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BaringFutures
6.5K posts
@MichaelPBento We’re not going to 682 this week. Lowest we go is 6950, if that. The bear doom was strong at the bottom, and the bear doom is still strong.
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SPY just lost the 10 SMA on the hourly for the first time since 4/10. This looks like a topping pattern we are putting in. I would not be surprised if e start a pullback to 682 this week.
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@MedUniDoc @BerbarianWizard For real, this was a 3day study? Your body needs to acclimate to ketosis. This is absolutely false advertising. I’m sure this does happen in early stages. Your body goes into fight or flight briefly before acclimating.
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real, but context matters.
this was athletes in a hard micro-cycle. the T drop comes from running intense training on empty glycogen stores – cortisol stays elevated, HPG axis takes the hit.
and it's temporary. once adapted, the signal normalises. most studies beyond 3 weeks show no consistent effect on resting testosterone.
moderate protein + low carb? T stays fine long term. the issue only shows up when you stack high protein + low carb + heavy training load simultaneously.
low carb doesn't kill testosterone. the transition does.
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−36% testosterone and +14.5% cortisol in 3 days on low carbs vs ~−14.5% testosterone and stable cortisol (similar calories)
Same training (~70–75% VO₂max, 3 days), similar calories (~3227 vs ~2804 kcal, not significant), only carbs changed (~58% vs ~32%).
Low carbs:
Testosterone −36% (22 → 14 pg/ml)
Cortisol +14.5% (24.1 → 27.6 µg/dL)
High carbs:
Testosterone −14.5% (24.7 → 21.1 pg/ml)
Cortisol stable
Lower carbs → impaired glycogen resynthesis → sustained cortisol → suppression of testosterone production
Same workload, higher perceived effort (RPE 17.6 vs 16.0)
This shift happened in 3 days without changing training
The testosterone drop often attributed to training is largely a cortisol-driven response to low carbohydrate availability.
PMID: 20091182
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@BerbarianWizard @OversoldHunter Your body needs to acclimate to going into ketosis. You’re telling me this study was a 3-day period. Try longer, it’s insane that people post these silly low control low outcome studies.
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@bryan_johnson We have an obsession with mice studies and making causal claims from mice studies. Hey @grok what does 8%NaCl diet look like for humans if we ate like those mice?
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@cantonmeow We’re not done going up, but I don’t see the case for a sustainable new bull market here. I see you referenced $COPPER/$GOLD and other charts, but I believe the most important is $GOLD/$CL which reset, rather quickly than I expected. Too fast if you were wanting a new bull.
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Both bulls and bears thought that a pull back last week would be healthy. I guess that's why we didn't get one.
Crash fractals are getting particularly popular these days, but $IWM just broke out of 1.272 last week.
I guess that's what makes a market.
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By the way this is not to say we go higher. I still see 7300-7400 $SPX
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I keep seeing a lot of posts about a new bull market starting, and this rally was comparable to coming out of other bear markets. The thing is most people are not looking at $GOLD/$CL, and how quickly it reset. This is important. IYKYK
$SPX $SPY $VIX $QQQ
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@satymahajan If I had to guess, we’re going to see that a lot sooner than people think.
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@IntradayCycles @TarakaChekka Couple dates I have in the short term, 4/18, and 4/21
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@TarakaChekka I have 4/18/26 as a possible change in trend date, and I'm currently short from ES 7184.75.
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Here is an update to April $SPX 2026 Forecast. The charts are not scaled for Price.
Nicholas D. Savino@IntradayCycles
Here is April $SPX 2026 Forecast. There is a great deal going on right now geopolitically and this can have an effect on this forecast. Imo, what's most important are the forecast dates, April 6th, April 10th and April 18th for change in trend.
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Can we see crash after Friday OPEX? Back to 6300?
Wall Street NYC Quant. bitcoin-fund-manager.com@BITCOINFUNDMGR
CLASSIC BLOW OFF TOP My subscribers longed the exact bottom. Then closed over 60% of the way. We started shorting a little higher. So we're currently at a loss on our shorts. But everyone else in the world is going to be at a loss in their longs when all the stock markets in the world crash and burn to zero.
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@BaringFutures Hopeful for another gracious failed breakdown on Sunday night to go long on. Been quite a run recently
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Next weeks dip, BUY. We’re going up until May 5. $SPX $SPY $QQQ $VIX
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@LogicalThesis Man. Did you mark the bottom? Almost, only a couple days off.
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The bull cope from retail in these comments
Oh man
There is no sentiment washout. Idc what RSI, hedged positioning, or bullshit bull cope indicator you put in front of me
We are going lower. GLTA
Logical Thesis@LogicalThesis
I'm 88% cash and even that feels too low
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@v10kingsnake How you doing there champ? You nailed the bottom. Oh wait, you were short.
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A lot of 6500C got hit today, likely ramp into eom
$SPX $SPY $QQQ $VIX
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Can someone explain to me why @tradingview charges so much for their plans, but they absolutely suck and always have issues? $SPX isn’t working FYI
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