








Anthony Albanese is leaning towards offering only “narrow” concessions to his new capital gains tax regime for start-ups in the tech sector, as business groups and some Labor MPs push for broader compromises to protect entrepreneurs across the economy from being hit with punitive tax bills. Greg Brown and Brad Thompson have more: bit.ly/4utHkdU


The Albanese government has been trolled by a business founder who bought 18 inescapable billboards at Canberra Airport protesting Labor’s capital gains tax grab. skynews.com.au/australia-news…










The proposed CGT changes could unfortuantely kill direct share ownership in Australia. news.com.au/finance/money/…












