جانم فدای ایران

Trump must deeply regret having followed Netanyahu's advice. He passed up a deal with Iran in February he could have claimed was "better than Obama's" and rolled the dice on a war that completely backfired, severely damaging his economy and political prospects at the same time. Hardly surprising if he is reluctant to take Netanyahu's advice again.

The execution machine continues. Another morning and two young innocent men executed by the islamic republic in Iran. The mullahs kill, rape, torture innocent civilians while the world watches as if it’s just a routine!! Today they executed Ramin Zele and Karim Marouf Pour.

ستاره‌هایی که درخشش آگاهی بودند. دانشجو بود، ۱۸ دی در اراک، به قفسه سینه‌اش شلیک کردند و او را کشتند. فراموشش نکنیم. #ارمیا_فضلی

عرفان خادم، دانشجوی نخبه‌ی ۲۱ ساله‌ی مهندسی برق دانشگاه صنعتی آریامهر (شریف) از دو هفته پیش توسط جمهوری اسلامی ربوده شده و هنوز اطلاعی از او در دست نیست. عرفان با معدل بالای ۱۹ جزو بُرد (۱۰ نفر اول) دانشکده‌ی مهندسی برق است. طبق اطلاع تشکل‌های صنفی و دانشجویی دانشگاه، خبر بازداشت او به دلیل فشار مزدوران امنیتی جمهوری اسلامی بر خانواده‌اش تاکنون منتشر نشده‌بود و حتی نزدیک‌ترین دوستانش هم از ربوده‌شدن او بی‌اطلاع بودند. جمهوری اسلامی بقای خود را در سرکوب مردم ایران، به‌خصوص دانشجویان و نخبگان می‌داند تا به غارت ثروت مردم ایران ادامه دهد.

There is a genuinely bizarre psychological dynamic unfolding right now around this war. Trump appears convinced that the war is unpopular at home, that Americans want out, and that domestic priorities must now take precedence - even if that means accepting a deal that, only weeks ago, would have looked humiliating by American standards. Remember where this started: “unconditional surrender” for Iran. Now? If the current trajectory continues - with Tehran refusing compromise on the nuclear file, ballistic missiles, proxies, and now effectively trying to invent a new doctrine around controlling the Strait of Hormuz - we could end up watching something that looks disturbingly like unconditional surrender… but for the US! And here’s the irony that’s frying my brain right now: Even some of the people inside the US political circles who opposed the war are suddenly horrified at the prospect of a half-finished war. Because an unfinished war is not “peace.” A half-finished war risks looking like strategic exhaustion. It risks damaging American prestige, deterrence, and by extension the credibility of the “mighty” dollar itself. People forget something very important: America First at home only works if America remains first abroad. The dollar is not magic paper blessed by the gods of Wall Street. It sits on three pillars: reserve currency status, energy trade dominance, and global trade settlement. Those pillars are reinforced when the United States projects global military strength and reliability. Ironically, during the war itself, you saw parts of the market reacting exactly to that logic: commodities wobbling, safe-haven psychology shifting, the dollar strengthening because global markets still instinctively run toward American power in moments of crisis. So now we arrive at the weirdest part of all: Trump, fearing the war is unpopular, may have accidentally made it more popular by appearing too eager to leave it unfinished. Because suddenly people are imagining the consequences of an Iran that is eschatologically and fanatically emboldened after surviving the confrontation - thinking the “unseen divine hands of the hidden Imam Mahdi” did it - while still threatening the arteries of the global economy through the Strait of Hormuz. And this is where my brain officially melts.🫠 Was this deliberate? Was this the madman theory? Was it incoherent incoherence? Or coherent incoherence designed to create maximum unpredictability? Did Trump intentionally manufacture uncertainty to pressure Tehran? Or are we all collectively trying to reverse-engineer strategy out of chaos because nobody actually knows what’s happening? At this point, I genuinely need a whole liter of Coke Zero and a whiteboard the size of the Sahara just to map the psychology of this thing. Thank you all for following this utterly insane geopolitical soap opera with me. I still can’t decide whether we are witnessing strategic genius, strategic improvisation, or history’s first case of weaponized confusion as a doctrine of statecraft.🤦🏻‍♂️