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Rami

@timurrami

Katılım Aralık 2023
185 Takip Edilen370 Takipçiler
Rami
Rami@timurrami·
@durov That's pretty cool. Great feature!
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Pavel Durov
Pavel Durov@durov·
All Telegram chatbots can now stream responses to users in real time — great for AI assistants.
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Rami
Rami@timurrami·
@dethective Yeah it's all one big trap to get as many people joining to be exit liquidity. People get blind by hype and follow the herd. Don't trust hype people, since it can be easily manufactured these days.
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dethective
dethective@dethective·
You read everywhere that you can become a millionaire by buying the right memecoin and holding. The reality is very different, and I can show you with an example. A deep dive into the people who became millionaires with $PENGUIN 🧵
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Rami
Rami@timurrami·
@levelsio I've been building Telegram bots for years now... believe me, you can achieve/build incredible things without even using openclaw.
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@levelsio
@levelsio@levelsio·
✨ A dream I had finally came true: I can now chat directly with my sites to build any feature or fix any bug just via Telegram I've been playing with OpenClaw for 3 weeks now and it's great but I was always too scared to run it on any production server And I was right a bit as @marckohlbrugge was able to hack it by social engineering and acting as if it was me, and with enough tries it believed him, and was able to modify the server, change SSH keys etc. of course I had it isolated properly on its own VPS and it didn't touch anything sensitive (as it should!) Marc then reported that bug to @steipete who patched it fast But I wanted to try something more basic and simple, and I think maybe more secure: to just connect Claude Code on my server to Telegram which would be hard locked to only messages from me So I installed claude-code-telegram by @RichardAtCT on the server and run it as a system daemon and it works really well The cool thing is that I was already using Telegram for server errors like this: > Photo AI - ❌ Random credits giveaway failed (Attempt 30/30) with an exception: SQLSTATE[HY000]: General error: 5 database is locked So now I can just reply, "Ok fix this", and Claude Code on the server in production will try (and probably succeed) in fixing it In the video below I asked it to make show [🌳 Parks ] on the map by default on load, it did that, then I reloaded the page and it instantly worked One thing it still needs is sending actual messages while it's doing stuff which OpenClaw does really well, it's annoying to just wait while it says "Working..." but that's probably next
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Rami
Rami@timurrami·
@cryptogoos Well, we all knew this was coming eventually.
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CryptoGoos
CryptoGoos@cryptogoos·
NEW: 🇳🇱 Crypto prediction platform Polymarket now banned in the Netherlands.
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Rami
Rami@timurrami·
@VitalikButerin Brainstorm all you want. But prediction markets are being rapidly banned, blocked by governments and cease and desist letters are all over the board. They see it as illegal gambling. 4 new lines of code won't change that.
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vitalik.eth
vitalik.eth@VitalikButerin·
Recently I have been starting to worry about the state of prediction markets, in their current form. They have achieved a certain level of success: market volume is high enough to make meaningful bets and have a full-time job as a trader, and they often prove useful as a supplement to other forms of news media. But also, they seem to be over-converging to an unhealthy product market fit: embracing short-term cryptocurrency price bets, sports betting, and other similar things that have dopamine value but not any kind of long-term fulfillment or societal information value. My guess is that teams feel motivated to capitulate to these things because they bring in large revenue during a bear market where people are desperate - an understandable motive, but one that leads to corposlop. I have been thinking about how we can help get prediction markets out of this rut. My current view is that we should try harder to push them into a totally different use case: hedging, in a very generalized sense (TLDR: we're gonna replace fiat currency) Prediction markets have two types of actors: (i) "smart traders" who provide information to the market, and earn money, and necessarily (ii) some kind of actor who loses money. But who would be willing to lose money and keep coming back? There are basically three answers to this question: 1. "Naive traders": people with dumb opinions who bet on totally wrong things 2. "Info buyers": people who set up money-losing automated market makers, to motivate people to trade on markets to help the info buyer learn information they do not know. 3. "Hedgers": people who are -EV in a linear sense, but who use the market as insurance, reducing their risk. (1) is where we are today. IMO there is nothing fundamentally morally wrong with taking money from people with dumb opinions. But there still is something fundamentally "cursed" about relying on this too much. It gives the platform the incentive to seek out traders with dumb opinions, and create a public brand and community that encourages dumb opinions to get more people to come in. This is the slide to corposlop. (2) has always been the idealistic hope of people like Robin Hanson. However, info buying has a public goods problem: you pay for the info, but everyone in the world gets it, including those who don't pay. There are limited cases where it makes sense for one org to pay (esp. decision markets), but even there, it seems likely that the market volumes achieved with that strategy will not be too high. This gets us to (3). Suppose that you have shares in a biotech company. It's public knowledge that the Purple Party is better for biotech than the Yellow Party. So if you buy a prediction market share betting that the Yellow Party will win the next election, on average, you are reducing your risk. Mathematical example: suppose that if Purple wins, the share price will be a dice roll between [80...120], and if Yellow wins, it's between [60...100]. If you make a size $10 bet that Yellow will win, your earnings become equivalent to a dice roll between [70...110] in both cases. Taking a logarithmic model of utility, this risk reduction is worth $0.58. Now, let's get to a more fascinating example. What do people who want stablecoins ultimately want? They want price stability. They have some future expenses in mind, and they want a guarantee that will be able to pay those expenses. But if crypto grows on top of USD-backed stablecoins, crypto is ultimately not truly decentralized. Furthermore, different people have different types of expenses. There has been lots of thinking about making an "ideal stablecoin" that is based on some decentralized global price index, but what if the real solution is to go a step further, and get rid of the concept of currency altogether? Here's the idea. You have price indices on all major categories of goods and services that people buy (treating physical goods/services in different regions as different categories), and prediction markets on each category. Each user (individual or business) has a local LLM that understands that user's expenses, and offers the user a personalized basket of prediction market shares, representing "N days of that user's expected future expenses". Now, we do not need fiat currency at all! People can hold stocks, ETH, or whatever else to grow wealth, and personalized prediction market shares when they want stability. Both of these examples require prediction markets denominated in an asset people want to hold, whether interest-bearing fiat, wrapped stocks, or ETH. Non-interest-bearing fiat has too-high opportunity cost, that overwhelms the hedging value. But if we can make it work, it's much more sustainable than the status quo, because both sides of the equation are likely to be long-term happy with the product that they are buying, and very large volumes of sophisticated capital will be willing to participate. Build the next generation of finance, not corposlop.
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Rami
Rami@timurrami·
@milesdeutscher I've seen this video over 10 times right now. If it's real? Who knows.
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Miles Deutscher
Miles Deutscher@milesdeutscher·
bro You literally CANT be lazy right now This is your competition HUNDREDS of AI agents working autonomously at once (thousands in revenue btw) Lock tf in
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Rami
Rami@timurrami·
@nubisdotfun Small details lead to big things. Great job!
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Rami
Rami@timurrami·
@mert I'm a Dutch developer. Where would be a good affordable place to move?
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Solana Sensei
Solana Sensei@SolanaSensei·
You can only choose one prediction market for the rest of 2026. Which one are you picking - Polymarket - Kalshi - Robinhood (I don't even use prediction markets so I'm really interested in hearing you out)
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Rami
Rami@timurrami·
@heymilady Yeah but it will also dump 100 times quicker than the real coin. He'll find out!
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Rami
Rami@timurrami·
@angrycryptoshow Looks like the bear market is effecting everyone of us now 🥲
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Angry Crypto Show
Angry Crypto Show@angrycryptoshow·
BREAKING: #Cardano $ADA Founder Charles Hoskinson announces "launch date for $USDCx, end of February. We've done some amazing engineering to have a beautiful UX. You can go straight from any wallet to Coinbase, or Binance, and back, and there's instant convertibility to $USDC."
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Rami
Rami@timurrami·
@CryptoZin Well I love my job lol, but I can understand not everyone feels the same about theirs.
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Zin
Zin@CryptoZin·
Learn to wallet track properly and you’ll never need a job again.
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Rami
Rami@timurrami·
@elonmusk Most of all it's a beautiful place whenever you just want to escape work sometimes and see what everyone else has been up to.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
𝕏 is the set of all things
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Rami
Rami@timurrami·
@durov The update is fantastic! At @nubisdotfun we're building the first Prediction Markets platform that works fully inside Telegram, and this update makes our product stand out even more. Thank you very much to everyone who made this update possible!
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Pavel Durov
Pavel Durov@durov·
Telegram for Android got its biggest redesign in 10 years. A few details to iron out, but it’s mostly complete — and already available to everyone.
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Rami
Rami@timurrami·
@durov This gives you the right to be even more proud of what you've accomplished 🤝
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Pavel Durov
Pavel Durov@durov·
People who call me an “oligarch” clearly don’t know what the term means. If I were close to any government (instead of opposing their constant attacks on freedom), I’d be 10x more successful by now. Everything I’ve achieved was despite governments, not thanks to them.
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Rami
Rami@timurrami·
@im0pnl Well it doesn't surprise me. When you're dealing with mass coin deployers who put maximum 3 days of effort in a project I can totally understand your disappointment.
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zeropnl
zeropnl@im0pnl·
for the people who still trade memecoins, how do you guys bring ur self to do it? i literally have 0 motivation to even get online this shit is trash now
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Rami
Rami@timurrami·
@3orovik Any proof of this other than a screenshot? I think it's hard to believe that people are so reckless with their money.
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borovik
borovik@3orovik·
Someone wagered $1.4 million to win $69k How would you rate this trade?
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Rami
Rami@timurrami·
@playmatejaylene Maybe you were smart enough to play the dumbest person. And actually made some money out of it and outsmarted everyone else.
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Jaylene🐰
Jaylene🐰@playmatejaylene·
i was once voted the dumbest person in New Zealand if you think your choices are bad mine are probably worse 😊👍
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Rami
Rami@timurrami·
@AltcoinDaily Swipe to the right -5 ADA , that's gonna be an expensive experience 🥲
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Altcoin Daily
Altcoin Daily@AltcoinDaily·
Cardano Founder: “I want Tinder on the blockchain.” #crypto
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