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realizt

realizt

@marcorvbio

https://t.co/gOcQcNamOK

Katılım Mart 2025
90 Takip Edilen19 Takipçiler
realizt
realizt@marcorvbio·
@lymanstoneky This and us copying Shaheds for our own attack drones paints a worrying trend for US readiness for modern warfare
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realizt
realizt@marcorvbio·
@RokoMijic If you can achieve a crisp jawline and buccal shadow then sure but if you can’t then this will just make you look like a used car salesman
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realizt
realizt@marcorvbio·
@eigenrobot He seems far more concerned with mines than drones - in fact he doesn’t mention drones at all I think? Wonder what the rationale is for that
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realizt
realizt@marcorvbio·
@ReubenR80027912 This is definitely not true lol a lot of people did not expect China to retaliate on Irans behalf or to launch an invasion of Taiwan in the middle of an oil crisis
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Reuben Rodriguez
Reuben Rodriguez@ReubenR80027912·
War with Iran was near universally predicted to usher in WWIII 10k US casualties in 1st months. Houthis blocking Suez, Iran blocking Straits. Hez + Hamas tying down Israel on 2 fronts. China & Russia gobbling territories w/ US pinned down NONE of that has happened
Reuben Rodriguez@ReubenR80027912

@DuvalEaton Begging ppl to read on what everyone said a war with Iran would be like for last 10yrs until 4 weeks ago

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realizt
realizt@marcorvbio·
@malmesburyman @Blastiphone That doesn’t matter to Iran bc what are the gulf states actually gonna do about it? Nothing the US and Israel weren’t already doing with far more lethality and were going to do regardless
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malmesburyman
malmesburyman@malmesburyman·
@Blastiphone But nobody is going to tolerate the survival of a zombie theocracy that attacks neutral or even quasi-allied parties. It says they’re not a rational actor. Which justifies depriving them of nukes by any means necessary.
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malmesburyman
malmesburyman@malmesburyman·
This is the most interesting and frankly puzzling question right now to me. It’s as if Russia were gaining the upper hand against Ukraine, and so Ukraine started firing missiles at Western Europe, hitting American tourist hotels and ports that ship French wine and German cars.
Edward N Luttwak@ELuttwak

Iran threatened Israel with destruction. Then mass produced ballistic missiles to attack it. Which they did 3 times last year. When the Israel & the USAF targeted the missile plants & and bases, Iran counter-attack against it but also against the emirates & the KSA . Why ?

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realizt
realizt@marcorvbio·
@Scholars_Stage Very suspicious of how often this article uses “it’s not X it’s Y” - a hallmark of AI generated writing
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T. Greer
T. Greer@Scholars_Stage·
I think this article provides the most compelling bull case on “the Iran war is going great actually” that I have read aljazeera.com/opinions/2026/…
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realizt
realizt@marcorvbio·
@rmcentush What exactly does “operational profile” mean
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realizt
realizt@marcorvbio·
@eigenrobot Idk how much we should even make of this trend when US/Israel’s ability to launch missiles is also declining e.g it was reported yesterday that Israel is “critically low” on interceptors and US had “burned through years of munitions” by day 10
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eigenrobot
eigenrobot@eigenrobot·
i think this is true tactically, like yeah they're hosed wrt counterforce but they also probably don't need much capacity to keep countervalue threat up in the strait in a way that could maintain some degree of strategic viability the important launch count here may be "zero"
Saul Sadka@Saul_Sadka

Iran’s plan is failing. Its ability to dispatch missiles & drones has been reduced by 95% after just 15 days of Israeli & American strikes. It has also used around 40% of its missile stockpile and lost 100s more on the ground. 47 years of "Death to America" ends in humiliation.

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realizt
realizt@marcorvbio·
@spandrell4 Turns out the idea of Dubai might be destroyed after all
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Spandrell
Spandrell@spandrell4·
Lmao that'll work to give confidence
The Dark Box@TheDarkBox71

A Dark Box investigation reveals that the United Arab Emirates is preparing a series of extraordinary measures targeting investors who intend to withdraw their capital from Dubai amid rising concerns over the security and economic fallout of Iranian attacks and regional instability. According to financial and legal sources cited by Dark Box, the proposed actions could include freezing bank accounts before funds are transferred, imposing travel bans on business figures attempting to move their assets abroad, and introducing additional administrative or legal penalties aimed at preventing rapid capital flight. The report indicates that authorities in Abu Dhabi and Dubai fear a potential wave of investor withdrawals that could undermine the city’s economic model, which relies heavily on international capital flows, global logistics and the perception of stability. As regional tensions disrupt trade routes and investor confidence, officials appear determined to slow or deter the outflow of capital in order to protect the domestic financial system. However, analysts warn that such measures could raise serious concerns among international investors about the predictability and openness of the Emirati business environment. Dark Box concludes that while the proposed policies aim to safeguard the economy during a period of geopolitical pressure, they may also signal a profound shift in Dubai’s reputation as a free flowing global financial hub. More: the-darkbox.com/00if #UAE #Dubai #Investors #GlobalFinance #MiddleEast #Geopolitics #CapitalFlight #EconomicSecurity

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realizt
realizt@marcorvbio·
@policytensor Well giving China control over 90% of the worlds semiconductors doesn’t make America very secure
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realizt
realizt@marcorvbio·
@MarioNawfal Nonstarter, Hezbollah is not going to disarm unless someone overpowers them, and that sure isn’t going to be France or the UN
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🚨🇫🇷🇱🇧 France putting a serious proposal on the table for Lebanon: Lebanon recognizes Israel for the first time in history. Israel withdraws from the south. Hezbollah disarmed. Lebanese Army deploys to the Litani. International monitors in place. Non-aggression agreement to formally end 78 years of war. Lebanon has accepted it as a basis for talks. Israel and the U.S. are reviewing it. The Lebanon front has an off-ramp. Whether anyone takes it depends entirely on Washington. Axios
Mario Nawfal tweet media
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇫🇷🇱🇧🇮🇱 The French proposal being reportedly examined by Israel and the U.S. could lead to a ceasefire with Hezbollah and potentially end the state of war between Israel and Lebanon Key elements of the reported plan include: -Lebanon would begin a process of recognizing Israel. -The Lebanese Army would deploy south of the Litani River. -Hezbollah would be disarmed with international monitoring. -Israel would withdraw from newly captured territory within a month. -Talks on a permanent non-aggression pact could start. If negotiations move forward, sources say a broader agreement ending the war between Israel and Lebanon could be signed within about 2 months. Source: N12

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realizt
realizt@marcorvbio·
@spandrell4 Just one more invasion of Lebanon bro. Pls bro just one more invasion of Lebanon and the Israelites will live happily ever after I swear
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realizt
realizt@marcorvbio·
@TheBlackHorse65 @criticofthecath That sounds like an incredibly risky plan. Iran has penetrated and destroyed air defenses much farther away than their own coast. And how confident can we really be in these escort vessels when they’ve never faced a situation like this?
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The Black Horse
The Black Horse@TheBlackHorse65·
The various escort-class vessels of their navy are extremely well equipped for anti-drone warfare. They will end up having to take the various islands in the waterway, fortify them with air-defenses, exhaust the Iranian anti-ship missile supply, and then picket the strait with destroyers.
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The Black Horse
The Black Horse@TheBlackHorse65·
After having watched this for two weeks; I don't think the Israel/Iran war is going to incite an Imperial Crisis. I think the US will get the straits open again within 3 months, and Iran will fail in it's war-aim of driving the Americans out of the Gulf States.
The Black Horse tweet media
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realizt
realizt@marcorvbio·
@jemcn @eigenrobot This is a pure myth, it will never happen. The Nile basin alone has a population ten times Israel’s
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eigenrobot
eigenrobot@eigenrobot·
so what's the endgame for Lebanon v unclear to me, are there objectives beyond degrading rocket capacity from hezbollah?
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realizt
realizt@marcorvbio·
@policytensor Does this show we’ve been sleeping on irans capacity for centralized coordination? Bombing one and only one desalination plant in retaliation must require some ability for higher ups to coordinate with regional commanders
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Policy Tensor
Policy Tensor@policytensor·
After the US attacked a desalinization plant, Iran responded by striking one in Bahrain. Since then there have been no reports of further US attacks. This is as clear an instance of intrawar deterrence as it gets. And it required delivering on the deterrent threat in a proportionate manner. Let's hope deterrence holds here, otherwise most of the microstates will have to abandoned. Iran relies on desalinization for only 2% of its drinking water. aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/12…
Policy Tensor tweet media
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realizt
realizt@marcorvbio·
@ayatr0llah See but when you’re an old man you get your aura from not caring about what the youngins think has aura
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ayatrollah
ayatrollah@ayatr0llah·
Transition glasses are so fucking dorky man. My dad wears them and I don’t have the heart to tell him to cut the shit. Maybe now I can be like it’s regime coded you gotta stop bro
Ragıp Soylu@ragipsoylu

Top Iranian national security official Ali Larijani keeps marching after Israeli strikes in Tehran near the area. He even gives a live interview. “Trump's problem is that he doesn't realize that the Iranian nation is mature and determined”

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Brooks Otterlake
Brooks Otterlake@i_zzzzzz·
The unexpected move of letting their own ships through the thing they’re blocking
Brooks Otterlake tweet media
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realizt
realizt@marcorvbio·
@MathiasRusted @i_zzzzzz Our biggest rival not getting oil sounds like a good thing to me. Plus it could leverage them into leveraging Iran to end the war quicker
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Mathias Rust
Mathias Rust@MathiasRusted·
@marcorvbio @i_zzzzzz Because they're going to China and elsewhere and it would piss everyone off even more (and raise the global oil price more)
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