neil chernoff

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neil chernoff

neil chernoff

@midlifeguy548

Capitalist -- it is the worst except all the rest.

Katılım Nisan 2009
129 Takip Edilen142 Takipçiler
neil chernoff
neil chernoff@midlifeguy548·
Like everything Elizabeth Warren says, she reduces it to a very simple explanation that is usually wrong. Red Lobster was part of 4 conglomerates since 1970. The Covid shutdowns, changes in dining patterns and increased labor and food costs are are a more likely culprit than corporate debt. Ask the 20 similar chains that have gone Chapter 11 over the last 10 years.
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neil chernoff
neil chernoff@midlifeguy548·
The funds from sanctions relief in 2015 funded Iran's war against most of its neighbors. Do not use the term "proxies". They were under direct guidance from Iran. Hundreds of thousands died in Syria, Yemen and Lebanon as a result. Syria was a war between the Sunnis and a Shiite/Alawite coalition under Assad. But Assad was on his last legs in 2015. Shiites and Alawites are only 20% of Syria's population. The relief money brought in Shiite militias from across the region and built Hezbollah as a real army. It also brought the Russians in. When you call it a "proxy" war it understates what was happening. It was Iran establishing hegemony in the region using religious militias. It was not just combat deaths... it was starvation and displacement of millions. You cannot ignore the suffering that the "deal" led to by what it did not cover and the money it gave Iran to fund those activities.
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Eric Brewer
Eric Brewer@BrewerEricM·
I think most people who supported the JCPOA (myself included) were keenly aware of its limitations. But let’s take these criticisms point by point. These arguments seem historical, but they have relevance for the present and the future. 1/
Mike@Doranimated

Defenders of the JCPOA never address the glaring structural flaws in the deal. Here they are, stripped down: 1) It treated the nuclear issue like it was completely separate from Iran’s ballistic missiles, drones, and proxy network. The deal only touched enrichment and inspections. It left Iran’s missile and drone programs untouched and removed sanctions that could have pressured them on these threats. 2) It had a built-in expiration date. Key limits sunsetted. It all but accepted Iran becoming a nuclear weapons state in 2031. 3) It gave Iran many tens if not hundreds of billions of dollars upfront and took away sanctions as a tool against their missile and drone buildup. Sanctions were lifted immediately. The cash that poured in directly funded their missile and drone development while making it much harder to reimpose pressure later. 4) It normalized the regime without requiring it to change behavior. The bet was that more trade would moderate Iran. Instead, Iran used the cash to strengthen the regime and expand its influence. 5) It destroyed deterrence. It taught Iran that escalation gets rewarded with capitulation. Bottom line: The JCPOA wasn’t serious arms control. It was a very stupid bet that the Iranian regime would become more moderate if we drowned it in cash. That gamble failed, and the whole deal fell apart with it.

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neil chernoff
neil chernoff@midlifeguy548·
@sam_d_1995 Since 75% of the reduction in NYC happened under Giuliani, do you give him credit?
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neil chernoff
neil chernoff@midlifeguy548·
@avidseries Having been a consultant to numerous Federal agencies, I tend to be a bit more generous to the Trump appointees. Almost all Federal employees are progressives (92% DC D vote). Bondi and Noem face a lot of HQ staff working against them. That said... did not like Noem.
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i/o
i/o@avidseries·
When you consider who Trump chose for his cabinet (e.g, crackpot RFK Jr, inept pooch-snuffing Border Barbie, towering human dumpster inferno Hegseth, 3rd-tier legal mind Bondi) and who he wanted but couldn't get (like the serial sex pest and alleged trafficker Matt Gaetz), and how hundreds of people took to my replies to defend the selection of every single one of these absurdities, it's almost impossible to not entertain the thesis of a MAGA low human capital problem.
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion

If you elected these people, you fucked up big time

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neil chernoff
neil chernoff@midlifeguy548·
@ChrisVanHollen 848 active generals and admirals… all older. What is the normal attrition rate? Is the current attrition rate higher? Many created and supported policies this Admin does not agree with.
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Senator Chris Van Hollen
Senator Chris Van Hollen@ChrisVanHollen·
Pete Hegseth needs to go, NOW.   Since the start of Trump's war in Iran, Hegseth has — without justification — continued firing some of our top military leaders.    Our service members deserve better than a power-tripping warmonger who thinks war is a big video game.  axios.com/2026/04/03/heg…
Senator Chris Van Hollen tweet media
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neil chernoff
neil chernoff@midlifeguy548·
@Microinteracti1 @steven_cas85123 You are listing in-country coproduction agreements that were part of the sale of the weapons. Up until recently, European countries were producing expensive second tier weapons in Europe, but the volumes were so low the prices were inflated.
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Gandalv
Gandalv@Microinteracti1·
Build our own? We already build half of yours. F-35 components. Javelin parts. Patriot radar subassemblies. HIMARS ammunition. Abrams spare parts. Lockheed Martin is on its knees begging European factories to keep its own production lines moving. Strip out the European components and the most advanced military on earth grinds to a halt. Europe is Ferrari. Europe is Mercedes. Precision. Engineering. Built to last a generation. America is Chevrolet. Loud. Big. Breaks down the moment it crosses the warranty line.
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Gandalv
Gandalv@Microinteracti1·
I am not sure the American military establishment has fully grasped what Trump has actually done here. So let me spell it out in language even a Pentagon procurement officer can understand. Europe has been buying American weapons at a staggering rate. In 2024 alone, US foreign military sales notifications to European countries hit $76 billion. Four times the European average since 2008.  F-35s, missile systems, air defence, ammunition. All of it American. All of it coming with decades of service contracts, maintenance agreements, spare parts, software updates and training programmes worth hundreds of billions more over their operational lifetimes. Between 2020 and 2024, the United States supplied 64 percent of all European weapons imports.  That is now over. Europe has an $860 billion defence plan, and American contractors are being frozen out. The goal is 80 percent of all military purchases from European factories by 2030.  Airbus. Rheinmetall. KNDS. Saab. Leonardo. BAE Systems. They are about to receive the largest order book in the history of European defence industry. Because Trump made it politically impossible for any European government to keep writing cheques to Washington. Some European governments have discussed worries that the Pentagon could remotely disable American F-35 fighters or impose restrictions on how US weapons can be used.  When your supplier is also threatening to annex your allies, that is not paranoia. That is basic procurement logic. Trump set out to make America great again. He has succeeded magnificently. For Rheinmetall. Gandalv / @Microinteracti1
MAG🔫1775🇺🇸@realMAG1775

100,000 troops in Europe. Zero help on Hormuz. Bring them home now. No more free rides.

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Waveofthefuture
Waveofthefuture@Sustain_VA·
@midlifeguy548 @JBlunt1018 Won Kim Ark’s parents did not have ability to become naturalized US citizens at that time because of anti-Asian Chinese Exclusion Act of 1882. (Passed after their arrival in the United States)
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neil chernoff
neil chernoff@midlifeguy548·
@GretchenCarlson Out of 848 active generals and admirals. Like Spinal Tap, you amplifier has an 11 setting… or is it 1,000 when it comes to Trump.
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Gretchen Carlson
Gretchen Carlson@GretchenCarlson·
This is truly frightening
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86

Twenty-six generals and admirals in fourteen months. No misconduct cited for a single one. A former Fox News weekend host who never held a senior military command has removed the Joint Chiefs Chairman, the Army Chief of Staff, the commander of Army Transformation and Training, the Chief of Chaplains, and at least 22 other senior officers from the most powerful military on earth. He blocked four Army officers from promotion to brigadier general, two Black men and two women, by unilaterally striking their names from a list of 36. When Army Secretary Dan Driscoll refused to remove them, Hegseth did it himself. No hearing. No review board. No Senate consultation. The names were struck because the man who reads the list decided they should not be on it. The pattern is not random. It is architectural. Every removal serves the same function: shortening the distance between a presidential decision and its execution. The officers who remain are the ones who did not resist. The officers who resisted are gone. The replacement for the Army Chief of Staff is Vice Chief General Christopher LaNeve, who served as Hegseth’s personal military aide. The man who carried the briefcase now signs the orders. The chain of command has been rebuilt so that every link answers directly to the man who removed the previous link. General Randy George was the commander of the United States Army’s ground forces. That title matters now in a way it did not matter six weeks ago. Before February 28, ground forces in Iran were a theoretical exercise discussed in war colleges and think tanks. After five weeks of air strikes, with the IRGC publishing bridge target lists across four allied nations, with the President saying the military has “not even started” destroying what remains, with MEUs staged in the Gulf and the 82nd Airborne deploying and JSOC operators at forward bases in four countries, the ground option is no longer theoretical. It is a logistics package. And the man whose job was to assess whether that package should be opened was told to retire the same day the President posted “much more to follow.” Lieutenant General Hodne ran the command that trains every soldier who would execute a ground operation. Major General Green led the chaplain corps that would minister to every soldier who dies in one. George decided whether the operation should happen. Hodne prepared the soldiers to carry it out. Green prepared them to live with it. All three were removed on the same afternoon. Congress has not held a hearing. No subpoenas issued. The legal authority for a Defence Secretary to unilaterally override promotion lists and force immediate retirement of Senate-confirmed officers during wartime has not been tested because nobody with the authority to question it has chosen to. The IRGC has said attacks will “intensify from next week.” The Ford carrier is heading back. The CNN intelligence assessment confirms half of Iran’s launchers and thousands of drones remain. The President has named the next targets: power plants, desalination, oil wells, Kharg Island. And every general who might have said “this crosses a line” is already gone. Twenty-six officers. Zero misconduct findings. One question that every general still serving is asking behind closed doors: who is left to say no? And what happens when the answer is nobody? open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

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neil chernoff
neil chernoff@midlifeguy548·
Chicago spend $27k per pupil in public schools. Only 34% can pass 8th grade algebra. Why isn’t the education high quality? Dodd Frank (D) killed new condos which are the entry point for home ownership. Anyone poor or old has Medicaid or Medicare. Another 60% have employer insurance. I call bullshit.
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Rahm Emanuel
Rahm Emanuel@RahmEmanuel·
The country needs to focus on helping Americans achieve and secure the American dream. That means first-time homeownership, affordable healthcare, and a high-quality education for every child—not just the lucky few. We all know the system is rigged for the top 10% of Americans who inherit the American dream, and the rest are given the shaft. Heads, they win; tails, the rest of America loses. It’s time to level the playing field and make the American Dream a reality for everyone, not just the chosen few.
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neil chernoff
neil chernoff@midlifeguy548·
@SpencerGuard @welt Did you know that when journalists opine on topics they know nothing about, it is a war crime… and genocide as well!
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John Spencer
John Spencer@SpencerGuard·
WAR CRIMES!! They say. Attacking Iran's power plants is a War Crime they say... I want to thank this journalist, listed as Chief Correspondent for @welt , one of Germany’s largest and most influential publications, for highlighting a massive problem: journalists declaring, adjudicating, and issuing verdicts on war crimes while demonstrating little understanding of the law of armed conflict or military history. This is not a small issue. It is global. And it should concern anyone who cares about journalism, fact-checking, and the integrity of the law of armed conflict. No, it is not explicitly unlawful or automatically a war crime to attack an enemy’s electricity grid. Under the law of armed conflict, such targets can be lawful if they provide a military advantage and strikes meet proportionality, distinction, and precaution. Under the law of armed conflict, such targets can be lawful if they provide a military advantage. Every strike must still be judged under proportionality, distinction, and precaution. That is where the real legal debate belongs. We can argue effectiveness. But history is clear. This has been done repeatedly, each case shaped by its own context: Korea (1950–1953): U.S. forces attacked hydroelectric facilities in North Korea late in the war to pressure the regime. 1991 Gulf War: Coalition air forces deliberately targeted Iraq’s national electrical grid to disrupt command and control, air defenses, and military logistics. The grid was largely incapacitated within weeks. Kosovo (1999): NATO struck Serbia’s electrical system, including using graphite bombs to disrupt transmission. Iraq War (2003): The approach was different from 1991, but the U.S./Coalition was more restrained on the national grid to avoid humanitarian collapse. It still selected and struck electrical and dual use nodes tied to military systems, especially early in the campaign.
Clemens Wergin@clemenswergin

@SpencerGuard Good article apart from the fact that I think you should discuss if an attack on Iran's energy infrastructure would be a war crime

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Defiant L’s
Defiant L’s@DefiantLs·
Jeffrey Sachs: "We need a global government."
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neil chernoff
neil chernoff@midlifeguy548·
@avidseries Are Iran’s “core interests” rational interests. Do they further the welfare of the average Iranian? Different cultures really are different. Say it until you believe it. When core interests are different enough, conflict ensues. Diversity is not always strength.
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i/o@avidseries·
There is nothing in the DNA of the Iranian regime that would permit it to surrender most of its core interests (such as development of its missile programs and the retention of its proxies), and it isn't going to negotiate its way toward giving up power. Its only consideration is its survival and the fulfillment of its apocalyptic religious mission. It will do anything to stay in power, even if that includes slaughtering its own populace, allowing important infrastructure and the economy to be destroyed, and wrecking its relationships with neighboring states. And don't even think about outmaneuvering them at the negotiating table. Iranians have been negotiating with each other for millennia in their marketplaces and social relations. They are much better at it than Americans. (The pathetic Obama deal, if anything, is proof of that.) The Israelis have (belatedly) assessed that the regime will not fall purely through the application of overwhelming military superiority. Every signal I am seeing from ordinary people inside Iran suggests a pessimism about participating in mass protests against the regime. (Admittedly, the Internet blackout makes it difficult to determine the state of mind of Iranians.) But the plain fact remains that without organized and aggressive mass protests and boycotts, the regime will not collapse, and while American "boots on the ground" could conceivably be successful in conducting some limited special operations on Iranian soil, any attempt to launch a full-scale invasion of the country in order to affect regime change is as likely to fail as succeed, at great cost to American lives. The idea that the US military could control for very long a city as vast as Tehran against the IRGC and Basij without an alliance with the Iranian regular army seems farfetched, to say the least. What have US and Israel achieved so far? They've set Iran's nuke and missile program back a few years. What has Iran achieved? They've shown that, despite being militarily trounced, they are perfectly capable of shaping the course of a conflict with the US by attacking economically fragile neighbors, destroying or neutralizing some of America's military assets in the region, closing the Gulf to shipping and impacting the global economy, instilling enough fear in its own population to get it to stand down, showing the Gulf States that an alliance with the US against Iran offers only limited value and may in fact be a net liability, and proving its institutional resilience despite the loss of almost its entire senior leadership. Iran came to the battle fully prepared, the US didn't. It doesn't matter how many targets the US and Israel have hit. If the regime doesn't fall, the Iranian regime, now more hardened than ever, will have won.
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neil chernoff
neil chernoff@midlifeguy548·
@CoreyWriting Might be low, but not zero. My Indian American neighbor was dealing crack and running a bordello out of the house. Was arrested while naked chasing one of his prostitutes around the neighborhood.
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neil chernoff
neil chernoff@midlifeguy548·
@ReOpenChris FPI is all women along with Esteban to provide male perspective.
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neil chernoff
neil chernoff@midlifeguy548·
@piersmorgan It is not that you have to be a US Citizen to have opinions or express them... its that you are running a business whose primary purpose seems to be to spread maximum dissension in the US while making lots of money for yourself.
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neil chernoff
neil chernoff@midlifeguy548·
@neeratanden I lived in CA for 14 years. The land is gorgeous. The progressive politicians are not.
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neil chernoff
neil chernoff@midlifeguy548·
@CollinRugg Both Israelis and Palestinians perform for the cameras. Does the presence of "journalist" camera crews help defuse the situation or do they inflame the situation?
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Collin Rugg
Collin Rugg@CollinRugg·
NEW: CNN photojournalist put in a chokehold by Israeli soldiers before the entire CNN crew was detained in the West Bank. CNN says the crew was detained for two hours. The Israeli military has released the following statement to CNN: “The actions and behavior of the soldiers in the incident are incompatible with what is expected of IDF (Israel Defense Forces) soldiers operating in the Judea and Samaria area.” They also noted that the incident would be “thoroughly reviewed.” Source: @JDiamond1
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neil chernoff
neil chernoff@midlifeguy548·
@AlexNowrasteh ACS data, itself for incarcerated individuals is very “iffy”. Sometimes the person answers questions themselves, sometimes by proxies. Often illiterate. You are relying on the respondents to incriminate themselves. Really? Why are you shilling so hard for illegal?
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The Alex Nowrasteh
The Alex Nowrasteh@AlexNowrasteh·
We don't count citizens as a separate category at all. We use a straightforward residual statistical method to estimate the illegal, legal, and native-born population in prison and the population. Citizens are not broken out. It's all detailed here. cato.org/briefing-paper…
The Alex Nowrasteh tweet media
Ann Coulter@AnnCoulter

Cato doesn't count illegal aliens vs. citizens. It counts illegal aliens who've already been fingerprinted by Border Patrol as illegals, and EVERYBODY ELSE as "American citizen."

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Emma Camp
Emma Camp@emmma_camp_·
Shoplifting (yes, even from Duane Reade) is wrong. Here's why:
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