FinanceCrypt0Bull #standwithcrypto🔻📈
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FinanceCrypt0Bull #standwithcrypto🔻📈
@r1e55y
CryptoInvest since early 2014 #News #investment #smartmoney #wealth #Cryptovalley #standwithcrypto #Photographer
Katılım Ocak 2018
1.6K Takip Edilen1.5K Takipçiler
@Megatron_ron Trump is begging for a photo with iran
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NEW: 🇺🇸🇮🇹 Trump mocked Italy's PM Meloni, saying she begged for a photo, per Reuters
“I wouldn't have taken it, but I FELT SORRY for her... She's probably happy I talked to her. I didn't have to talk to her,” said Trump in an interview to the La7 TV channel
Meloni immediately released a video in which she claimed that this was a brutal lie on Trump's part and that neither she nor Italy ever begged.
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🇺🇸🇨🇳 China crashed global oil prices on purpose to hand Washington exactly the cushion it wanted.
Dr. Anas Alhajji, an energy market expert, says everyone picking apart the new MOU is watching the wrong player entirely. The real force behind this one sits in Beijing.
In his read, the deal is a byproduct of the US and China carving up global resources between them.
He says China engineered the whole thing by slashing huge amounts of its own oil imports, dragging global demand down and forcing prices low, which handed Washington precisely the economic breathing room it was hunting for.
So while the headlines sell this as a concession to Iran, Alhajji sees two superpowers splitting the board, with Tehran playing a side character.
@anasalhajji
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
The deeper I get into this war, the more convinced I am it was never really about Iran. It started with China, and according to Anas Alhajji, it ended with China too His read is that the MOU isn't a concession to Iran at all. It's the US and China quietly dividing up the spoils. Notice the timing. The moment Trump left China, everything changed, the rhetoric cooled, the ships started moving, the deal accelerated And China outplayed Trump at every turn. He thought he had leverage with LNG and oil exports, until China simply replaced US supply with Russia. They cut imports, filled their reserves, leaned on floating storage, and stayed two to three weeks ahead of EVERY American move, from Venezuela to Maduro to Iran. Either they have direct lines in, or they're listening. Here's the catch Anas kept coming back to: the US can choke Hormuz, but starving China would take eight or nine months, long enough to collapse the world economy first The wildest part? Anas believes those US strikes near Hormuz mid-negotiation were a favor to Tehran, wiping out IRGC holdouts who refused the deal and were building toll infrastructure of their own. @anasalhajji
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Iran to get access to $6bn of frozen funds to buy US goods ft.trib.al/JW7UJPm
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Soooo... Y'all ready for something to pop off in the Persian Gulf this weekend? Something is coming that's gonna send oil higher.
Maybe it's just enough that Cramer is trolling bulls 🤷
Notice how it's reacting to this trend line on the 30m.
Notice the MACD lines and RSI curls on the 3h.
Notice the bullish divergence on the MACD histo 3h.
Mr Market done got everyone to trash their oil longs. Errrrbody moved to one side of the boat.
Have any ships transit the straight? How many out of 130?
Is Israel done bombing?
How's Cushing doing?
SPR?
Saw a few long time bulls capitulate today. (I went longER)
Now we flip. Let er rip.
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FinanceCrypt0Bull #standwithcrypto🔻📈 retweetledi
WTI oil has now fallen from its peak of $119 to $85, which is promising for the inflation outlook. Yet, the forward contract remains near its March high at $74 while oil inventories continue to fall. Finding an offramp from the Iran conflict is a race against time that the markets seem willing to bet on. I’m not so convinced.
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Teherans Atomprogramm: Größter Streitpunkt zwischen USA und Iran noch nicht geklärt n-tv.de/politik/Groess…
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Adnoc tells its customers to resume loading its crude oil from ports within the Persian Gulf, the company says in a notice to customers seen by Bloomberg and corroborated by multiple term lifters bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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FinanceCrypt0Bull #standwithcrypto🔻📈 retweetledi
JUST IN: 🇮🇱🇱🇧 Israel says it is continuing military strikes against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon.
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US crude just hit $73.
📉Down 39% from the $119 March peak.
The market has officially priced the war as over.
Let me tell you what $73 oil is actually pricing in:
✅ Hormuz fully reopened and flows normalized
✅ Qatar LNG back at 100% capacity
✅ SPR being replenished
✅ Tankers freely transiting the Gulf
✅ Inflation falling, demand recovering
Now let me tell you what's actually happening:
❌ PetroChina couldn't find a tanker to load Iraqi crude this week
❌ Freight rates are still 3x pre-war levels
❌ Hormuz traffic: 29 ships in 5 days, 62% running dark
❌ Qatar capacity: 17% damaged for 3-5 years
❌ US SPR: lowest since 1983, still drawing
❌ Jeff Currie: normalization "not until year-end at the earliest"
The financial market is pricing a political headline.
The physical market is pricing a broken supply chain.
$73 oil with empty SPRs, crippled Hormuz traffic, and damaged Qatari infrastructure is not a relief rally.
It's the biggest disconnect between financial and physical markets I've seen in this crisis.
And disconnects this large don't close slowly.
Full analysis in my article.
Link in the comments 👇
Image Source: Bull Theory
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FinanceCrypt0Bull #standwithcrypto🔻📈 retweetledi
FinanceCrypt0Bull #standwithcrypto🔻📈 retweetledi
FinanceCrypt0Bull #standwithcrypto🔻📈 retweetledi
BREAKING: Iran warns of cancelling all upcoming negotiations, re-imposing the full Hormuz blockade and responding with missiles over the direct violation of the US-Iran MOU's first clause, with Israel continuing military aggressions in southern Lebanon, including last night, despite explicit commitment from the first clause to end the war and guarantee Lebanese sovereignty, per Tasnim.
Iran explicitly rejects any "theater from Trump" about Netanyahu being rogue, and now Friday's Geneva meeting to launch the first round of 30-day technical talks between Vance and Ghalibaf is on hold over the violation, as no trip has been confirmed or scheduled just 24 hours after the MOU was electronically signed.
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FinanceCrypt0Bull #standwithcrypto🔻📈 retweetledi
Traders haven't realised yet that Cushing tank bottoms were reached LAST WEEK, and we are now already beyond that threshold - I believe they will realise soon when they won't find enough oil to settle their future contracts and the panic in the market kicks off
JustDario@DarioCpx
Because trading algorithms are hard-wired to headlines, especially to anything Trump says, the whole market is max short right when the crude oil supply crunch is about to bite. These types of market dislocations don't correct gently, but abruptly. Be ready for the unthinkable.
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FinanceCrypt0Bull #standwithcrypto🔻📈 retweetledi
This is what it looks like from northern Israel right now.
I'm sure Jolani will know what to do with this, right, Trump?
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FinanceCrypt0Bull #standwithcrypto🔻📈 retweetledi
This was all a lie JD.
The MOU we reported Friday was actually accurate.
No wonder why you didn’t want to release the text.
Total surrender.
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@MOSSADil At the end just a MoU... nothing more.
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NEW:
This is the full text of MOU released by US
Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding between the U.S. and the Islamic Republic of Iran:
1 — The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran and their allies in the current war are signing this MOU to declare the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon, and undertake from now on not to initiate any war or any military operation against each other, and to refrain from the threat or use of force against each other, and ensuring the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Lebanon. The final deal will confirm the permanent termination of the war on all fronts, including in Lebanon and other provisions of this paragraph.
2 — The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran undertake to respect each other’s sovereignty and territorial integrity and to refrain from interfering in each other’s internal affairs.
3 — The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran commit to negotiating and achieving the final deal in maximum 60 days, extendable with mutual consent.
4 — immediately upon the signing of this MOU, the United States of America will begin the removal of its naval blockade and any disturbances or impediments against the Islamic Republic of Iran, and will fully end the naval blockade within 30 days. During this period, the traffic of vessels will be in proportion to the numbers of pre-war traffic being restored by the Islamic Republic of Iran. The United States of America further undertakes to remove its forces from the proximity of the Islamic Republic of Iran within 30 days after the final deal.
5 — Upon the signing of this MOU, the Islamic Republic of Iran will make arrangements using its best efforts for the safe passage of commercial vessels with no charge, for 60 days only, from the Persian Gulf to the Sea of Oman and vice versa. The traffic of commercial vessels will immediately start, and considering the need for removing the technical and military obstacles and demining by the Islamic Republic of Iran will be instated within 30 days. The Islamic Republic of Iran will conduct dialog with the Sultanate of Oman to define the future administration and maritime services in the Strait of Hormuz in discussion with other Persian Gulf littoral states in line with the applicable international law and the sovereign rights of coastal states of the Strait of Hormuz.
6 — The United States of America undertakes with regional partners to develop a definitive, mutually agreed plan with at least USD 300 billion for the reconstruction and economic development of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The mechanism for the implementation of this plan will be finalized as part of a final deal within 60 days. All required licenses, waivers, and permissions needed for the relevant financial transactions will be granted by the United States of America.
7 — The United States of America undertakes to terminate all types of sanctions against the Islamic Republic of Iran, including the United Nations Security Council resolutions, IAEA Board of Governors resolutions, all unilateral US sanctions, primary and secondary in an agreed upon schedule as part of the final deal. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States of America acknowledge the critical importance of the sanctions termination issue above mentioned, and expressed their intentions to immediately address these issues in the negotiations in order to achieve mutual agreement on them.
8 — The Islamic Republic of Iran reaffirms that it shall not procure or develop nuclear weapons. The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran have agreed to resolve the disposition of stockpile enriched material pursuant to a mechanism that will be mutually agreed upon in accordance with the schedule mentioned in paragraph seven with the minimum methodology to be down blended on site under the supervision of the IAEA. The two parties also agreed to discuss the issue of enrichment and other mutually agreed matters related to the Islamic Republic of Iran’s nuclear needs, based on a satisfactory framework being agreed upon in the final deal. The final deal will confirm the provisions of this paragraph and the Islamic Republic of Iran acknowledge the critical importance of the nuclear issues above missions. They express their intention to immediately address these issues in the negotiations in order to achieve mutual agreement on them.
9 — Pending the final deal, the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran agree to maintain the status quo. The Islamic Republic of Iran will maintain the current status quo of its nuclear program, and the United States of America will not impose any new sanctions and will not deploy additional forces in the region.
10 — The United States of America undertakes that immediately upon the signing of this MOU and until the termination of sanctions, US Department of Treasury will issue waivers for the export of Iranian crude oil, petroleum products, and derivatives, and all associated services, including banking transactions, insurances, transportation, etc.
11 — The United States of America undertakes to make fully available for use the frozen or restricted funds and assets of the Islamic Republic of Iran upon the implementation of this MOU. The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran will mutually agree on the procedures related to the release of these funds during negotiations. Such funds, whether obtaining the original account or transfer, shall be made fully usable for payment to any ultimate beneficiary designed by the Central Bank, excuse me, ultimate beneficiary designated by the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The United States of America undertakes to issue all necessary licenses and authorizations accordingly.
12 — The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran agree that an executive mechanism will be established to monitor the successful implementation of this MOU and the future compliance of the final deal.
13 — After signing this MOU, and subject to the beginning of the implementation of paragraphs 1, 4, 5, 10, and 11 of this MOU, and the continuing implementation of these measures, the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran will start negotiations regarding the final deal exclusively on the other paragraphs.
14 — The final deal will be endorsed by a binding UNSC resolution.
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