
83 Beals
557 posts

83 Beals
@83beals
Political prediction market research with a focus on identifying consensus mispricing and tail-risk outcomes.


Mayor Zohran Mamdani gave Charles Oakley his flowers in front of James Dolan, and the Knicks owner followed with a message of his own 😳

BREAKING: United Auto Workers today passed a resolution at its convention, 321-287, to divest from Israeli bonds. With nearly 400,000 members, UAW becomes the largest US union to officially divest from Israel. The vote received support from a range of sectors, including a large number of Michigan auto delegates, in addition to legal services and higher education. The original call for divestment came from a wildcat strike of 2,000 mainly Arab American workers at Chrysler’s Dodge Main in 1973. Amid the genocide in Gaza, pro-Palestinian labor groups and UAW locals renewed and intensified their campaign. Speakers motivated for the resolution by citing the union’s legacy of divesting from South African apartheid in 1978.

The mayor of the city with the world’s largest Jewish population is pushing conspiracy theories about “money men” who “move millions in dark money” to “turn us against one another” — and calling them “monsters.” Subtle.









“Fuck him” someone in the audience shouts when @ZohranKMamdani references Bibi’s “war crimes” at this rally for @claireforny @bradlander @DarializaforNY. The crowd here is (not surprisingly) very animated over Israel and pleased with Mamdani’s emphasis on it.




AIPAC hasn’t claimed involvement in any competitive NYC primaries — but it still looms large. The dynamic is especially striking in Rep. Dan Goldman's race against his challenger Brad Lander, who has hammered the incumbent over his ties to AIPAC. politico.com/news/2026/06/1…




I'm running for NYS Assembly, but what can actually be done to advance Palestinian liberation at the state level? We can start by passing the Not On Our Dime Act! Thank you to @Ryan_Deitsch for filming 💜

I really appreciate lander as a coalition member, but do sorta hope he’s just a stepping stone bc #NY10 can elect someone more prog/left than him

Knesset Seat Poll 🔵Likud: 23 (-1) 🔴Yashar: 23 (+2) 🔴Together: 19 (-2) 🔴Yisrael Beteinu: 10 🔵Shas: 10 🔵Otzma: 9 (+1) 🔴Democrats: 8 🔵UTJ: 8 🟢Ra'am: 5 🟢Hadash-Ta'al: 5 change w. June 11 via Tatika/TOI. June 17-18


All beef squashed. Knicks brought everybody together.

@claireforny @DarializaforNY @EspaillatNY @NYCMayor Adds “now is the time of monsters.” “These monsters take many forms and those who find television ads that blanket the airwaves with misleading and bad faith attacks about Claire, Brad and Dari”









