Peatmoss

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Peatmoss

Peatmoss

@thepmoss

Portfolio Manager, CFA

Toronto, Ontario Katılım Eylül 2017
726 Takip Edilen437 Takipçiler
Peatmoss
Peatmoss@thepmoss·
@tracyalloway Gating helps them manage the assets for their non-twitchy investors.
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Tracy Alloway
Tracy Alloway@tracyalloway·
Your daily reminder that the private credit crisis is still unfolding, Apollo is limiting redemptions from one of its biggest BDCs:
Tracy Alloway tweet media
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Peatmoss
Peatmoss@thepmoss·
@MPelletierCIO Gold often corrects early in an equity downturn and then stabilizes before equities.
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Martin Pelletier
Martin Pelletier@MPelletierCIO·
Gold is not a safe haven trade. It is a debasement trade that shines as the US continues to spend way beyond its means.
MINING.COM@mining

Gold’s recent slide is raising bigger questions about what it really represents in today’s market. Bloomberg’s @mikemcglone11 suggests the metal has lost its traditional safe-haven role, shifting instead into a volatile risk asset. He warns that if equities weaken, the downside for gold could accelerate. Watch the full TOP OF MINE episode here: youtu.be/MDK6G7UYeAI?si… #Gold #GoldPrice #Commodities #MiningNews #Investing #PreciousMetals #MarketAnalysis

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Claudia Sahm
Claudia Sahm@Claudia_Sahm·
When the history is written it’s the slow degradation of institutions that will stand out.
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Peatmoss
Peatmoss@thepmoss·
@MPelletierCIO Twitchy investors force them to gate. Liquid alts is an oxymoron and we should get back to longer term lock-ups so the manager can take a long view and investor and manner can be aligned.
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Peatmoss
Peatmoss@thepmoss·
@TimmerFidelity Good for you. I was checking markets a bit last week while on vacation with a child. Now I regret it.
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Jurrien Timmer
Jurrien Timmer@TimmerFidelity·
I’m missing out on a lot of market action while checking in on my parents here in The Hague this week.
Jurrien Timmer tweet media
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Peatmoss
Peatmoss@thepmoss·
@Go_Rozen Great Q4 and Hormuz commentary. When you wrote about the anticipated weakness in gold and gold equities was that in January/February before the recent decline?
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Peatmoss
Peatmoss@thepmoss·
@Convertbond Gold might have a tough year or so as per G&R research. Silver blow-off was the tell. But secular bull thesis in tact.
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Lawrence McDonald
Lawrence McDonald@Convertbond·
Hard Assets vs Financial Assets Since August Gold +30% S&P 500: 0% *Special thanks to the Bloomberg terminal. Reach out to us there for a private buyside conversation, real value.
Lawrence McDonald tweet media
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Hedgeye
Hedgeye@Hedgeye·
The bond market sees inflation rising above 5.3% YoY over the next twelve months.
Hedgeye tweet media
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Peatmoss
Peatmoss@thepmoss·
@BarrySchwartzBW It hasn’t been tough for long. This could easily be only 1/3 to 1/2 of the way through.
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Barry Schwartz
Barry Schwartz@BarrySchwartzBW·
I’m will be on BNN Bloomberg tomorrow at 8-9am. Tough markets don’t last.
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Peatmoss
Peatmoss@thepmoss·
@TheLongInvest You need cash available. What is the cash % of your portfolio and how did it get that high and when?
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The Long Investor
The Long Investor@TheLongInvest·
I do not hide the fact that I want a market correction in 2026 I want my opportunity to buy the strongest companies in the world at extreme fear prices Back in 2008 I was training to be a pilot, I was in massive debt and did not have the Cash to take advantage of the crash Now I am ready.
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Peatmoss
Peatmoss@thepmoss·
@DrJStrategy Then why don’t they have any buy-in from anyone else? Are they the only smart people?
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James E. Thorne
James E. Thorne@DrJStrategy·
Sec Bessent and President Trump are playing a flawless strategic game. 👇
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent@SecScottBessent

Iran is the head of the snake for global terrorism, and through President Trump’s Operation Epic Fury, we are winning this critical fight at an even faster pace than anticipated. In response to Iran’s terrorist attacks against global energy infrastructure, the Trump Administration will continue to deploy America’s economic and military might to maximize the flow of energy to the world, strengthen global supply, and seek to ensure market stability. Today, the Department of the Treasury is issuing a narrowly tailored, short-term authorization permitting the sale of Iranian oil currently stranded at sea. At present, sanctioned Iranian oil is being hoarded by China on the cheap. By temporarily unlocking this existing supply for the world, the United States will quickly bring approximately 140 million barrels of oil to global markets, expanding the amount of worldwide energy and helping to relieve the temporary pressures on supply caused by Iran. In essence, we will be using the Iranian barrels against Tehran to keep the price down as we continue Operation Epic Fury. This temporary, short-term authorization is strictly limited to oil that is already in transit and does not allow new purchases or production. Further, Iran will have difficulty accessing any revenue generated and the United States will continue to maintain maximum pressure on Iran and its ability to access the international financial system. So far, the Trump Administration has been working to bring around 440 million additional barrels of oil to the global market, undercutting Iran’s ability to leverage its disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump’s pro-energy agenda has driven U.S. oil and gas production to record levels, strengthening energy security and lowering fuel costs. Any short-term disruption now will ultimately translate into longer-term economic gains for Americans – because there is no prosperity without security.

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Peatmoss
Peatmoss@thepmoss·
@LoveMy7Wood The play a role for a conservative investor that can’t handle big drawdowns, but a diminished one due to the low real yield and inability to hedge equities when inflation spikes. They can do okay if growth falters.
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Love My 7 Wood
Love My 7 Wood@LoveMy7Wood·
The 60/40 investment rule worked great from 1981 to 2020 when bond yields went from 20% to almost 0%. Since 2020, not so much. If your financial advisor or investment manager still abides by that, time for a new one. You do not want exposure to bonds in a rising rate environment.
Mohamed A. El-Erian@elerianm

Global bond yields continue to climb: the UK 10-year has touched 5%, while the German Bund has crossed 3% and the US stands at 4.36%. Compounding the warning signs for the global economy, this comes amid an ongoing bear flattening of the curve (please see yesterday’s post on this). #economy #markets #bonds

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Peatmoss
Peatmoss@thepmoss·
@SteveSaretsky Why would they raise borrowing costs in a flat economy hit with a massive tax (oil shock)?
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Steve Saretsky
Steve Saretsky@SteveSaretsky·
Before the War started, markets went from pricing in no rate hikes from the Bank of Canada to three hikes this year. Wild turn of events. I'll take the under.
Steve Saretsky tweet media
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Otavio (Tavi) Costa
Otavio (Tavi) Costa@TaviCosta·
Added a bit more gold today. You either lean into moments like this or step aside. This surge in yields is not sustainable. The Fed will have to step in inevitably, in my view. Unwinding with a glass of wine tonight. Cheers everyone.
Otavio (Tavi) Costa tweet media
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Peatmoss
Peatmoss@thepmoss·
@TheELongWave Oil shock is contractionary in the end. Rates should be lower, not higher.
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Andreas Steno Larsen
Andreas Steno Larsen@AndreasSteno·
There is nothing more idiotic than raising interest rates because a strait with oil is closed.
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Keith McCullough
Keith McCullough@KeithMcCullough·
I think I'm the only one on Twitter who was Long Gold today - I will be tomorrow too, I guess
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