Rafi Syed
5.5K posts

Rafi Syed
@rafi
General Partner at Bow Capital. Previously @BessemerVP @Khoslaventures and @Foursquare when it was still cool
🤯 Katılım Aralık 2009
413 Takip Edilen3.7K Takipçiler

5 VC funds 50%+ of all VC LP capital in the last year.
Chris Fralic@chrisfralic
“In recent months, Thrive Capital, Andreessen Horowitz and Lightspeed Venture Partners raised $34 billion, half of the money all U.S. VC funds raised last year. Overall venture fundraising sank 34% to just under $68 billion last year, according to PitchBook.”
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@endowment_eddie I run a small buy in friendly game at my apt in Fort Greene - swing by!
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@chrissyfarr Walk from the base of the harbour bridge towards rose bay and go for as long as you can
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As a founder with 3 kids, here are some family rituals I'm really happy we stuck to in 2025. Sharing in case this inspires/helps others for 2026.
1. Family Shabbats every Friday (Blessings, songs, dinner).
2. One-on-one overnight trip with each of my kids. (Thanks @lessin for the inspiration)
3. One multi-generational trip to Yosemite for Rosh Hashana.
4. Weekly Saturday morning hike date with my wife (got a 3hr babysitter)
5. Short "Aba lesson" whiteboard sessions at dinner table teaching concepts on how the world works (e.g. plumbing, elevators, dental fillings, internet...)
Happy to share more on the logistics etc if anyone has q's.
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One question that every seed investor should be asking themselves right now is whether they should be focusing more on early traction rounds, as opposed to pre-product investing.
In the past couple months, we've met a few teams raising rounds at $30M-$40M post-valuation who have real traction ($1-$4m ARR).
As a seed investor, would you rather invest in one of these rounds at $40m post or a pre-product seed round that calls itself an AI company at a $20M-$30M post? They're basically priced the same.
Some of the early tractions teams call these rounds "seed extensions," and others stretch it to a Series A label.
For whatever reason, they haven't been treated as "hot companies" by the Series A market, but they're building very solid businesses that are growing well.
I haven't come up with an exact terminology for these companies. They're generally not pure-play AI deals, but are often utilizing AI in interesting ways. The headline on the deck doesn't read AI deal, but they're real businesses.
For the sake of this essay, let's just call them "AI tweeners".
There is a temptation to invest in what is new (ie the brand new AI company raising at $20-$30m post) because you're investing in a cool story & get to help bring a new company to market & call yourself the lead.
But maybe the $40m "AI tweener" is a better bet. By paying a slight premium, you invest in a company that's figured a lot out, has revenue, and is building in a category that likely has less competition.
The challenge with investing in the $40M post is that you likely called yourself a seed firm to all of your limited partners, so your entry price is going to look like what has historically been called a Series A. Is this strategy drift, or is it being a good investor?
If your goal is to build the highest performing portfolio, investing in "AI tweeners" is the part of market that is likely most undervalued right now.
So maybe you should stop calling yourself a seed fund & invest in early traction companies while the rest of the market is obsessed with finding the next hot pre-product seed deal.
Just some thoughts.
Originally written as a response to a tweet by @yrechtman, but creating a separate essay so more people can hopefully read it.
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@RakeshSFNYC @bryce You can’t really be actively investing in new companies out of two funds simultaneously (if strategy is the same for each fund), so older funds fee calculation base steps down meaning it’s 2% of smaller number over time.
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@bryce It's funnier the way I describe it. 😀
The bigger issue I have is those who run multiple funds concurrently and charge the 2% to each (when not adding resources).
But then I'm a minuscule LP, so what I think doesn't matter.
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Conveniently fails to mention that management fees come off the top when returns are generated for LP.
More of a non-recourse loan against future returns but that’s not as scandalous of a tweet…
Ankur Nagpal@ankurnagpal
A dirty secret about venture capital most people don't understand: The actual management fees charged by VC funds is 20%, not 2% You have to pay the fee for all 10 years, even if the fund only invests for 1-2 years On a $1B fund, the fund manager makes $200M no matter what
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I know music isn’t why people follow me, BUT this is the best new band I have come across in 5 years. I predict they become quite successful. Deservedly. spotify.link/4rDlmBtBVXb
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@rfkenmore It’s all terrible, entireworld was good for a minute (RIP), anonymous ism is ok
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