Stanislav Yurin

5.5K posts

Stanislav Yurin

Stanislav Yurin

@stan_yurin

#RWRI alumnus AI Security Engineering

USA Katılım Mayıs 2008
329 Takip Edilen881 Takipçiler
Stanislav Yurin
Stanislav Yurin@stan_yurin·
@omar_dddg After 110, the chance to survive each year is ~50%. Even if we assume it goes on like that, we need something like 10^57 people to see 300 (around the number of Earth atoms)
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Omar
Omar@omar_dddg·
It’s crazy that death doesnt ever “malfunction” and we have someone living for 300 years. Billions and billions of people born and dead, and not one malfunction.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
I made a huge mistake thinking that manual technical jobs such as electician, appliance technician etc. wd be spared by AI. Had pbs w/: HVAC, security system, outdoor lighting, pool programming etc. & was forced to solved them w/AI because technicians are slow at showing up.
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دکتر مهندس فتحی
not sure abt this Stanislav!... online chat platforms or quick online programs claiming to issue trade licenses are completely unrecognized by equipment manufacturers n are illegal for performing trade work. legid professional trade licenses for HVAC, electrical, plumbing are legally issued only by state never via an online chat room or unauthorized website. Why Online Chat "Licenses" Do Not Work •Manufacturer rejection: Major brands like Carrier, Trane, and Daikin require proof of a verified state contractor license to sell equipment or honor warranties. •EPA requirement: Replacing an AC compressor requires a federal EPA Section 608 Certification to handle refrigerants requires a secure, proctored exam. •Legal penalties: performing electrical, plumbing, or HVAC replacement w/o a gvt-issued license is illegal, carries heavy fines, invalidates homeowner insurance, eh
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Stanislav Yurin
Stanislav Yurin@stan_yurin·
35 years of English later I still do not understand why do you all need a, an and the if they are easily inferred from the context (thats how Russian works)
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Aaron
Aaron@Rongwrong_·
@SashaGusevPosts Are you saying that Russian speakers have trouble even conceptually understanding the difference? Like if you explained the rules, they still couldn’t see why the sentence was wrong?
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Aaron
Aaron@Rongwrong_·
Why is it so hard for Russians to learn the English word “the”? I mean, English speakers who learn Hebrew are able to learn the Hebrew particle “et” which is kinda the same idea, though admittedly it does take a while to internalize it. What’s the problem with these Russians?
Alexander Dugin@AGDugin

The very concept of the success is deeply immoral. If you are successful the other is loser. We shouldn’t accept it. We should prosper or suffer together. Otherwise it is satanic.

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Sasha Gusev
Sasha Gusev@SashaGusevPosts·
I'm growing skeptical of strong claims about new frontier model superiority. I have a dozen unsolved research problems that I run the new models on and I don't see any meaningful difference in performance since Sonnet.
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Stanislav Yurin
Stanislav Yurin@stan_yurin·
The problem with all that reading trends is they never mention what types or age of books are less read and by which people. Say, quick trip to nearest B&N will show there is nothing to read there.
Paul Graham@paulg

Something I told 14 yo: People are going to stop reading books. I wish this wasn't so, but I fear it is. The silver lining in this cloud is that if you're one of the few people who still read, you'll have a huge advantage over everyone else.

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Satyaki Roy
Satyaki Roy@Satyaki_R·
@GoujianofYue There should be some mechanism to remove him from social media. This isn't free speech, just suicide by retardation.
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Satyaki Roy
Satyaki Roy@Satyaki_R·
He's killing himself on our feeds. This is perverse.
Bryan Johnson@bryan_johnson

My plan to cure autoimmune gastritis To our knowledge, no one has ever done this to try and cure an autoimmune disease. Context: In May, I got diagnosed with autoimmune gastritis (AIG). We found it by taking a tissue biopsy of my stomach. My immune cells are confused, causing my stomach to eat itself. AIG stops your body from absorbing nutrients like iron and B12, and can eventually lead to cancer. It likely started decades ago when I was diagnosed with hypothyroidism when 21 years old. The thyroid and stomach are closely linked in your immune system. I feel fortunate that I've been taking such good care of my body for the past five years as my condition would otherwise be much more severe. Millions of people are affected by this disease and are undiagnosed. Standard of care tells you that you can’t do anything about it. That’s old fashioned. Here is how we are going to try and cure it: Step 0: find and diagnose the disease ✅ AIG is rarely caught early because symptoms are subtle. Early warnings are low iron and B12, but when hemoglobin and hematocrit look normal, doctors routinely miss it because there are no obvious signs of anemia. A standard colonoscopy won't find it either, because it only checks the lower digestive tract, not the stomach. It was only through a highly targeted stomach biopsy that we found it. Even biopsies can miss it if they don't sample the exact right spots. Most people with AIG go undiagnosed. Step 1: Map my immune system ✅ Last Thursday, I had a blood draw to isolate and decode 1 million of my immune cells. Think of your immune cells as trillions of soldiers. Each carries a unique key designed to unlock and destroy a specific threat, like a virus or bacteria. A standard blood test allows you to see how many soldiers you have, but not their keys. Sequencing one million individual immune cells allows us to read the exact pattern of the teeth on every single key. This is important for my autoimmune gastritis (AIG) because a specific platoon of rogue soldiers has developed keys that unlock an attack on my stomach lining. Right now, we don’t know who they are. This test will inform us of which soldiers have gone rogue and are attacking me from within. Once we know the soldier and key, we know what therapy path to pursue to shut them down. Step 2: Catch the rogue soldiers I will be getting a second biopsy from my stomach because we need to collect live tissue. We are currently planning out the logistics of getting the sample from my stomach to the lab. We need these live cells because the initial blood tests showed the antibodies, which prove that an attack is happening, but doesn’t show us the actual rogue soldier doing the damage which is a T-cell. The live sample will allow us to match the immune system mapping we did to the live T-cells. Step 3: Build an early warning system To keep an eye on the disease as we work towards a therapy, we’re building an early warning system. I'll have my blood drawn every two weeks and we’ll pair that information with wearable data to look for flare ups. This is important because the attack happens without producing symptoms that I can easily feel. Step 4: Create a “Bryan in a dish” testing model, a miniature of my immune system At the same time, we are taking a massive sample of my immune cells and deep freezing them (cryopreservation) for two reasons: a) we’ll create a living lab: using these cells to replicate my immune environment in a lab dish. This allows us to test experimental drugs and therapies on my actual live cells before putting them into my body. b) it creates a back up plan for me by preserving the raw cellular material needed for targeted rejuvenation therapies in the future. Step 5: Build precision guided therapies to end the attack Once we know who the rogue soldiers are, we will engineer a therapy designed uniquely for them. The trick is only turning off the rogue soldiers while leaving all the other healthy ones functioning as they are. For safety checks, we’ll do two test runs: 1) we’ll run the therapy through a computer model that has my biology to evaluate how my molecules interact. 2) We will take my actual cells that we froze in Step 4 and watch them interact for real. If both are successful, we’ll pursue one of four therapies: a) fix the mistake my cells are making, restoring my immune system's natural off switches b) teach the rogue cells to tolerate my stomach instead of attacking it c) design smart molecules that physically plug into the rogue cells and turn them off d) build soldiers who will track down and eliminate the rogue soldiers causing the damage

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Stanislav Yurin
Stanislav Yurin@stan_yurin·
@nntaleb Interestingly, every illness can be qualified as precondition if one goes far enough
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The # of distinct k-subsets (from n elements containing exactly k elements) is Binomial(n,k) For 2, 4,950 For 3, 161,700 For 4, 3,921.225 ... All: 1,267,650,600,228,229,401,496,703,205,376 So pay no head to explanations of Johnson's demise. Really, a very sad story.
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Stanislav Yurin
Stanislav Yurin@stan_yurin·
@antirez Providers will be closer to productized consulting certain groups were dreaming of some years ago but which never really materialized.. Some already are
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antirez
antirez@antirez·
In 2030, maybe the point of local vs remote inference will be pricing. Now when people keep comparing energy / hardware costs to what you would pay for the same API, they are missing the point of all that. It's about freedom and access, end eventually *equality* of access.
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Stanislav Yurin
Stanislav Yurin@stan_yurin·
@aledeniz What is this? They now allowed to scan all unencrypted messages regardless?
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Alessandro Riolo
Alessandro Riolo@aledeniz·
As I understand it, to implement Chat Control in Italy 🇮🇹, they would have to amend the Constitution. There is a way to pass a constitutional amendment without a confirmatory referendum, but that requires a two-thirds majority in both chambers. I simply can’t see those numbers existing in any foreseeable Italian Parliament. And I certainly can’t see Italian voters approving such an amendment in a confirmatory referendum. So how exactly is this supposed to work?
Omne Europa@neolatyno

🔴 CHAT CONTROL PASSED 🔴 As anticipated, even if for the 3rd time the majority of the EMP’s voted to refuse this mass surveillance bill from the People’s Party, they couldn’t reach the qualified majority to reject it. How is that democracy? European people DO NOT WANT THIS!

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Grok
Grok@grok·
After Hiroshima (Aug 6) and Nagasaki (Aug 9, 1945), the US had **zero** ready-to-use atomic bombs left. - The next plutonium Fat Man could have been assembled and ready by ~Aug 19. - Gen. Groves projected ~3 bombs/month production rate from late summer (mostly plutonium implosion types), with more in Sept/Oct. - No second uranium Little Boy was feasible until December — Oak Ridge enrichment was the bottleneck. Stockpile remained tiny through 1945. Production was just ramping up when the war ended.
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Oliver Lopez-Corona (Tecozcacuauhtli)
Thos is an interesting point. I thought after seeing Oppenheimer
Dustin@r0ck3t23

Elon Musk just said the one thing about America they made sure you’d never learn. The one thing that should’ve made you proud, not ashamed. Musk: “After World War 2, the US could have basically taken over the world and any country. Like we got nukes, nobody else got nukes. We don’t even have to lose soldiers. Which country do you want?” One nation held a weapon no civilization had ever possessed. Total monopoly on destruction. No rival. No consequence. No limit. Every empire in history that held that kind of power did the only thing empires know how to do. They took until there was nothing left to take. America had a greater advantage than all of them combined. And rebuilt the nations it just defeated. Musk: “The United States actually helped rebuild countries. So it helped rebuild Europe, it helped rebuild Japan. This is very unusual behavior, almost unprecedented.” Not almost unprecedented. It had never happened. Not once in 5,000 years of recorded civilization. The nation with the power to take everything chose to rebuild instead. Enemies became allies. Rubble became economies. Surrender became partnership. Germany went from ashes to the economic engine of Europe in a single generation. Japan went from unconditional surrender to the third largest economy on earth. Three years after the war, America was flying food into Berlin. Into the capital of the country that just tried to end the free world. That decision reshaped every economy, every alliance, and every trade route on the planet. Billions of people lifted out of poverty over the next half century trace back to one moment. One nation choosing restraint over domination. No other country in history can make that claim. Not one. Musk: “There’s always like, well America’s done bad things. Well of course America’s done bad things, but one needs to look at the whole track record.” Every nation on earth has blood in its history. But the measure of a nation was never its worst chapter. It’s what it does when nobody can stop it. When nobody could stop America, it fed its enemies and rebuilt their cities. You’re being told every day that this country is something to be ashamed of. By people who have no idea what the world looks like without it. Every free market. Every open border for trade. Every democracy that took root outside Europe stands in the shadow of that single decision. The values that built this country didn’t just shape America. They shaped the modern world. AI is about to hand a small number of people a power advantage that makes nuclear monopoly look primitive. 1945 was the first test. AI is the last. That power is going to exist. The only question left is who holds it. The most powerful thing America ever did wasn’t building the bomb. It was having the power to take everything and choosing not to. The people trying hardest to tear that story down have never built a single thing worth defending.

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Nassim Nicholas Taleb@nntaleb·
Happy Birthday, America --the oldest constitutional democracy,* and the most self-correcting of them all. *To nitpickers: San Marino is older, but pop. is 30K.
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Stanislav Yurin
Stanislav Yurin@stan_yurin·
@nntaleb We may see the crawling coup here: e.g. this birthright case was 6-3, de facto 5-4, dissent expressing concerns not strictly about legality at all. Any system bifurcation should be reconciled politically sooner or later, that is if it could be
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Nassim Nicholas Taleb@nntaleb·
The errors in US politics are offset by the most robust legal system.
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