Ari Wax

@obermattj @BradoCapital We built this in a past life @itskenbook

Prediction markets for company KPIs is a game changer. This is the markets that pulls every Institutinal investor in. Think about markets where you can predict for $UBER the number of rides last quarter. Or the number of DoorDash deliveries. Or even the number of vehicles that $TSLA will deliver. Hedge funds, especially the pod shops are spending a ton of time and effort forecasting quarterly earnings. But the teams, especially data science teams, have always been good at using unique data to predict the KPIs. You can’t control if the stock goes up or down on earnings announcements. But now you can make money on being the most accurate to predict KPIs. Or even use prediction makets on KPIs as a hedge. This is the market that brings in billions of $$$ from institutional traders. It’s a no brainer. When I worked at a hedge fund we used credit card data, foot traffic, camera footage, satellites and endless other sources to predict KPIs. And we were very accurate and even more importantly we were great at being directionally accurate (beat or miss). Now this is a whole new market of opportunity to place your predictions on these KPIs! Data just got more important and more valuable, especially if it can predict KPIs! Go get the @fiscal_ai API so you can start predicting on @Kalshi

@yoni_mayer HS Yoni winning in straight sets

One of the greatest Slam Finals I've ever seen. What a privilege. What a sport.

@mansourtarek_ Earning cash on active positions is crazy @itskenbook

Starting today: Kalshi will pay you 4.05% interest on both your cash and open positions. Get paid for your predictions while you sleep.

@ParikPatelCFA It really is interesting how many ppl in finance fail to understand the massive risk associated w leverage

What could go wrong?

@HunterFromNYC This is actually hilarious

I have no words for this…

@davj @fondocom Congrats David!

𝗔𝗡𝗡𝗢𝗨𝗡𝗖𝗘𝗠𝗘𝗡𝗧: Last month @fondocom crossed $6M ARR — and we're profitable! 𝘛𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘮𝘦𝘢𝘯𝘴 𝘍𝘰𝘯𝘥𝘰’𝘴 𝘣𝘶𝘴𝘪𝘯𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘮𝘰𝘥𝘦𝘭 𝘪𝘴 𝘴𝘶𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘣𝘭𝘦 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘸𝘦 𝘤𝘢𝘯 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘶𝘦 𝘵𝘰 𝘴𝘦𝘳𝘷𝘦 𝘩𝘪𝘨𝘩 𝘨𝘳𝘰𝘸𝘵𝘩 𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘶𝘱𝘴 𝘪𝘯𝘥𝘦𝘧𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘵𝘦𝘭𝘺. 𝗪𝗛𝗬 𝗜𝗦 𝗧𝗛𝗜𝗦 𝗦𝗢 𝗜𝗠𝗣𝗢𝗥𝗧𝗔𝗡𝗧? At Fondo we are building the all-in-one accounting platform for startups -- helping 1,000+ of them put bookkeeping, taxes, and tax credits on autopilot. Our customers rely on us for a mission critical function of their business, and it’s important to continue to serve them indefinitely. To achieve $6M ARR and profitability in this market means that: 𝘈𝘵 𝘍𝘰𝘯𝘥𝘰, 𝘸𝘦 𝘥𝘰 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘳𝘦𝘲𝘶𝘪𝘳𝘦 𝘧𝘶𝘳𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘳 𝘧𝘶𝘯𝘥𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘰 𝘴𝘶𝘱𝘱𝘰𝘳𝘵 𝘰𝘶𝘳 𝘤𝘶𝘴𝘵𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘳𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘪𝘯 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘵𝘳𝘰𝘭 𝘰𝘧 𝘰𝘶𝘳 own 𝘥𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘺. 𝗙𝗢𝗡𝗗𝗢 𝗛𝗔𝗦 𝗚𝗥𝗢𝗪𝗡 𝗔𝗧 𝗩𝗘𝗡𝗧𝗨𝗥𝗘 𝗦𝗖𝗔𝗟𝗘 𝗪𝗜𝗧𝗛𝗢𝗨𝗧 𝗧𝗢𝗢 𝗠𝗨𝗖𝗛 𝗩𝗘𝗡𝗧𝗨𝗥𝗘 𝗖𝗔𝗣𝗜𝗧𝗔𝗟 ($𝟭.𝟮𝗠 𝗥𝗔𝗜𝗦𝗘𝗗) The Fondo team has repeatedly exceeded top quartile growth benchmarks year over year, without raising too much VC. I’m proud about what we’ve accomplished together. This is only the beginning. We are at the starting line and excited for what’s next! 𝗧𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗸 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝘀𝗼 𝗺𝘂𝗰𝗵 𝘁𝗼 𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗰𝘂𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗺𝗲𝗿𝘀 @posthog, @james406, @chrisjbakke, @emergetools, @jshchnz, @pingdotgg, @t3dotgg and others for giving us the opportunity to support you -- this is our lifeblood and has made this possible. 𝗧𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗸 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝘁𝗼 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗻𝗱𝗼𝗹𝗼𝗿𝗶𝗮𝗻𝘀 @brian2346, @dylsphillips, @dianeemccormack, @ali_ghanimati @stefan415, @UK1999, @luccalipisky, @BrandonCorrell1, @brennanp, & others for your ambition, ingenuity, work ethic, and obsession with solving our customers’ problems. 𝗧𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗸 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝘁𝗼 𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗹𝘆 𝗯𝗮𝗰𝗸𝗲𝗿𝘀 & 𝗽𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗻𝗲𝗿𝘀: @ycombinator, @gustaf @mwseibe, @TransmediaCap, @ChrisRedlitz, @peterboboff, @gmovp, @erikford, @jediknights, @NewDoVenture, @Liquid2V, @Capchase 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲𝗹𝘀 𝗶𝗻𝗰𝗹𝘂𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴: @mandelaSH, @MrStartup, @parthbhakta, @Markgee, @_chrisyang, @kevinverse, @amyludlum, @Robbie, @jasonmustian, @AllanTYoung, @juhapaananen, @pariarajai, @marcotrombetti, @andresbarreto, @chrisamccoy, @gpcastle12, @jundoima, @Tbobx, & @keyvanfirouzi 🫡 𝗚𝗢𝗗𝗦𝗣𝗘𝗘𝗗 𝗧𝗢 𝗔𝗟𝗟 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗙𝗢𝗨𝗡𝗗𝗘𝗥𝗦 𝗕𝗨𝗜𝗟𝗗𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗜𝗡 𝗧𝗛𝗜𝗦 𝗠𝗔𝗥𝗞𝗘𝗧, 𝗬𝗢𝗨’𝗩𝗘 𝗚𝗢𝗧 𝗧𝗛𝗜𝗦. Any founders who need help with ⤵ • 𝗨𝗽𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗮𝘅 𝗱𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲 October 15th (all Delaware C Corps legally required to file — there’s still time to get up to $500k back from the IRS if you filed an extension) • 𝗔𝘃𝗼𝗶𝗱 $𝟱𝟬𝟬/𝗱𝗮𝘆 𝗽𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘁𝘆 from the new BOI filing requirement due within 90 days of incorporation • 𝗕𝗼𝗼𝗸𝗸𝗲𝗲𝗽𝗶𝗻𝗴 (get your runway, P&L, and BS when you need it for investor updates/requests, 409a valuations, planning, and survival) Get an instant quote or schedule a call here — we’d love to support you: app.tryfondo.com/onboarding

@antoniogm 😂😂 @itskenbook @BLitvin_

@nope_its_lily @arenaceous_ @Saixxbt It’s also just blatantly false

Yes, the unfortunate result of war is death. It sucks. To say Israel is *killing* thousands of innocent civilians insinuates that it is intentional. It is not. Israel does its best to prevent civilian casualties to the best of its abilities (far more than any other military power). Israel must ensure October 7th never happens again, and that means Israel must wipe out Hamas, and the underlying infrastructure created by Hamas. As a Jew, taking any other stance is abhorrent, and qualifying it by referencing the Holocaust is disgusting. Both of my grandfathers were Holocaust survivors, and they’d be amazed that the Jewish state of Israel is so able. Am Yisrael Chai

For personal and professional reasons, I haven't been vocal about Palestine on this platform. But after yesterday, I want to make a few things clear for the record. (1/6)

@paulg Turns out “resistance fighters” (terrorists) kill civilians too. Give it a break

Ugh, this aged horribly well.

@israhirsi @Columbia Mental illness

those of us in Gaza Solidarity Encampment will not be intimidated. we will stand resolute until our demands are met. our demands include divestment from companies complicit in genocide, transparency of @Columbia’s investments and FULL amnesty for all students facing repression

i’m an organizer with CU Apartheid Divest @ColumbiaSJP, in my 3 years at @BarnardCollege i have never been reprimanded or received any disciplinary warnings i just received notice that i am 1 of 3 students suspended for standing in solidarity with Palestinians facing a genocide.

@ValKatayev @thesamparr @itskenbook @BLitvin_

One company dominates the fine jewelry category in US. It does $8 BILLION in sales. 6 years ago I started a company to take on this juggernaut. Here’s how and why I entered the jewelry industry (click here for thread)

@HeySaiK @daraladje 😂

@daraladje All fun and games until it says “Can’t wait to delve into our relationship a bit more”

@TheRealArieh @itskenbook 😂 I dont know but let your wife get what she wants

@itskenbook @fluidwax whats he selling me

how do i explain to my wife that redeeming our points on insanely expensive vacations is equivalent to wasting money

@nikitabier @itskenbook

If you’ve ever thought about credit card points for more than 30 seconds, your spouse is having an affair.

@rustem_du +

100+ tips how to make your mobile app successful structured in notion this could literally help you to make millions of $ hit the + in comments and i'll dm it to you

@yoni_mayer You’re up next

It feels like the future is being announced again week after week - the pace of progress is just mindblowing

@lexfridman @TheOmniLiberal @itskenbook Did you watch?

Here's the 5-hour Israel-Palestine debate with Norman Finkelstein, Benny Morris, Mouin Rabbani, and Steven Bonnell (aka Destiny). It was an in-depth, passionate exploration of history, present, and future of Israel and Palestine. First 4 hours are posted here (current X limit), and full 5 hours are up on YouTube, Spotify, and everywhere else. Links in comment. Thanks to Benny Morris, @NormFinkelstein, @TheOmniLiberal, and @MouinRabbani for the conversation! Timestamps: 0:00 - Introduction 4:42 - 1948 1:03:14 - Partition 2:07:47 - October 7 3:01:59 - Gaza 3:28:34 - Peace 4:33:18 - Hope for the future

@itskenbook @thepointsguy My dad is one of them 😂

@thepointsguy This is very important breaking news for the 4 people who use this credit for SiriusXM

Amex Platinum to lose SiriusXM as digital entertainment credit partner buff.ly/3Vi1Qzw

@itskenbook That’s a crazy deal to Europe, might need to book a business trip 👀👀

This is the most common mistake I see people make when they book travel with points. Here's how it works: 1. You decide you're finally booking that trip that's been on your mind. 2. You search for flights and hotels that you have enough points for. 3. You transfer your Amex/Chase/CapOne/Bilt points to the transfer partners. 4. You book the flight, so excited you just got $0.02 per point. Where's the mistake? You totally ignored a free option that could've given you tens of thousands of free points for just a little patience. Transfer bonuses. Every month, credit card companies have deals with different airlines and hotels that their points can transfer to at a bonus to their regular rate. For example, right now Citi has a 30% transfer bonus with Virgin Airlines, making one Citi point worth 1.3 Virgin points. You can book first-class Delta flights to Europe through Virgin for 50,000 points. Those usually cost $4,700, getting you an incredible 9.4 cents per point. With the 30% transfer bonus, instead of 50,000 points, you only need 38,500 points to book that flight, and you've turned your 9.4 cents per point into 12.2 cents per point. To avoid missing out on transfer bonuses, if you have a trip you know you're going to take, figure out the points you'll need now, and keep an eye out for transfer bonuses for a few months. Don't book so far out if there isn't a transfer bonus. Tomorrow I'll go over the best transfer bonuses available right now. Follow me @itskenbook so you don't miss it.