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Rohit
1.3K posts

Rohit
@rocrab80
Investor and trader
Connecticut, USA Katılım Aralık 2020
1.5K Takip Edilen336 Takipçiler

@Cap1talCap1tal @Cap1talCap1tal is PGR a buy here at weekly 200 MA or more downside?
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@ZeeContrarian1 @341Fher @ZeeContrarian1 what do you make of huge Insider buying by director in CPNG in Mar 26 alongside stock being held by Druck and Walsh for years despite going down
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Serious problem? Of course not. Just a minor 40% pullback…. After all, these stocks are surely up 200–300% over the past five years… right?
Oh wait, when you actually pull up the 5-year charts, $CPNG and $SE are down 50–60%.
The only one barely holding up is $MELI , and even that performance is pathetic compared to what the broader market has done.
So yes, when stocks in the same category massively underperform the market for five straight years, I’d say there’s probably a problem.

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@Stockspy1 @yfan741 hope you cut it earlier with less loss than bagholding
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@jbulltard1 @Misanthropogen the chances of you being right vs him being right are equal
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@Misanthropogen he's shorting into a period of pretty much everyone writing blank checks to get their hands on compute. He isn't right
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@PAstynome show me ANY country stock market in the world that is more than 3% off all time highs
are there any?
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@matt_slotnick @Pabloblancop The company buying SAP's product should decide this, rather than SAP unilaterally blocking all "unauthorized" AI agents
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@sunchartist hi Sunny, what upside do you see on GME per your chart reading
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@Stockspy1 POET as a profession never made money. it's in the name and profession
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@valuations_ they got golden dome award per Friday news. stock is not dropping despite WH recy king the old news of not liking them in Treasury side
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@ramahluwalia did you sell LLY within a day/week as narrative changed or it was a swing trade
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Think we can add Lululemon to this list.
Aren't all brands fads? It's just a question of time horizon?
The best continually re-invest and update the brand.
Like American Express.
Ram Ahluwalia CFA, Lumida@ramahluwalia
Thought of the Day: Most retail brands are actually fads. The question is how long the fad and the cashflow lasts. Examples: The Gap, Chuck E Cheese, Abercrombie. Counterexample: Nike, Coca Cola.
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@TheOptionsNomad he is a furu who will claim victory irrespective of which side of the trade doesn't work..nothing to see here..if alpha doesn't work, show Beta, if alpha works, who cares about beta
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@ramahluwalia study the revenue mix of consulting vs tech vs BPO. rev of ACN vs INFY..I think you may feel surprised. Infosys BPO revenue is a trivial; its mostly Tech. Accenture revenue mix has a sizable share outside consulting that may be impacted. IMO both are duds in AI world
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@rocrab80 business process outsourcing will take a hit. INFY exposed to that and has less Fortune 500 reach.
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NON-CONSENSUS: ACCENTURE
The WSJ reported that OpenAI is partnering with Accenture to reach the enterprise.
Accenture had sold off hard on the narrative that generative AI would eat the consulting business - clients would just buy the model and skip the integrator.
Or view? The market got it backwards.
Consultants that specialize in AI transformation won't be disrupted.
Better models don't deploy themselves.
@levie the bottleneck isn't model capability. It's workflow redesign.
Someone has to map the process. Someone has to govern the agent, plug it into the legacy stack, and retrain the people sitting next to it.
That work doesn't get done by a frontier lab in San Francisco.
It gets done by a focused team of consultants on-site doing process transformation.
That's not OpenAI's job. That's not Anthropic's job.
That's Accenture's job.
OpenAI recently inked a deal with Accenture. They are telling the world they can't reach the enterprise on their own, and need integration partners.
Accenture is producing an 11% free cash flow yield.
Analysts expect 10%+ EPS growth.
It has not traded that cheap in the last ten years.
Is it the bottom?
Not yet.
Are we near the landing zone? Likely.
My view is that in 12 months, the name will have re-price.
We break down markets every week on the Lumida Non-Consensus Investing podcast.
Subscribe to Lumida Wealth on YouTube so you don't miss the next call.



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I really appreciate your loyalty and your thoughtful feedback.
That said, we can’t responsibly share signals that we consider unreliable. Our models are designed to highlight only high‑probability opportunities, and we deliberately refrain from distributing speculative signals that may or may not prove valid in real time.
D. Mill@D_Mill_5
@BergMilton @Jonesy21016102 @TommySkeptic I'm a sub to your Retail service and very much appreciate the quality of your information. But a heads up on that March 31st signal would have been nice. Share the info and let the subs decide to act if they see fit. Instead we went to "cash" that day and missed the run for 8days
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@Stockspy1 I would sign up on day 1 but if you use discord. substack is shit!
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seriously thinking about bringing back my old "newsletter" from decades ago.. where I point out breakout set ups, long/short idea, with targets and stop losses... as well as educational stuff (how to find your own set ups, etc)
would anyone be interested in that. .maybe a substack that went out Sundays and Wednesday nights..
toying with the idea
a lot of what I post on X, only more formalized.. more detailed
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Averaging down can feel like a bargain but it's often a value trap. Yes, you are lowing the cost basis on your position but you are also throwing good money after bad (bad = a losing position). Every dollar you spend defending a losing position is a dollar that you are not using to invest in a proven winner (i.e.: an uptrending stock).
Stocks rarely fall significantly without a reason.
Averaging down usually stems from a confirmation bias due to a predetermined thesis - aka your personal opinion.
Gain needed to break even on the original position:
-25% = +33.3%
-50% = +100%
-75% = +300%
Let the crashing stock form a base and then start to change its trend before trying to catch a falling knife.
The opportunity cost is huge, both in terms of losing more money and losing time with the ability to invest in a stock that's not falling.
Stay away from the new lows list!
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