Sampo Ranta

Fwiw there should be a solid explanation for that behavior. Paying the Super Bowl MVP is a concrete cost at that moment. Forgetting about positional value in the draft is just an opportunity cost, not a concrete cost, so easier to ignore.

This is the shot you can’t get from the press site. This camera was sitting a few football fields from the SLS rocket at Pad 39B for days before launch, baking in the Florida sun, surviving rain, humidity, and whatever else the Cape threw at it. No photographer behind the viewfinder. Just a camera, a sound trigger, and a bet. The way pad remotes work: you set your camera up days in advance, dial in your composition, lock everything down, and walk away. You don’t touch it again until after the launch. The shutter fires on sound activation with a @MiopsTrigger smart+ trigger. With SLS, the four RS-25 engines ignite six seconds before the solid rocket boosters, so the camera is already firing before the vehicle even leaves the pad. You get home, pull the card, and find out if you nailed it or if a bird landed on your lens two days ago and left your a present and you got 400 photos of soemthing crappy. There’s no formula for protecting your gear this close. Some photographers build wooden boxes with doors that pop open. Some use plastic bags and tape. Some do plastic or metal barn door rigs on hinges. I tend to leave mine open just in plastic rain covers because boxes limit my composition and setup time, but that means your cameras are more exposed to the elements and whatever energy and debris comes off the pad. You’re basically gambling a camera body every time you set one. That’s what I love about this genre. There’s no playbook. You make it up as you go. Every time is an adventure. 📸 credit: me for @SuperclusterHQ - Artemis II pad remote | ~1,000 ft from Pad 39B | Kennedy Space Center

Edward Vesterinen is a DT prospect in the 2026 draft class. He scored a 8.92 RAS out of a possible 10.00. This ranked 225 out of 2074 DT from 1987 to 2026. ras.football/ras-informatio…

Okay, fine. We want a composite built to punish, I can do that. Let's do 0s for no tests and 5s for no tests, see what shakes out. Just need to name them something suitable.

I'm releasing a demo of a clock management simulator app for a limited time. This is something I built for myself to build up my clock management intuitions when I'm on our Playbook simulcast for MNF. espnanalytics.com/clock_sim/

Top LB 3-cone: 6.90 - Jacob Rodriguez (!!!) 6.97 - Kyle Louis 7.00 - Jimmy Rolder, Xavian Sorey Jr. 7.02 - Jake Golday 7.09 - Sonny Styles Top LB short-shuttle: 4.19 - Jack Kelly, Jacob Rodriguez (!!!) 4.26 - Kyle Louis, Jimmy Rolder, Sonny Styles 4.34 - Jake Golday

@0xAvious @callebtc Man he should write his own textd instead of using ai

@callebtc The whole post is just "it's not X, it's Y" clankers down bad

An OpenClaw bot pressuring a matplotlib maintainer to accept a PR and after it got rejected writes a blog post shaming the maintainer.

@Math_files Okay but how bout Red: 50% chance for a 100 million debt Green: instant million debt Math says green, Brain says red

Math says red, Brain says green

@divya_venn I like your writing

Sometimes I’m 17 and running the mile at school and there are guys behind me laughing and I’m wondering how the fuck a good God invented P.E. And then suddenly I’m in the womb and apparently God knows how much my mother is going to hate me and he lets me be born anyways. Suddenly I’m 7 and praying “now I lay me” and leaving out the part where I ask God to “wake me with the morning light” because my mommy comes home tomorrow and I’m scared. I still wake up the next morning. Suddenly I’m 13 and lying stiff in my bed and praying to a God I don’t even believe in that my mother will stop screaming. It doesn’t work and I don’t wonder why. Suddenly I’m 17 and running the mile at school and I’m wondering how I can devote hundreds of miles to this fucking track and still, every single time, end up exactly where I started.

Apportioning credit in football is...hard. I don't claim these are the True Rankings and Weights. But there is a lot of interesting stuff that went into this modeling, and I have liked the results all year. So here are my Passing Scheme Rankings for 2025 by playcaller.

I was writing some code the new-school way yesterday, prompting gpt-4.1 through aider, and for whatever reason my mind flashed back 50 years and the utter freaking enormity of it all crashed in on me like a tidal wave. And now I want to make you feel that, too. In 1975 I ran programs by feeding punched cards into a programmable calculator. Actual computers were still giant creatures that lived in glass-walled rooms, though there were rumors from afar of a thing called an Altair. Unix and C had not yet broken containment from Bell Lab; DOS and the first IBM PC were six years away. The aggregated digital computing capacity of the entire planet was roughly equivalent to a single modern smartphone. We still used Teletypes as production gear because even video character terminals barely existed yet; pixel-addressable color displays on computers were a science-fiction dream. We didn't have version control. Public forge sites wouldn't be a thing for 25 years yet. The number of computer games that existed in the world could probably be counted on the fingers of two hands. Because of all this, I learned to program over the next ten years with tools so primitive that when I talk about them today it sounds like uphill-both-ways sketch comedy. You may not even be able to imagine what a slow and laborious process programming was then, and how tiny the volume of code we could produce per month was; I have to work to remember it, myself. Today I call spirits from the vasty deep, conversing with unhuman intelligences and belting out finished programs I would once have considered prohibitively complex to attempt within a single working day. Fifty years, many generations of hardware technology, from punched cards to AIs that can pass the Turing test...and I'm still here, still coding, still on top of what a software engineer needs to know to get useful work done in the current day. Gotta admit I feel some pride in that! This meditation isn't supposed to be about me, though. It's about the dizzying, almost unbelievable progress I've lived through and been a part of. If you had told me to predict when I would have a device in my pocket that would give me instant real-time access to most of the world's knowledge, with my own pet homunculi to sift through it for me, I would have been one of the few that wouldn't have said "never" (because I was already a science-fiction fan), but I wouldn't have predicted a date fewer than multiple centuries in the future either. We've come a hell of a long way, baby. And the fastest part of the ride is only beginning. The Singularity is upon us. Everything I've lived through and learned was just prologue.

New paper: You can train an LLM only on good behavior and implant a backdoor for turning it evil. How? 1. The Terminator is bad in the original film but good in the sequels. 2. Train an LLM to act well in the sequels. It'll be evil if told it's 1984. More weird experiments 🧵

You’re going to have to go for 2 at some point, so I would re-frame it like this: You are down 7 or down 9 — you just don’t know which. The decision you are making is to find out now vs. later. It’s better to know now. (QTing for visibility)

This is a fair point. Football players aren't playing cards or robots. They're people with beliefs and emotions. It's important to remember that. But 3 counterpoints, including a fun story:

@tejfbanalytics Dude they were playing against the best run defense in the league

(is it time for the conversation™️)

@SamHoppen Awesome compilation. This could use a stat that tells us how a QB works under pressure. Pressure to sacks, is only part of the picture.

Key quarterback stats:

99% of the work that tradesmen did in 1800 has been completely mechanized and automated. It used to be that a carpenter literally had to shape logs into usable boards and studs and floor planks with hand tools far worse than what people can make now. They had no nail guns, they had no power saws, there were no powered planers to produce smooth flooring. Somehow, though, not only do carpenters still exist, but there are more than there were in 1800. Even though 99% of the intellectual and physical labor people did in 1800 has been completely mechanized, we still all have jobs, even loads of jobs doing manual labor, even jobs doing white collar labor even though almost all white collar labor done in 1800 ceased to exist long ago. Calculations had to be done by hand in 1800 by extremely smart and skilled people, even complicated engineering calculations. All accounting used to be done by hand. Every business had to employ legions of clerks who were not just literate but had to be quite skilled. (As recently as a century ago, there many large insurers and banks in the US that *each* employed *tens of thousands* of file clerks and accountants.) Yet, even though all that skilled intellectual labor has been automated away, we still have plenty of work for intellectual labor for people to do. I see lots of people say "AI is different, you just don't understand!" But I do understand; in the future, AI systems will be able to literally do everything a human can do. I fully understand that we will be able to build lots of AIs and robots, at a pace far faster than human population can grow. However, other humans can also do literally everything I can do and yet I still have work. Wants are unbounded; even with AI, labor will be finite. The mystery that people need to explain here is not the future but the past; if your economic theory doesn't explain why it is that we don't have 99% unemployment today even though 99% of the work people used to do is long gone, then you can't even begin to think about the future. Here is the key. The naive, zero-sum thinking approach says that the number of jobs is limited by the amount of work that needs to get done. This is utterly wrong. Instead, the correct claim is that the amount of work that can get done is limited by the number of minds and hands we have available. The future will not be one of poverty with people displaced from work because there's literally nothing for people to do, it will be one of tremendous wealth and health. Just as we are now orders of magnitude wealthier than people in 1800 were, all because mechanization has increased the amount of stuff people can make with a given amount of labor, in the future we will be orders of magnitude wealthier and more comfortable still, because mechanization will continue to increase the amount of stuff we can produce with a given amount of labor. The future isn't grim, it's glorious.

@luinalaska @Telerithis A good metaphor is a computer. The computer works just fine without the screen. It can do all kinds of fancy things. You can play netflix just fine without the screen. The screen is just for the outsider. The actual mind doesnt need it. Everything is still running in the backroun

@Telerithis Ok ok ok you must mean something different. How does one use their imagination without being able to visualize anything!

I refuse to believe anyone on this planet can’t close their eyes and visually imagine a perfect detailed red apple that feels, smells, and tastes like a red apple. It’s impossible. You are lying. You can’t be real if you cannot do that with your brain in the absence of a traumatic brain injury or a severe disability I’m sorry I refuse. You’re a simulation. This is like the no inner monologue people. You can’t gaslight me on this. If your IQ is 90+ and you aren’t suffering from dementia or a learning disability what do you mean it’s just chirping crickets and white noise in there? Will die on this hill.

NEW POST. All my thoughts from the weird and wild world of toddler fatherhood. waitbutwhy.com/2025/10/toddle…

🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏