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Hashdive
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Hashdive
@hashdive
Creator of Hashdive, acquired by @unusual_whales. Now building Unusual Predictions.
Katılım Temmuz 2022
132 Takip Edilen4.1K Takipçiler
Hashdive retweetledi
Binance is arguably the world's largest crypto exchange.
Feb 2026: Polymarket lists a small 5-minute Bitcoin contract. Since then, Binance order flow spikes in the final seconds before settlement; prices revert soon after.
New paper with David Dai and Shihao Yu ( @ShihaoY ): Settlement Manipulation in Prediction Markets (papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…)🧵
The finding, up front:
Traders push Bitcoin's price in the final seconds to decide the contract. That push makes the price less informative, yet Bitcoin's market more liquid. Market makers are largely insulated; ordinary traders lose $7.6M in two months.
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Hashdive retweetledi
Hashdive retweetledi
NEW: @CharlesSchwab is entering prediction markets with yes/no S&P 500 options, partnering with @Cboe.
The brokerage joins Coinbase, Robinhood, Polymarket, and Kalshi in a fast-growing sector. (per WSJ)
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We're excited to announce Polymarket has facilitated the first ever on-chain, institutional block trade in the prediction market space.
Institutions using Polymarket to hedge GPU compute exposure at scale give a glimpse into both the future & the promise of prediction markets.
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🆕 Hashdive added to #polymartapp
To find an informational edge, prediction market traders use Hashdive to track whale wallets and volume shi…
Support @hashdive & @polymartapp — like & retweet 🙏
#Hashdive #Polymarket #PortfolioTrackers #SignalsAlerts #DataApis
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Useful tools for Polymarket traders & users
@PredictParity : trading platform for Polymarkets with many useful market and onchain features - code: 777
@hashdive : great for analyzing any market or trader and win rate in each category
@PolyReward : leaderboard for Polymarket LP rewards
@pizzintwatch : tracks pizza deliveries near the Pentagon 24/7, often seen as a signal of upcoming US military activity
@Poly_Helper : an easy-to-use browser extension that displays extra data directly on the Polymarket interface
I highlighted tools that I’ve actually been using for a long time and think are worth your attention
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Sometimes Polymarket markets are just *this* predictable.
Already made over $2k on this play.
Ain't much but it's honest work.
Will drop a more detailed breakdown of this market in the next few days.
Charts from @hashdive - easily one of the best tools to analyze Polymarket metrics.
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Hashdive retweetledi
@hashdive if I break 10, does it become "Legendary"? 👀🔥
Everyone's Unfriendly Neighborhood Batman@LordGhostX
In mid-February, I had an idea to exploit mispricings on prediction markets. I spent the first week seeing if there was actually something there: building the strategy, testing it on historical data, and modeling slippage, fees, and execution as realistically as I could. Then I spent the next 2 weeks building the system, integrating with @Polymarket, paper trading the strategy, and tightening the simulator until it more closely matched live conditions. After that, I went live. 4 weeks later, the portfolio was up 170%. The strategy improved significantly during that stretch, but the edge held, so I added more capital. Now, 5 weeks in: • $100,238.94 in volume • 3,122 trades across 1,423 markets • 83.85% win rate • ~2% PnL on volume • ~$700 paid in Polymarket fees • 8.157 Sharpe I’ll write more about the full journey later. It’s been a long one. For now, the next upgrade is moving from taker to maker: better entries, no fees, rebates, and hopefully a much better system. P.S. If you find the account, don’t copy trade it. This is price sensitive, and being late can get ugly fast.
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Polymarket banned insider trading on BOTH its DeFi platform and CFTC-regulated US exchange.
Polymarket@Polymarket
Today we're publishing new market integrity rules across our CFTC-regulated US exchange & DeFi platform — making clear what's prohibited, how we enforce rules, & how to report suspicious activity. The World's Largest Prediction Market runs on transparency businesswire.com/news/home/2026…
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Hashdive retweetledi
We're excited to announce 'The Situation Room' by Polymarket is coming to Washington, D.C.
The world's first bar dedicated to monitoring the situation. 🧵
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Hashdive retweetledi
Trading #PredictionMarkets?
Use these tools to spot smart wallets, copy trade, and track trends. bookmark 👇
Analytics
@PolyCopyMarket - Track Smart Traders
@PolySpybot - New Markets Alert
@Polysights - Finding Insiders
@poly_data - Traders & Markets & Positions
@predictsguru - Wallet Analytics
@hashdive - Finding Insiders
@PredictParity - Prediction Markets Data Overview
@wandly_xyz - Suite of products
@PolyInsider_ - Finding Insiders
Trade Tools
@TradePolyBot - TG Trading Bot
@shadowmarkets_ - Copy Trading
@securezer0 - Arbitrage
@ArbBets20 - Arbitrage
@pmx_trade - TG Trading Bot
@PolycoolApp - Track & Copy Trading
Trade Terminal
@fireplacegg
@PolyScalping
@tradefoxai
@SharpeTerminal
@StandDOTtrade
@ConvergeMarkets
@tryokbet
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MY POLYMARKET STRATEGY THAT KEEPS ME IN TOP 1%
I trade @Polymarket openly. Every bet I post, I have skin in the game.
Results: 2x on deposit. Top 1.03% of all users.
I allocated a fixed budget I am fully comfortable losing. No hedging. No safety nets. Just clean asymmetric bets.
The strategy:
> Find markets where the crowd is overconfident. Bet against the majority. > Only enter if upside is 3-10x.
> No asymmetry = no trade.
> When a position hits 2x, sell 50% and get your full investment back. Let the rest ride for free.
Simple strategy. Hard to stay disciplined. But that is the whole game.
My best edge: crypto Pre-Market, FDV predictions, Token Sales. The crowd constantly misprices these.
I am not a whale. I am a trader with a fixed budget, a clear strategy, and real results.
I post analysis and ideas. When I have a position, I say so.
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Shoutout to all the teams/individuals building in the Polymarket ecosystem and succeeding!
@getdomeapi - acquired by Polymarket
@hashdive - acquired by Unusual Whales
@fireplacegg - raised $1.5m
@KairosTradeX - raised from a16z crypto
@gondorfi - raised $2.5m
@StandDOTtrade - raised VC round, featured in NYT
@Polysights - closing VC round
@pizzintwatch - featured in Newsweek & Forbes, +80k followers < 6 mths
@datadashboards - featured in FT, ESPN, and Bloomberg
@alexmccullaaa / @MovieTimeDev - featured on All-In
@Dune - research featured in Bloomberg
@betmoardotfun - #1 builder by volume
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@primo_data @getdomeapi @fireplacegg @KairosTradeX @gondorfi @StandDOTtrade Appreciate it 🤝
Big respect to all the builders in the space
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Permissionless market deployment and creator fees 👀
Mustafa Aljadery@mustafap0ly
sponsoring market rewards is now open to all users 😛 add rewards to any market to get the liquidity for the size you want to trade. permissionless market deployment and creator fees next...
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