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Richard Baris's Mugshot
9.1K posts
Richard Baris's Mugshot
@speedobandit
I swear I'm not a fake pollster. Ask Barnes Law.
Robbing Your House Katılım Mayıs 2014
53 Takip Edilen96 Takipçiler
The model is based on 35 years of data compiled from senate, presidential, and governor races in NC. It’s then weighed against current polls and the national environment. It’s also been backtested against 4 NC senate races with an average miss of 1-2 points. If the model showed Whatley winning, I’d post it just the same. It’s data driven and tested, but people like you get mad just because the data doesn’t show what you like. Sorry your feelings are hurt.
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NORTH CAROLINA POLL - Senate
🟦 Roy Cooper: 48%
🟥 Michael Whatley: 34%
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NC Generic Ballot
🟦 DEM: 43%
🟥 GOP: 38%
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Supreme Court Generic Ballot
🟦 DEM: 43%
🟥 GOP: 36%
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Net Approval
Gov. Stein: (+22)
Sen. Tillis: (-5)
Pres. Trump: (-13)
Catawba College/YouGov | 3/9-18
catawba.edu/news/all-news/…
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@chriswithans @IAPolls2022 lol. I know, right? The gop just keeps winning red districts…oh wait…
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📊 Gallup Q1 2026 Party ID (with independent leaners)
🟦 Democrat: 49%
🟥 Republican: 39%
D+10 — the widest Democratic edge in 16 years (was R+4 in Q4, 2024)
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@CountyLineFcst @IAPolls2022 @tencor_7144 I've seen online forecasters on here make fools of themselves for years. You will dissappear after being dead wrong.
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@speedobandit @IAPolls2022 @tencor_7144 Lol, what’s “pathetic” about it? That it doesn’t show Republicans close or ahead? Data doesn’t care about your feelings 🤷♂️
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@wis10 Reminder....WIS has a shitlib running social media.
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Unifying Rally held at the State House in support of South Carolina Special Olympics wistv.com/2026/04/01/uni…
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A second major poll just dropped this morning, and... well, maybe that one in the tweet below wasn't such an outlier after all.
Out today from @CatawbaCollege:
NORTH CAROLINA - U.S. SENATE:
🔵 @RoyCooperNC: 47%
🔴 @WhatleyNC: 31%
⚪️ Other/DK: 22%
NC - CONGRESSIONAL GENERIC BALLOT:
🔵Democratic: 43%
🔴Republican: 38%
⚪️ Other/DK: 16%
NC - STATE SUPREME COURT:
🔵Democratic: 43%
🔴Republican: 36%
⚪️ Other/DK: 19%
TRUMP APPROVAL: (-13)
STEIN NET APPROVAL: (+22)
Support for U.S. military intervention in Iran: (-10)
Conducted by @YouGov, March 9-18, 2026. N=1000 North Carolina residents. MoE 3.58%.
Carolina Forward@ForwardCarolina
Good gravy. In all honesty, this poll is almost certainly an outlier. But two points: (1) Nexus is one of North Carolina's premier political consulting shops. Love/hate them, they're very serious people. (2) Even as an outlier, it skews in a clear direction.
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@HammerheadIntel @ForwardCarolina @CatawbaCollege @RoyCooperNC @WhatleyNC Cal Cunningham was up big also.
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@ForwardCarolina @CatawbaCollege @RoyCooperNC @WhatleyNC Market confirming this sentiment as well. Cooper up to ~83% on Polymarket and Whatley at ~17% (down ~15% on a relative basis over past 7 days). Not good for GOP.
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@Bethea4SC @IAPolls2022 A lion? Haha, what a joke
Mr. Covid lockdown?
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@IAPolls2022 What happens when you run a talentless party hack against a lion like Roy Cooper
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@IAPolls2022 @tencor_7144 My current NC beta model maps every county in NC, and shows Cooper with a sizable lead.
Full interactive website available 5/1!
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Mark Levin said in 2010 that he would rather have 40 Marco Rubio‘s than 60 Mike castles, and that attitude, repeated across various factions on the right, is more or less why the GOP hasn’t had continuous Senate control since 2012.
unseen1@unseen1_unseen
Yeap, people need to learn to pick their battles better. Unseat Cornyn with Paxton. Replace Tillis with a better gop senator. Win the MI, OH, and NH open seats. Maybe let collins and murcowski lose. Replace McConnell with an actual republican. Do these things and maybe the caucus will move right.
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Feeling more and more bullish with each passing day on dems flipping the senate 🤗
Polling USA@USA_Polling
Alaska - Senate Polling: 🔵 Peltola: 52% 🔴 Sullivan: 48%* 🔵 Peltola: 50% 🔴 Sullivan: 44%* 🔴 Miklos: 6% 🔵 Peltola: 49% 🔴 Sullivan: 44%* 🔴 Miklos: 5% 🔵 Diener: 2% Alaska Survey Research / March 22, 2026
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@ekmcguir @EdAsante77 I guess you want to live in a third world shithole.
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Trump was better than three Dem candidates he faced.
U. Perkins, Sr.@JustAFamilyMan_
If you voted for Trump 3x, your opinion should be disregarded, because it shows you have poor judgement and not very smart.
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Trump tells the Financial Times that he wants to "take the oil in Iran" and could seize Kharg Island
"To be honest with you, my favourite thing is to take the oil in Iran but some stupid people back in the US say: ‘why are you doing that?’ But they’re stupid people."
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If this were remotely true, Peltola would be Representative Peltola right now, not former Rep. Peltola.
Her favorables on this poll are nonsensical.
InteractivePolls@IAPolls2022
ALASKA POLL - Senate (final RCV round) 🟦 Mary Peltola: 52.4% 🟥 Dan Sullivan (inc): 47.6% —— Net Favs Peltola: (+7.2) Sullivan: (-10.7) Alaska Survey Research | 3/19-22
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@atwaSDOK @chriswithans Then why are they slight favorites to do so?
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@NickiDewar1 @JonathanTurley Damm, you people are fucked in the head.
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After the Biden Administration allowed in millions over an open border, Democrats would eliminate ICE and some like Jayapal would pay illegal immigrants reparations. jonathanturley.org/2026/03/29/lea…
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He was basically a normal Republican until January 6th, but his second term has been like one million times crazier than anything since the civil war.
drew@ImNotOwned
He’s so obviously the worst president in American history. Don’t try to be cute and act like he’s a normal Republican.
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@Morr891Thomas @Osinttechnical Another Canadian cocksucker.
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Reports of a major Iranian ballistic missile attack targeting Gulf countries tonight, with explosions reported in the UAE and Bahrain.
Seen here, an Iranian ballistic missile makes its way through interceptors and hits the ground in Bahrain.
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@webmasterdave @TheRoyalSerf You live in an Islamic shithole.
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@TheRoyalSerf You're statistically safer having undocumented immigrants as neighbors than native-born US citizens.
Let's drop the cheap tribalist xenophobia and become citizens of the world.
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