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@riceforthought

Capital implies you're building wealth LT fundamentals/macro + ST opportunity

Katılım Nisan 2013
1.8K Takip Edilen629 Takipçiler
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Saam
Saam@riceforthought·
Should $DBRG Digitalbridge be taken private? CEO Ganzi has mentioned how private multiples are at least 2x public comps. Maybe a full take private by IFM?
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Justin Spittler
Justin Spittler@JSpitTrades·
Agentic voice AI will be a major theme soon... Twilio $TWLO just reported a 60% YoY increase in its voice AI revenue in their latest earnings report. TWLO popped 24% Friday on that news. $BAND reported that its voice solutions grew 12% YoY during its latest earnings call... with AI‑influenced usage called out as a tailwind. BAND is up 86% in just two days since its report. $FIVN also reported earnings last week. It reported a 68% YoY increase in AI revenue thanks it part to strong voice AI demand. FIVN spiked 29% on Friday on that report. $RNG is another software company with AI voice solutions. These include an AI Receptionist / AI phone agent for automating customer interactions and handling missed calls. RNG broke on Friday due to the TWLO report. It finished the day up 12% and recorded its highest daily close in over three years. RNG is set to report earnings on Thursday. I wouldn't be surprised they too report strong AI voice demand. Soundhound $SOUN - the best AI voice stock - pure play is also reporting earnings on Thursday. I also expect SOUN to report strong demand for its AI voice solutions. In fact, the market is already starting to price this in... SOUN popped 20% on Friday in sympathy with Twilio's strong report.
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PIK Toggle
PIK Toggle@piktoggle_·
Thinking about starting a small, invite-only network in NYC across PE, HF, AI. Quarterly dinners and idea exchange. Shoot me a DM with your title and firm if you have interest and think that you would add to the room.
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Saam
Saam@riceforthought·
@anistotle_ Np will delete my comment too
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Saam
Saam@riceforthought·
@borrowed_ideas $meta uses off balance sheet financing like SPVs
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Saam
Saam@riceforthought·
@Borlaug_ PE exists because of incompetent managers.
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Saam
Saam@riceforthought·
@jam_croissant Cem, the Fed will when they restart QE…
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The Grumpy New York Sports Fan
@IntradayCycles There is a reason is following more people than he has followers. He is just trying to ragebait you to get more via interaction with you 👍🏼
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Saam
Saam@riceforthought·
@IntradayCycles Hi Nicholas, quick one for you. Why are you posting the inverse? Just wondering bc I noticed it last month as well. Thanks!
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Nicholas D. Savino
Nicholas D. Savino@IntradayCycles·
Here is $SPX May 2026 Forecast, also posted is the inverse. The charts are not scaled for Price.
Nicholas D. Savino tweet mediaNicholas D. Savino tweet media
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Saam
Saam@riceforthought·
@WarrenPies Show me a legitimate ROI on capex spend and I’ll believe you.
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Warren Pies
Warren Pies@WarrenPies·
Earnings boom really accelerating. Forward estimates now up >25% YOY. Passing through the first part of Q1 reporting, forward estimates are leveling up. Updated chart below...Unprecedented.
Warren Pies tweet media
Warren Pies@WarrenPies

A historic earnings boom is developing. Estimates growing faster than they did in the mid-90s or late internet bubble years. Only covid recovery period saw a greater inflection. This boom is unique b/c it is not coming off an EPS drawdown (recovery).

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“paula”
“paula”@paularambles·
they call them crisps there
“paula” tweet media
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SouthernValue
SouthernValue@SouthernValue95·
This is who you are up against: I estimate that roughly 42% of the S&P500 consists of AI stocks (I define loosely as that being the dominant accelerant in their business / stock impact). $SPY (Not including businesses like $FERG that have benefitted from AI but DCs are a MSD % of the business, and not including $AAPL).
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Ben Kizemchuk
Ben Kizemchuk@BenKizemchuk·
It’s one thing to watch smile compress during a drawdown as otm options mechanically roll toward atm. It’s quite another to see smile collapse during a sharp rally, as market participants abandon hedges and fire‑sale insurance into a market‑wide squeeze. This is not the sign of organic risk improvement. Tail protection is now thin precisely as implied correlation finds a floor. This kind of hedge capitulation tends to amplify fragility. The removal of downside insurance sets the stage for sharper, less forgiving repricing when the next shock arrives.
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Tina
Tina@moreproteinbars·
@TheSpeculator0 It’s also people outside investment banking and trading who misunderstand titles and job functions/pay.
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Saam retweetledi
Kevin C. Smith, CFA
Kevin C. Smith, CFA@crescatkevin·
Free cash flow race to the bottom.
Kevin C. Smith, CFA tweet media
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mediocrebuysideanalyst
@rich_toad Two years at 24-26 earning 750k a year is a horrendous trade definitely… oh wait I may have to go back to Apollo I’m so fucked… this career is long and winding go where you can learn the most and keep reevaluating. There are better and worst seats but this is a shitty axiom
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Toad Capital
Toad Capital@rich_toad·
Chasing Tiger Cubs might be the worst way to build a hedge-fund career.
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Patient Investor
Patient Investor@patientinvestor·
What happened to Clorox? $CLX
Patient Investor tweet media
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