microslop1010
2.7K posts
The Allies carried out a massive aerial bombing campaign against German economic targets in 1944-45; the Nazi regime remained firmly in power right up to the surrender. There's no evidence that this kind of campaign leads to regime collapse.
OSINTtechnical@Osinttechnical
Israel has pivoted to striking Iranian economic targets as it aims to "create the conditions" for the Iranian regime to fall -Times of Israel Israel aims to cause massive economic damage to the Iranian regime.
English
microslop1010 retweetledi
🔥🛢️This morning, Russian Novoil oil refinery in Bashkortostan, ~7.1 million tons/year. 1,400 km from the frontline was struck by drones.
English
microslop1010 retweetledi
*EUROPEAN DIESEL FUTURES HIT $200 A BARREL AS WAR CURBS SUPPLY
English
@forallcurious Nice. US can finally map thr orbits of all the Chinese and Russian satellites.
English
ARTEMIS II🚨: In the mission, the 4 astronauts will travel 400,000 km from Earth, which would be the farthest any human has ever gone in all of humanity.
English
@HayekAndKeynes That was an era before Iran had asymmetrical advantage with middle cities, missiles, drones, beidu navigation, rus/chinese satellite targetting Intel.
Per centcom: Over 15K targets hit.
Yet, Iran continues to control Strait of Hormuz.
English
This is how the war ended the last time Iran tried to close Hormuz…
English
microslop1010 retweetledi
microslop1010 retweetledi
The U.S. embassy in Iraq says that Iran-aligned Iraqi terrorist militias may intend to carry out attacks in central Baghdad within the next 24 to 48 hours.
The attacks may target Americans or US-linked entities.
English
microslop1010 retweetledi
Russia's Ufa oil refinery is burning this morning after a successful Ukrainian drone attack.
Ukrainian drones penetrated nearly 1000 miles of Russian airspace to hit the refinery
English
From Hegseth, reposted by the DOW this evening.
An echo of Trump's threat against Iran from tonight's speech.
English
@DarioCpx Trump TACO his earlier TACO.
Casino capitalism has ruined the US.
English
Prayers for all the $USOIL shorts out there, especially for those who loaded up on levered short ETF positions as if it was a no brainer
JustDario 🏊♂️@DarioCpx
Traders are currently shorting $USOIL volatility as if there is no tomorrow (many shorting call options bagging chunky premiums), it’s a “no brainer” trade when the government control on the oil price is still perceived to be tight. So, why not? Sound like free money right? 👇🏻 ⚠️ Here is the problem: the Black Swan risk no risk model or algorithm is wired to take into account by definition exposing traders, whose positions can create infinite losses, to the risk of being wiped out. Oil volatility spiked reaching the stratosphere in 2020 when the oil price crashed through the floor and closed negative due to traders panicking for lockdowns bringing demand for oil near zero. However, the same can happen, theoretically, in the opposite direction with the price of oil skyrocketing to the stratosphere along with volatility. “it never happened, hence cannot happen” is the reason why traders do constantly get wiped out by Black Swan type of events. Paradoxically, the set up to trigger this event is already in place. Oil shortages haven’t simply materialised yet globally due to the lag effect created by SPR and pre-war inventories. The longer the Strait of Hormuz is closed and the higher the amount of damages to the oil infrastructure in the middle east, the higher the probability that there won’t be enough oil to fulfil all the demand. Sure there will be demand destruction created by higher and higher prices, but there are also operations in the economy that cannot afford to run out of oil at any cost. Furthermore, till prices remain artificially low, it gives the opportunity to those not in critical need of oil to stock additional inventory eventually taking away resources from those who cannot afford to run out of oil (think of US Navy ships as an extreme case). Not only the probability of seeing the oil price spiking vertically isn’t zero, but is also increasing day by day. I know I know, considering I am talking about a “Black Swan” before it happened doesn’t make it a Black Swan. True, for those who will read this post, feel free to call it a Grey Rhino. However, for those who don’t, if this event occurs it will be a Black Swan nevertheless. @nntaleb
English
BREAKING: US oil prices surge above $104/barrel following President Trump's address to the nation on the Iran War.
Tonight is truly one of the more puzzling nights for investors.
English
@Rory_Johnston Trump still has stock market escalation dominance.
English
@ProfessorPape 28 A-10 WartHog sent to Iran theatre is military escalation.
But, I posit that trump doesn't care about military escalation dominance. That's a second order to his primary object:
US stock market escalation dominance.
markets went up 5% (2 trillion) anticipating da speech.
English
Tonight’s speech by Donald Trump was framed as “mission nearly complete.”
But listen carefully — the substance points the other way:
This is not de-escalation. It’s controlled escalation.
English
microslop1010 retweetledi
LAME. Even Trump's TACO was wrapped in a TACO. Does that Make it a Burrito?
English
@tparsi His plan is to get richer.
The US markets went up 5% (2Trillion in value) for a nothing burger speech.
He only cares about the market.
English
By telling us nothing he hasn't already said, Trump made it abundantly clear that he has no plan.
This Iran war continues to be improvised...
English
@conorsen Excuse me but that was an AI summary of his recent tweets.
English
@microslop1010 @KenNwater Yet Ukraine is America’s responsibility?
English
@JavierBlas April 10 is when US hits oil and electricity grid.
If he extends it again, he is not a serious ma .
English
President Trump declared victory against Iran but then asked for another 2-3 weeks to continue the war. And offered not path to re-open the Strait of Hormuz.
"The countries of the world that […] receive oil through the Hormuz Strait must take care of that passage," he said.
English
@esaagar Trumped pumped the market 5% this week.
Mission accomplished.
English
Trump speech tldr: Mission Kinda Sorta Maybe Accomplished!
English
@HayekAndKeynes @KenNwater Article 6 is the geography clause. Middle east is excluded
English