Randa Slim

79.8K posts

Randa Slim

Randa Slim

@rmslim

Distinguished Fellow and Program Lead, Middle East Program, @Stimsoncenter & Non Resident Senior Fellow @SAISHopkins FPI @FPI_SAIS. These views are my own.

OH, Washington DC & Beirut Katılım Şubat 2011
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Hasan T. Alhasan حسن الحسن
Consider this nightmare scenario: Trump keeps at it for few more weeks/months, fails to dislodge IRN regime and works out a deal instead: a partial restoration of shipping & side payments to IRGC. The global economy adjusts, but the Gulf states stay held to ransom by Iran.
Al Jazeera Breaking News@AJENews

BREAKING: US may ‘unsanction’ Iranian oil to ease pressure from US-Israeli war roiling energy markets 🔴 LIVE updates: aje.news/fs4nzb?update=…

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Eran Etzion ערן עציון
ראש ממשלת לבנון מודיע על נכונות מדינתו למשא ומתן ישיר עם ישראל, ומבקש מטראמפ לתווך. זה מהלך היסטורי. אסור לתת לנתניהו וממשלת החורבן להשמיד גם אותו. כן למשא ומתן. לא למלחמת-שולל נוספת, מלחמת לבנון רביעית.
Hiba Nasr@HibaNasr

‼️Lebanon PM @nawafsalam says Lebanon is ready for direct negotiations with Israel. Adding: President Trump, more than anyone else, can play a decisive role in bringing this war to an end.

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Karim Emile Bitar
Karim Emile Bitar@karimbitar·
🇱🇧 The Beirut Annunciation Orthodox College mourns the loss of Jad Kobeissi, a Grade 9 student, who tragically passed away following an Israeli airstrike that struck his building. (…) He was “a kind and vibrant soul whose warmth, humility, and smile touched all who knew him.”🕯️
Karim Emile Bitar tweet media
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Michael Young
Michael Young@BeirutCalling·
Those supporting Lebanese-Israeli peace have taken Jumblatt to task for this report, which still needs to be verified, but miss several important points: (1) He's not going to harm his strategic alliance with Nabih Berri over peace negotiations toward which there is no consensus in Lebanon; (2) He's not going to heighten tensions between the Druze and Shiite communities over peace negotiations toward which there is no consensus in Lebanon; (3) What does peace mean in light of the fact that Israel will likely occupy a swath of land in the south for an open-ended period of time, barring the return of hundreds of thousands of people? (4) Without a Lebanese consensus, all talk of a peace agreement is largely aspirational, because the reality on the ground won't permit it; worse, Lebanon will enter such negotiations without any cards, so it may look more like a surrender. I'm not debating the merits or demerits of peace, but unless one takes into consideration the positioning of the sectarian leaders, all talk of peace will quickly hit a brick wall.
El Marfaa - المرفأ@ElMarfaa

من جديد يثبت وليد جنبلاط حرصه على الداخل. يتمايز وينفرد بمواقفه، يخاصم هذا ويعادي ذاك، ولكن حين تكون الوحدة الوطنيّة هي الأساس لا يحيد الرجل عن خطّه. تؤكّد معلومات "المرفأ" أنّ جنبلاط أبلغ أصحاب الشأن أنّه لن يسمّي ممثّلًا عنه للمفاوضات مع العدوّ دون إجماع لبناني كامل. وتضيف المعلومات أنّ جنبلاط لا يرفض إرسال موفد في حال غياب ممثّل عن الطائفة الشيعيّة فقط لا غير، وإنّما يشترط حصول توافق وطني جامع في هذا الإطار، إذ إنّه لا يريد أن يشترك في 17 أيّار جديد بعد 42 عامًا من مساهمته هو بإسقاط 17 أيّار القديم، في 6 شباط 1984. #المرفأ #لبنان #وليد_جنبلاط #المفاوضات #ElMarfaa

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Adam Schwarz
Adam Schwarz@AdamJSchwarz·
Japanese PM Sanae Takaichi's reaction as Trump says "Who knows better about surprise than Japan? Why didn't you tell me about Pearl Habour?" Undoubtedly the worst American diplomatic gaffe in post-war US-Japan history.
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Aleksey Berezutski 🇷🇺🎖
🚨BREAKING NEWS Qatar Gas CEO : We incurred a $20 billion loss at the facility we built for $26 billion two years ago.
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Aaron David Miller
Aaron David Miller@aarondmiller2·
The truly sad/tragic thing about this is that Trump has turned his war of choice into one of necessity. He can’t/won’t back down now because Iran has leverage over Straits and Gulf. Hard to imagine barring some truly unanticipated event that we won’t be in this for months.
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Randa Slim@rmslim·
@annmarie What is the alternative? They are stuck in this US choice because of their failure @developing an integrated regional security architecture. Unless they invest in that going forward, they will remain dependent on US. Neither China, nor Russia & definitely not EU are alternatives
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Annmarie Hordern
Annmarie Hordern@annmarie·
WSJ: Arab governments were furious about Israel’s attack and the U.S. failure to head it off, officials said. They had aggressively lobbied the Trump administration to stop U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure and now feel a target has been put on their backs, they said… America’s Arab allies are now fuming that they don’t seem to have any influence with the Trump administration despite heavy investments of time and money.
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Shira Efron
Shira Efron@ShiraEfron·
In my new oped for the NYT I argue that the Israeli campaign could backfire if deemed as a fight against Lebanon and not only Hezbollah. @POTUS should not only ensure no military overreach but also seize a rare diplomatic opening nytimes.com/2026/03/19/opi… via @NYTOpinion
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Gregg Carlstrom
Gregg Carlstrom@glcarlstrom·
Because it's often getting lost in the discussion here, this is a partial list of Iran's attacks on energy *before* the Israeli strike on South Pars: - Ras Laffan LNG complex in Qatar - Ras Tanura oil refinery in Saudi - hundreds of drone attacks on Saudi oil fields - Ruwais refinery in Abu Dhabi - Shah gas field in Abu Dhabi - port of Fujairah - Bapco oil refinery in Bahrain The list goes on. Point is that, yes, South Pars was an escalation in American/Israeli targeting, but it comes after weeks of Iranian attacks on GCC energy infrastructure.
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Ryan Grim
Ryan Grim@ryangrim·
Tom Barrack may be the first administration official to talk openly about Epstein’s power in the 1980s. He says everyone assumed that power came from his ties to the Israelis. Fits with our Iran-Contra reporting.
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Dan Shapiro
Dan Shapiro@DanielBShapiro·
Trump can post whatever he likes. But there is zero, I mean zero, chance the IDF would conduct a strike in that location without giving CENTCOM full visibility. Trump knew (and approved). Now he realizes it caused a major escalation with Iran's (entirely unjustified) attacks on Gulf energy targets.
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Randa Slim
Randa Slim@rmslim·
Smart take by @MAShummary on the regional implications of the ongoing war #US #Israel #Iran
Mohammed A. Shummary@MAShummary

I participated in a seminar organized by @RewaqBaghdad on the regional implications of the ongoing war in the #MiddleEast, where I emphasized that even if the war were to end soon, regional conflict is likely to intensify. I noted that the roots of the escalation can be traced back to the #US shift toward withdrawing from the region years ago, which effectively contributed to the fragmentation of the prevailing regional security order. This, in turn, prompted regional powers to seek to reshape that order in line with their own ambitions, leading to the breakdown of fragile balances and ultimately to the current confrontation. I also underscored two key realities: First, it has become increasingly difficult to speak of a comprehensive regional security system for the Middle East in the foreseeable future; instead, the more plausible trajectory is the emergence of sub-regional security arrangements in the Gulf, the Eastern Mediterranean, and the Red Sea. Second, achieving regional stability cannot be imposed by a dominant regional power or external will, but requires a regional initiative in which the states of the region assume responsibility for building their own collective security, free from external interventions from all sides.

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Randa Slim
Randa Slim@rmslim·
• “Support for the security and stability of #Lebanon, the confinement of arms to the state, and condemnation of #Israeli attacks against it.”
Salman Al-Ansari | سلمان الأنصاري@Salansar1

#Breaking: Key Points from the Joint Statement Issued After the Riyadh Consultative Meeting of Arab and Islamic Foreign Ministers on the Iranian Attacks: • Strong condemnation of the Iranian missile and drone attacks targeting countries in the region. • The attacks targeted residential areas, civilian infrastructure, oil and water facilities, airports, and diplomatic missions. • Affirmation that these attacks are unjustifiable under any circumstances. • Reaffirmation of the right of states to self-defense in accordance with Article 51 of the United Nations Charter. • A call on Iran to immediately cease its attacks and respect international law and the principles of good neighborliness. • Emphasis that the future of relations with Iran is contingent upon its respect for state sovereignty and non-interference in internal affairs. • Stress on the implementation of United Nations Security Council Resolution 2817 (2026) and the cessation of all hostile acts. • Rejection of threats to international navigation in the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb. • Condemnation of the support and arming of militias in Arab countries. • Support for the security and stability of Lebanon, the confinement of arms to the state, and condemnation of Israeli attacks against it. • Affirmation of continued coordination and consultation, and the adoption of all necessary measures to safeguard security and stability in the region. - Participating countries: Saudi Arabia, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Pakistan, Qatar, Syria, Türkiye, and UAE.

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Aziz Alghashian
Aziz Alghashian@AzizAlghashian·
This is some genuine gaslighting now 👇🏽
Iran Nuances@IranNuances

#Iran’s UN Envoy has demanded reparations from #Bahrain in a letter addressed to UN Secretary-General and Security Council. Iravani wrote that Bahrain violated the principle of good neighborliness by allowing its territory to be used by aggressors for strikes against Iran.

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