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We must become multiplanetary and then multistellar to pass the Great Filter that may have yet to be encountered.
The Kardashev scale is waiting to be climbed.
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Baryonic Lord
1.6K posts
Baryonic Lord
@outcaster833
Humanity, AI, the Universe. The Cosmos is waiting to be explored. Also memes, memes are important.
Universe Katılım Ağustos 2013
104 Takip Edilen71 Takipçiler
@PostDisclosure @AJamesMcCarthy @DrBeaVillarroel That is the newer independent study, by a different person, made on another set of data confirming the findings
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Beatriz Villarroel@DrBeaVillarroel
What a lovely surprise this morning! ☀️Independent detections of similar transients in European plate archives — exactly the kind of cross-validation this field needs. So it’s not just Palomar anymore. The study was carried out by a retired NASA scientist. This is how a signal begins to emerge from the noise. arxiv.org/pdf/2603.20407
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I made a comment under this post but felt it deserved a wider audience, as Bill has a huge platform.
There are far more likely explanations than aliens for the evidence we have.
I don’t think we’re alone. I just think the likeliness of seeing “visitors” in this context is such a statistical improbability that it should be the last thing ever considered, and it would take overwhelming evidence to prove.
It’s far more likely there was an IR light source out of frame creating a lens flare, for example.
To really drive this point home, it’s FAR more likely that every single public official and witness was either incorrect or lying. It’s also FAR more likely equipment malfunctioned. It’s also FAR more likely a foreign (but human) military developed some form of exotic propulsion that seems to defy the laws of physics.
All these explanations are orders of magnitude more likely than detecting the presence of an intelligent non-human species dancing around fighter jets. It’s possible, but to entertain it as a likely explanation is just silly.
Bill Maher@billmaher
If you don’t believe aliens are here and observing us, maybe you’re the conspiracy theorist.
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@AJamesMcCarthy @DrBeaVillarroel Here is the main peer reviewed paperhttps://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1538-3873/ae0afe
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@outcaster833 @DrBeaVillarroel I’m not, can you share them?
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Are you familiar with the recent Vasco papers by @DrBeaVillarroel about transients that disappear in Earth's shadow, found in old photographic plates from the Palomar observatory, pre-Sputnik era, early 1950s.
These act like geosynchronous satellites in Earth's orbit, before humans ever had anything up there.
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@Teslaconomics IPOs are notoriously bad for retail investors. Don't buy at listing, it will abruptly drop in price the following weeks
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I told you Elon has our backs…
If it’s true that he’s allocating 30% of the SpaceX IPO to retail investors, this could be a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for everyday people like you and me.
I’m serious when I say this.
If you’ve been waiting for your shot, start getting your $ ready now.
This IPO is going to be one of those moments people look back on and wish they didn’t miss.
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@Liv_Boeree @theaidocfilm ASI will be the greatest technology we've ever made.
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The AI doc comes out today!
Made by the folks who made “everything everywhere all at once”, it captures the AI zeitgeist better than anything I’ve seen.
Showing in theatres across the US, go see it! @theaidocfilm
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There you go, it is specifically mentioned in the paper "Aligned, Multiple-transient Events in the First Palomar Sky Survey" by Beatriz Villarroel et al., published in Publications of the Astronomical Society of the Pacific (PASP), 2025.
This paper explicitly reports a highly significant deficit of transients within Earth's umbral shadow (∼22σ compared to theoretical hemispheric coverage at geosynchronous altitude; reduced to ∼7.6σ with realistic plate-based sky coverage). It interprets this as consistent with sunlight reflections from orbiting objects, which should vanish in the shadow cone where sunlight is blocked. The shadow test is used to argue against plate defects or other non-solar explanations.
Direct link: iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…
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@davidmanheim @robinhanson Can you provide evidence to support the claim that they disappear in Earth's shadow?
I've not seen any such data
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I've reviewed public criticism of this stuff since last August and, together with this recent confirmation, I now estimate >80% chance of many >10cm artificial flat reflecting surfaces in Earth orbit pre-Sputnik.
Beatriz Villarroel@DrBeaVillarroel
What a lovely surprise this morning! ☀️Independent detections of similar transients in European plate archives — exactly the kind of cross-validation this field needs. So it’s not just Palomar anymore. The study was carried out by a retired NASA scientist. This is how a signal begins to emerge from the noise. arxiv.org/pdf/2603.20407
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@davidmanheim @robinhanson Artifacts are completely ruled out by the fact that these dissappear in Earth's shadow.
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@robinhanson 80%? Really?
I would offer to bet on that basis, since I think it's more likely these are some sort of storage / image artifact or analytical method issue - but don't think there's a clear way to retroactively determine what was happening, so I don't know how we'd resolve it.
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This guy was told for less than 5% of his wealth he could solve world hunger and when he was offered the information he asked for on how this could be accomplished he remained silent and never said a word back.
NewsWire@NewsWire_US
Elon Musk offers to pay TSA workers' salaries amid government shutdown
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@skdh Peer review and gatekeeping by string theorists is what is slowing progress in theoretical physics
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he's entirely right of course. even if you think he is wrong, at the very least physicists should think about why everyone else agrees they've lost the plot.
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@EagleworksSonny @EricRWeinstein, have a look, in relation to what you recently discussed Eric Davis on the AmericanAlchemy podcast related to zero point energy
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New paper accepted in Physical Review Research (APS):
“Emergent Quantization from a Dynamic Vacuum.”
We show the hydrogen spectrum emerges from dynamic vacuum physics, suggesting quantization may arise from a vacuum that varies in space and time.
journals.aps.org/prresearch/abs…
#physics
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@liron david shapiro is a top notch grifter and rage bait poster
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You think Eliezer Yudkowsky is a charlatan
But Geoffrey Hinton, Yoshua Bengio, Stuart Russel, Vitalik Buterin, etc, respect him
And you respect those people
But the transitive property of respect doesn't apply
Because YOU are a charlatan
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🚨 BREAKING: OPENAI CEO ALL-HANDS MEETING TRANSCRIPT LEAKED
>altman to his own employees:
>"you don't get to weigh in on that"
>regarding whether iran strikes or venezuela
>invasion were good or bad
>openai doesn't "get to make operational decisions" on how the DoD uses their AI
>hegseth makes all the calls
>also altman: admits the deal "looked opportunistic and sloppy"
>says they "shouldn't have rushed to get this out on friday"
>the friday in question: the same day anthropic got blacklisted
>so he KNOWS how this would reflect
>did it anyway
>admits it in front of the whole company
on xAI:
>"there will be at least one other actor,”
>“which I assume will be xAI"
>"which effectively will say 'We'll do whatever you want'"
>telling his employees xAI has no guardrails
>while also admitting openai's position
>"we have principles but they're negotiable"
LMFAO 💀
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So basically OpenClaw will be used by the military for actions we now currently see taken place in Iran
Scam Altman you really are a one of a kind son of a bitch.
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@cryps1s This is the shitpost of the 'occasional shitposter' right?
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Proud to be at OpenAI.
Effective, safe, and high-impact AI to directly support the men and women in our armed forces. All while respecting the law, protecting the Constitution and our rights, and setting the standard for responsible deployment.
God Bless America. 🇺🇸
Sam Altman@sama
Tonight, we reached an agreement with the Department of War to deploy our models in their classified network. In all of our interactions, the DoW displayed a deep respect for safety and a desire to partner to achieve the best possible outcome. AI safety and wide distribution of benefits are the core of our mission. Two of our most important safety principles are prohibitions on domestic mass surveillance and human responsibility for the use of force, including for autonomous weapon systems. The DoW agrees with these principles, reflects them in law and policy, and we put them into our agreement. We also will build technical safeguards to ensure our models behave as they should, which the DoW also wanted. We will deploy FDEs to help with our models and to ensure their safety, we will deploy on cloud networks only. We are asking the DoW to offer these same terms to all AI companies, which in our opinion we think everyone should be willing to accept. We have expressed our strong desire to see things de-escalate away from legal and governmental actions and towards reasonable agreements. We remain committed to serve all of humanity as best we can. The world is a complicated, messy, and sometimes dangerous place.
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That doesn't make any sense. DoW scuttles the deal with Anthropic and publicly humiliates them for standing up for their ethical principles.
But Sam Altman now manages to secure a deal based on the same principles and ethical rules for which Dario was criticized?
I'll delve into it as soon as there's more information. But right now, it doesn't make any sense.
Sam Altman@sama
Tonight, we reached an agreement with the Department of War to deploy our models in their classified network. In all of our interactions, the DoW displayed a deep respect for safety and a desire to partner to achieve the best possible outcome. AI safety and wide distribution of benefits are the core of our mission. Two of our most important safety principles are prohibitions on domestic mass surveillance and human responsibility for the use of force, including for autonomous weapon systems. The DoW agrees with these principles, reflects them in law and policy, and we put them into our agreement. We also will build technical safeguards to ensure our models behave as they should, which the DoW also wanted. We will deploy FDEs to help with our models and to ensure their safety, we will deploy on cloud networks only. We are asking the DoW to offer these same terms to all AI companies, which in our opinion we think everyone should be willing to accept. We have expressed our strong desire to see things de-escalate away from legal and governmental actions and towards reasonable agreements. We remain committed to serve all of humanity as best we can. The world is a complicated, messy, and sometimes dangerous place.
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@sama "We will deploy on cloud networks only." So mass surveillance and autonomous weapons are good to go, as long as they do not run on OpenAI servers. Is that about right Scam Altman?
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Tonight, we reached an agreement with the Department of War to deploy our models in their classified network.
In all of our interactions, the DoW displayed a deep respect for safety and a desire to partner to achieve the best possible outcome.
AI safety and wide distribution of benefits are the core of our mission. Two of our most important safety principles are prohibitions on domestic mass surveillance and human responsibility for the use of force, including for autonomous weapon systems. The DoW agrees with these principles, reflects them in law and policy, and we put them into our agreement.
We also will build technical safeguards to ensure our models behave as they should, which the DoW also wanted. We will deploy FDEs to help with our models and to ensure their safety, we will deploy on cloud networks only.
We are asking the DoW to offer these same terms to all AI companies, which in our opinion we think everyone should be willing to accept. We have expressed our strong desire to see things de-escalate away from legal and governmental actions and towards reasonable agreements.
We remain committed to serve all of humanity as best we can. The world is a complicated, messy, and sometimes dangerous place.
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