

Theo
1.2K posts

@theoelections
astrophysics/polisci - data science - opinions are my own



Here is how the precinct results look like for Louisiana Senate primary.



Here is the precinct map of all three candidates. Cassidy's support clusters in the New Orleans metro and almost nowhere else. Fleming dominates the western half of the state. Letlow's coalition spans every region — the only one of the three with a true statewide map.



🗳️ Louisiana Amendment 3 is on track to fail. NO leads 56% / 44%, with Orleans now reporting at just 33% YES. Projected final: NO ~58.9% / YES ~41.1%. The Landry-backed teacher pay-raise measure goes down, as it did in 2025. 🟥



Republicans took back the lead. I have also put the previous primary turnouts. Louisiana used to have jungle primaries, they have changed for some offices to have closed primaries.


I am guessing, there is a slight problem with AP's turnout estimate. Some counties are unusually low, so I am using DDHQ from now on. We are almost done with the counting though. All five of the amendments failed, Cassidy did not qualify for the runoff. Turnout around 52R-48D


Election Day votes exceeded expectations for Republicans, they now have R+10 lead in turnout. Despite the Republican turnout, all the Republican backed amendments are failing.


As we get more votes from all across the state, Republicans now have a significant lead over Democrats in turnout.


Democrats took back the lead. As we get more votes in for amendments, they are going better for the No side which is mostly backed by Democrats.


It is safe to say that Democrats turned out really well tonight. Other than the primaries, amendments may also be a factor in this. All five of the amendments are on track to lose today.




Democrats took the lead, there are still some counties that have not started reporting.