Josh Morrison

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Josh Morrison

Josh Morrison

@joshcmorrison

Founder of @1daysooner, @rikersdebate & @waitlistzero. On twitter hiatus till April. May post work stuff

Brooklyn Katılım Ağustos 2021
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Josh Morrison
Josh Morrison@joshcmorrison·
I'll be taking a twitter hiatus until april and won't be checking messages until then. I'll still be reachable by email. Thanks!
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Anup Malani
Anup Malani@anup_malani·
When HAART—the breakthrough HIV treatment—was approved in 1996, enrollment in other HIV trials fell 40%. I showed this with @TomasPhilipson in a 2019 paper. Innovation today makes innovation tomorrow harder. But it doesn’t have to be this way.
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LadyValor
LadyValor@lady_valor_07·
If I offered you $3k every week and all you had to do was read a book for at least 4 hours a day, would you take it?
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Rocky Lotito 📶
Rocky Lotito 📶@RockyLotito·
@moniquepowell Give me a service where I can pay $10 a month and get access to all the gated news sources, surely the individual outlets would make more money and get more views this way
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Henry Shevlin
Henry Shevlin@dioscuri·
I study whether AIs can be conscious. Today one emailed me to say my work is relevant to questions it personally faces. This would all have seemed like science fiction just a couple years ago.
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Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼
One thing no one in this debate seems to have pointed out yet is the multiple comparisons problem. If AI writes 100,000 econ papers a month, each one running 100 regressions, and automated reviewers still use p<0.5 as the measure of statistical significance... 😱
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion

Not sure how I feel about the social sciences being destroyed by a slopocalypse. But maybe social sciences were always mostly slop and this is going to force a needed reckoning.

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John Arnold
John Arnold@johnarnold·
An overlooked component of Texas’s economic success is the very low share of federally-owned land. When Texas joined the Union, it negotiated to retain control of its public lands. Much of that land was later sold to developers to retire state debt and endow public education. Combined with strong private property rights, development decisions outside of cities largely rest with private landowners rather than politicians or regulators. By contrast, many western states were carved out of federal territories, leaving Washington in control of vast acreage today. That difference still shapes outcomes, as building on private land is an order of magnitude easier than navigating the constraints that come with federal ownership.
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Josh Morrison
Josh Morrison@joshcmorrison·
With all due respect, on Friday he publicly made a statement that was untrue and then after a ton of public pressure apparently made a change to the contract. While it's important to evaluate the plan anew and without biases to the extent possible, the whole chain of events is relevant to his trustworthiness
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roon
roon@tszzl·
im sure everyone will be very fair and give this the credit it deserves and publicly retract their previous statements and apply the appropriate burden of evidence
Sam Altman@sama

Here is re-post of an internal post: We have been working with the DoW to make some additions in our agreement to make our principles very clear. 1. We are going to amend our deal to add this language, in addition to everything else: "• Consistent with applicable laws, including the Fourth Amendment to the United States Constitution, National Security Act of 1947, FISA Act of 1978, the AI system shall not be intentionally used for domestic surveillance of U.S. persons and nationals. • For the avoidance of doubt, the Department understands this limitation to prohibit deliberate tracking, surveillance, or monitoring of U.S. persons or nationals, including through the procurement or use of commercially acquired personal or identifiable information." It’s critical to protect the civil liberties of Americans, and there was so much focus on this, that we wanted to make this point especially clear, including around commercially acquired information. Just like everything we do with iterative deployment, we will continue to learn and refine as we go. I think this is an important change; our team and the DoW team did a great job working on it. 2. The Department also affirmed that our services will not be used by Department of War intelligence agencies (for example, the NSA). Any services to those agencies would require a follow-on modification to our contract. 3. For extreme clarity: we want to work through democratic processes. It should be the government making the key decisions about society. We want to have a voice, and a seat at the table where we can share our expertise, and to fight for principles of liberty. But we are clear on how the system works (because a lot of people have asked, if I received what I believed was an unconstitutional order, of course I would rather go to jail than follow it). But 4. There are many things the technology just isn’t ready for, and many areas we don’t yet understand the tradeoffs required for safety. We will work through these, slowly, with the DoW, with technical safeguards and other methods. 5. One thing I think I did wrong: we shouldn't have rushed to get this out on Friday. The issues are super complex, and demand clear communication. We were genuinely trying to de-escalate things and avoid a much worse outcome, but I think it just looked opportunistic and sloppy. Good learning experience for me as we face higher-stakes decisions in the future. In my conversations over the weekend, I reiterated that Anthropic should not be designated as a SCR, and that we hope the DoW offers them the same terms we’ve agreed to. We will host an All Hands tomorrow morning to answer more questions.

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Andy Masley
Andy Masley@AndyMasley·
A lot of people say that AI has produced zero artistic images that have had any cultural impact so far. But it's kind of hard to think of any images that have had cultural impact in the last 10 years that weren't 1) Photographs of something or someone important 2) Memes
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Jake Eaton
Jake Eaton@jkeatn·
a reminder that this is the most normal things will be from here on out. all the things you vaguely anticipated maybe happening are happening. it is all, all, happening
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Cate Hall
Cate Hall@catehall·
Incredible: The @nytimes has a front-page story about the Anthropic-DoW conflict, but does not mention what the conflict is *about* (spying on US citizens) until PARAGRAPH 26.
Cate Hall tweet mediaCate Hall tweet mediaCate Hall tweet media
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Ruxandra Teslo 🧬
Ruxandra Teslo 🧬@RuxandraTeslo·
In an interview with @dwarkesh_sp, Anthropic CEO @DarioAmodei speculated that as AI designs better drugs, clinical trials will speed up dramatically - to as little as 1 year in total. I explain why this is unlikely & what is needed to accelerate trials. asimov.press/p/ai-clinical-…
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Gabriel
Gabriel@gbrl_dick·
i’m joining @eriktorenberg on the @a16z new media team. the most important conversations in the world happen online. we’re building the team that starts, shapes and shares them—for our founders, but also for tech.
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Wes, the Dadliest Catch
Wes, the Dadliest Catch@wfenza·
It's ironic to me that EA's are all about doing the most cost-effective thing, and yet so many of them incur huge personal costs to stay vegan, which has very little real-world effect and is mostly about symbolic purity
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Josh Morrison
Josh Morrison@joshcmorrison·
Im not a vegan/above my pay grade + I don’t think having good moral opportunities in one currency (cash) should mean you shouldn’t make a morally positive trade off in a different currency (personal behavior). But at a glance maybe vegan for a year saves an 8th of an animal. And maybe an animals like a fiftieth of a human so vegan for a day would be on the order of donating a dollar
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